Pre-tourney Rankings
Conference USA
2024-25


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
67 Liberty 100.0%   12   25 - 6 13 - 5 25 - 6 13 - 5 +8.3      +3.6 86 +4.7 61 64.2 287 +8.9 66 +6.2 1
118 Middle Tennessee 0.0%   20 - 11 12 - 6 20 - 11 12 - 6 +3.0      +1.4 139 +1.6 123 69.9 119 +5.1 100 +5.4 3
120 Louisiana Tech 0.0%   17 - 12 9 - 9 17 - 12 9 - 9 +2.6      +1.1 142 +1.5 128 62.6 323 +2.5 131 +1.3 6
123 Jacksonville St. 0.0%   19 - 12 12 - 6 19 - 12 12 - 6 +2.4      +1.3 140 +1.1 139 63.0 313 +3.7 115 +5.5 2
129 New Mexico St. 0.0%   14 - 15 10 - 8 14 - 15 10 - 8 +2.0      -2.0 221 +4.0 73 63.3 307 +0.7 153 +2.7 5
134 Kennesaw St. 0.0%   16 - 14 10 - 8 16 - 14 10 - 8 +1.8      +0.3 167 +1.5 125 74.5 40 +2.6 126 +2.7 4
158 UTEP 0.0%   15 - 15 7 - 11 15 - 15 7 - 11 +0.2      -1.0 203 +1.2 133 70.6 108 +1.3 142 -1.2 8
160 Western Kentucky 0.0%   15 - 15 8 - 10 15 - 15 8 - 10 0.0      -2.2 228 +2.2 105 77.9 11 +1.1 148 +0.2 7
178 Sam Houston St. 0.0%   10 - 19 6 - 12 10 - 19 6 - 12 -1.1      +1.9 118 -3.0 265 68.5 167 -1.9 190 -2.4 9
252 Florida International 0.0%   8 - 23 3 - 15 8 - 23 3 - 15 -4.9      -6.7 334 +1.8 119 70.7 107 -6.9 282 -7.1 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Liberty 1.0 100.0
Middle Tennessee 2.0 100.0
Louisiana Tech 6.0 100.0
Jacksonville St. 2.0 100.0
New Mexico St. 4.0 100.0
Kennesaw St. 4.0 100.0
UTEP 8.0 100.0
Western Kentucky 7.0 100.0
Sam Houston St. 9.0 100.0
Florida International 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Liberty 13 - 5 100.0
Middle Tennessee 12 - 6 100.0
Louisiana Tech 9 - 9 100.0
Jacksonville St. 12 - 6 100.0
New Mexico St. 10 - 8 100.0
Kennesaw St. 10 - 8 100.0
UTEP 7 - 11 100.0
Western Kentucky 8 - 10 100.0
Sam Houston St. 6 - 12 100.0
Florida International 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Liberty 100.0% 100.0
Middle Tennessee
Louisiana Tech
Jacksonville St.
New Mexico St.
Kennesaw St.
UTEP
Western Kentucky
Sam Houston St.
Florida International


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Liberty 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.2 87.1 12.7 0.1
Middle Tennessee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Mexico St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UTEP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida International 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Liberty 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 20.8% 4.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Middle Tennessee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Mexico St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UTEP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida International 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 20.8% 0.2 79.2 20.8
Sweet Sixteen 4.9% 0.0 95.1 4.9
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0