IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
South Dakota
Summit League
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.7	#304
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.6	#252
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.7	#262

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.0	#322

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.9%	4.1%	1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.1	15.0	15.4

.500 or above	21.8%	30.8%	11.4%
.500 or above in Conference	34.3%	41.4%	26.1%
Conference Champion	3.6%	4.9%	2.1%
Last Place in Conference	22.6%	17.0%	29.1%

First Four	1.0%	1.1%	0.8%
First Round	2.4%	3.6%	1.0%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UT Rio Grande Valley (Home) - 53.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 6	2 - 9
Quad 4	9 - 8	10 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2023	263	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	77-76	53%
Nov 14, 2023	109	@ DePaul	L	66-80	9%
Nov 17, 2023	351	VMI	W	73-68	67%
Nov 26, 2023	166	Air Force	L	63-68	32%
Dec 03, 2023	317	@ Western Illinois	L	69-71	43%
Dec 09, 2023	254	Cal St. Bakersfield	W	64-63	51%
Dec 16, 2023	97	@ UC Irvine	L	63-79	9%
Dec 19, 2023	254	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	61-67	31%
Dec 21, 2023	227	@ San Diego	L	70-77	26%
Dec 29, 2023	201	@ North Dakota St.	L	67-76	22%
Dec 31, 2023	296	Nebraska Omaha	W	74-72	58%
Jan 03, 2024	169	Eastern Washington	L	71-76	34%
Jan 06, 2024	181	@ Montana	L	63-73	20%
Jan 11, 2024	175	@ Oral Roberts	L	70-81	19%
Jan 18, 2024	276	St. Thomas	W	72-70	55%
Jan 20, 2024	151	South Dakota St.	L	68-74	31%
Jan 25, 2024	307	@ Denver	L	72-75	41%
Jan 27, 2024	286	@ UMKC	L	63-67	37%
Feb 01, 2024	267	North Dakota	W	72-71	54%
Feb 04, 2024	151	@ South Dakota St.	L	65-77	16%
Feb 08, 2024	307	Denver	W	75-72	61%
Feb 15, 2024	296	@ Nebraska Omaha	L	71-75	39%
Feb 17, 2024	276	@ St. Thomas	L	69-73	36%
Feb 22, 2024	286	UMKC	W	66-64	57%
Feb 24, 2024	175	Oral Roberts	L	73-78	36%
Feb 29, 2024	201	North Dakota St.	L	70-73	40%
Mar 02, 2024	267	@ North Dakota	L	69-74	34%
Projected Record						10 - 17	6 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	0.7	1.0	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0		3.6	1st
2nd									0.0	0.5	1.8	2.3	1.4	0.3	0.0				6.3	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.7	3.0	3.2	1.2	0.2	0.0					8.3	3rd
4th							0.0	1.2	4.3	4.0	1.0	0.1	0.0						10.6	4th
5th						0.1	1.5	5.2	4.6	1.0	0.0								12.5	5th
6th					0.1	1.9	5.9	4.7	1.0	0.0									13.7	6th
7th			0.0	0.3	2.4	6.1	4.8	0.9	0.0										14.6	7th
8th		0.1	1.0	3.4	5.8	4.0	0.8	0.0											15.1	8th
9th	0.8	2.8	4.6	4.5	2.1	0.5	0.0												15.3	9th

Total	0.8	2.9	5.6	8.2	10.5	12.5	13.1	12.1	10.7	8.5	6.2	4.2	2.5	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
14-2	96.4%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
13-3	74.3%	0.9		0.7	0.3	0.0
12-4	39.1%	1.0		0.4	0.5	0.1	0.0
11-5	15.7%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
10-6	2.1%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	3.6%	3.6		2.0	1.2	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%		49.1%	49.1%		11.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
15-1	0.2%		53.0%	51.1%	1.9%	13.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1		3.9%
14-2	0.6%		35.8%	35.8%		14.2													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.4
13-3	1.3%		26.4%	26.4%		14.3												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.9
12-4	2.5%		13.8%	13.8%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	2.2
11-5	4.2%		9.3%	9.3%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	3.8
10-6	6.2%		7.9%	7.9%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	5.7
9-7	8.5%		4.6%	4.6%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.3	8.1
8-8	10.7%		2.5%	2.5%		15.9																0.0	0.2	10.4
7-9	12.1%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.2	11.9
6-10	13.1%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	13.0
5-11	12.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	12.4
4-12	10.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.5
3-13	8.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.2
2-14	5.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.6
1-15	2.9%																							2.9
0-16	0.8%																							0.8

Total	100%		2.9%	2.9%	0.0%	15.1												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.8	1.4	97.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%