Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico St.
Conference USA
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.0#129
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#153
Pace63.3#307
Improvement+4.5#27

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#221
First Shot-4.9#307
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#29
Layup/Dunks-6.8#353
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#214
Freethrows+0.5#143
Improvement-0.1#195

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#73
First Shot+5.2#42
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#291
Layups/Dunks+5.2#32
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#21
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#165
Freethrows-3.0#348
Improvement+4.5#15
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 24 - 5
Quad 34 - 78 - 12
Quad 46 - 314 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 291   @ Utah Tech W 75-63 75%     1 - 0 +7.1 +0.5 +6.8
  Nov 14, 2024 176   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 83-82 71%     2 - 0 -2.7 +3.7 -6.5
  Nov 20, 2024 77   @ Dayton L 53-74 22%     2 - 1 -11.0 -8.4 -5.9
  Nov 23, 2024 94   @ UNLV L 65-72 28%     2 - 2 +1.0 +2.6 -2.1
  Nov 29, 2024 216   Pepperdine L 70-82 68%     2 - 3 -15.0 -9.8 -4.5
  Nov 30, 2024 292   Bowling Green L 60-61 82%     2 - 4 -8.7 -12.0 +3.3
  Dec 04, 2024 215   Abilene Christian L 70-78 77%     2 - 5 -13.7 +3.0 -17.2
  Dec 07, 2024 41   @ New Mexico W 89-83 OT 11%     3 - 5 +21.2 +16.5 +4.1
  Dec 12, 2024 43   @ Texas L 67-91 12%     3 - 6 -9.1 +1.1 -10.4
  Dec 16, 2024 303   Southern Utah W 72-69 88%     4 - 6 -8.1 -5.9 -2.2
  Jan 02, 2025 178   Sam Houston St. W 75-71 71%     5 - 6 1 - 0 +0.2 +3.1 -2.6
  Jan 04, 2025 120   Louisiana Tech W 78-48 58%     6 - 6 2 - 0 +29.9 +17.2 +17.2
  Jan 11, 2025 158   @ UTEP W 85-57 46%     7 - 6 3 - 0 +31.0 +23.3 +10.5
  Jan 16, 2025 252   @ Florida International W 59-52 66%     8 - 6 4 - 0 +4.8 -3.3 +9.0
  Jan 18, 2025 67   @ Liberty L 60-68 20%     8 - 7 4 - 1 +3.0 -3.5 +6.1
  Jan 23, 2025 134   Kennesaw St. L 56-69 61%     8 - 8 4 - 2 -14.0 -15.2 +0.9
  Jan 25, 2025 123   Jacksonville St. L 59-65 59%     8 - 9 4 - 3 -6.4 -11.2 +4.5
  Jan 30, 2025 118   @ Middle Tennessee W 61-57 36%     9 - 9 5 - 3 +9.7 -3.3 +13.4
  Feb 01, 2025 160   @ Western Kentucky L 69-101 47%     9 - 10 5 - 4 -29.2 -0.6 -28.4
  Feb 08, 2025 158   UTEP L 63-66 67%     9 - 11 5 - 5 -5.5 -8.8 +3.3
  Feb 13, 2025 67   Liberty L 54-64 36%     9 - 12 5 - 6 -4.5 -10.8 +5.5
  Feb 15, 2025 252   Florida International W 76-48 82%     10 - 12 6 - 6 +20.3 +9.7 +12.9
  Feb 20, 2025 123   @ Jacksonville St. W 61-52 38%     11 - 12 7 - 6 +14.1 +2.1 +13.7
  Feb 22, 2025 134   @ Kennesaw St. W 60-49 40%     12 - 12 8 - 6 +15.5 -5.6 +21.9
  Feb 27, 2025 118   Middle Tennessee L 66-71 57%     12 - 13 8 - 7 -4.8 -5.2 +0.3
  Mar 01, 2025 160   Western Kentucky W 65-47 68%     13 - 13 9 - 7 +15.3 -4.0 +20.1
  Mar 06, 2025 120   @ Louisiana Tech W 67-55 37%     14 - 13 10 - 7 +17.4 +11.2 +8.7
  Mar 08, 2025 178   @ Sam Houston St. L 69-76 51%     14 - 14 10 - 8 -5.3 +5.3 -11.7
  Mar 13, 2025 134   Kennesaw St. L 77-80 51%     14 - 15 -1.2 +8.8 -10.1
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%