Pre-tourney Rankings
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#118
Expected Predictive Rating+5.1#100
Pace69.9#119
Improvement-0.4#213

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#139
First Shot+1.5#121
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#195
Layup/Dunks+4.7#36
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#159
Freethrows-0.3#190
Improvement-0.7#218

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#123
First Shot+2.5#98
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#261
Layups/Dunks-1.7#249
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#163
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#16
Freethrows-1.3#272
Improvement+0.3#178
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 314 - 415 - 11
Quad 45 - 020 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 215   @ Abilene Christian W 79-56 62%     1 - 0 +22.8 +9.4 +13.0
  Nov 13, 2024 244   Evansville W 80-63 83%     2 - 0 +9.7 +3.0 +5.9
  Nov 16, 2024 143   Murray St. L 67-88 68%     2 - 1 -22.8 -3.7 -19.8
  Nov 21, 2024 190   Ohio W 83-81 OT 68%     3 - 1 +0.2 -3.4 +3.3
  Nov 22, 2024 188   South Florida W 95-88 68%     4 - 1 +5.3 +22.6 -17.4
  Nov 24, 2024 96   Bradley L 69-80 42%     4 - 2 -5.9 +3.8 -10.7
  Dec 01, 2024 100   @ UAB W 76-69 34%     5 - 2 +14.1 +2.9 +11.4
  Dec 07, 2024 128   @ Belmont L 79-82 43%     5 - 3 +1.7 +3.2 -1.3
  Dec 16, 2024 164   California Baptist W 75-64 72%     6 - 3 +7.9 +1.0 +6.8
  Dec 19, 2024 97   Lipscomb W 67-65 53%     7 - 3 +4.3 -0.8 +5.3
  Dec 23, 2024 6   @ Tennessee L 64-82 4%     7 - 4 +5.4 +3.6 +1.9
  Jan 02, 2025 252   @ Florida International W 73-69 69%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +1.8 +0.5 +1.2
  Jan 04, 2025 67   @ Liberty L 63-73 22%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +1.0 -1.3 +2.0
  Jan 09, 2025 134   Kennesaw St. W 84-79 65%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +4.0 +5.5 -1.8
  Jan 11, 2025 123   Jacksonville St. W 81-64 63%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +16.6 +7.4 +9.1
  Jan 18, 2025 160   Western Kentucky W 71-57 71%     11 - 5 4 - 1 +11.3 -0.5 +11.9
  Jan 23, 2025 178   @ Sam Houston St. W 77-75 55%     12 - 5 5 - 1 +3.7 +12.4 -8.5
  Jan 25, 2025 120   @ Louisiana Tech L 69-75 41%     12 - 6 5 - 2 -0.6 +0.0 -0.8
  Jan 30, 2025 129   New Mexico St. L 57-61 64%     12 - 7 5 - 3 -4.8 -8.1 +3.0
  Feb 01, 2025 158   UTEP W 71-68 70%     13 - 7 6 - 3 +0.5 +2.8 -2.1
  Feb 06, 2025 123   @ Jacksonville St. L 63-77 42%     13 - 8 6 - 4 -8.9 -3.3 -6.4
  Feb 08, 2025 134   @ Kennesaw St. W 76-75 44%     14 - 8 7 - 4 +5.5 +4.8 +0.8
  Feb 15, 2025 160   @ Western Kentucky W 87-77 51%     15 - 8 8 - 4 +12.8 +13.9 -1.6
  Feb 20, 2025 120   Louisiana Tech L 74-85 62%     15 - 9 8 - 5 -11.1 +2.1 -13.3
  Feb 22, 2025 178   Sam Houston St. W 74-70 74%     16 - 9 9 - 5 +0.2 +6.3 -5.6
  Feb 27, 2025 129   @ New Mexico St. W 71-66 43%     17 - 9 10 - 5 +9.7 +5.0 +4.8
  Mar 01, 2025 158   @ UTEP W 76-75 OT 50%     18 - 9 11 - 5 +4.0 -5.6 +9.4
  Mar 06, 2025 67   Liberty L 81-86 40%     18 - 10 11 - 6 +0.5 +8.3 -7.6
  Mar 08, 2025 252   Florida International W 78-56 84%     19 - 10 12 - 6 +14.3 +5.1 +9.1
  Mar 13, 2025 120   Louisiana Tech W 77-75 2OT 51%     20 - 10 +4.6 -2.7 +7.1
  Mar 14, 2025 123   Jacksonville St. L 68-70 52%     20 - 11 +0.4 +6.0 -5.9
Projected Record 20 - 11 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%