Pre-tourney Rankings
Boise St.
Mountain West
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.1#50
Expected Predictive Rating+10.8#53
Pace64.2#286
Improvement+0.0#194

Offense
Total Offense+6.3#49
First Shot+4.3#68
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#72
Layup/Dunks+6.7#14
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#344
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#286
Freethrows+4.3#7
Improvement-1.2#240

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#59
First Shot+2.5#96
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#30
Layups/Dunks-0.4#180
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#192
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#142
Freethrows+1.6#78
Improvement+1.3#115
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 41.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 41.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four30.7% n/a n/a
First Round25.1% n/a n/a
Second Round8.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b2 - 53 - 6
Quad 25 - 28 - 8
Quad 35 - 113 - 9
Quad 410 - 123 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 182   Oakland W 87-43 91%     1 - 0 +39.9 +17.1 +25.9
  Nov 09, 2024 64   @ San Francisco L 73-84 50%     1 - 1 +0.1 +8.4 -8.6
  Nov 17, 2024 21   Clemson W 84-71 41%     2 - 1 +26.4 +17.1 +9.2
  Nov 24, 2024 213   Hampton W 83-69 90%     3 - 1 +11.1 +10.9 +0.4
  Nov 25, 2024 135   South Dakota St. W 83-82 81%     4 - 1 +2.6 +10.2 -7.5
  Nov 26, 2024 170   Boston College L 61-63 86%     4 - 2 -2.6 -10.8 +8.2
  Dec 03, 2024 291   Utah Tech W 87-64 97%     5 - 2 +12.6 +16.0 -1.3
  Dec 07, 2024 119   Washington St. L 69-74 79%     5 - 3 -2.4 -7.0 +4.8
  Dec 14, 2024 28   St. Mary's W 67-65 OT 36%     6 - 3 +16.8 +8.6 +8.3
  Dec 17, 2024 282   Texas Southern W 82-51 96%     7 - 3 +21.2 +4.0 +15.6
  Dec 21, 2024 296   Air Force W 77-59 97%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +7.5 +6.6 +2.5
  Dec 28, 2024 151   @ San Jose St. W 73-71 77%     9 - 3 2 - 0 +5.3 +14.1 -8.5
  Dec 31, 2024 175   @ Wyoming W 67-58 81%     10 - 3 3 - 0 +10.8 +5.6 +6.4
  Jan 04, 2025 55   San Diego St. L 68-76 63%     10 - 4 3 - 1 -0.3 +3.7 -4.2
  Jan 07, 2025 94   UNLV W 81-59 79%     11 - 4 4 - 1 +24.5 +17.6 +8.5
  Jan 11, 2025 53   @ Utah St. L 79-81 41%     11 - 5 4 - 2 +11.4 +24.1 -13.1
  Jan 14, 2025 175   Wyoming W 96-55 91%     12 - 5 5 - 2 +37.3 +26.3 +12.4
  Jan 17, 2025 41   @ New Mexico L 65-84 34%     12 - 6 5 - 3 -3.8 -0.5 -2.6
  Jan 22, 2025 44   @ Colorado St. L 72-75 37%     12 - 7 5 - 4 +11.6 +14.2 -2.9
  Jan 29, 2025 83   Nevada W 66-56 75%     13 - 7 6 - 4 +13.9 +1.7 +13.2
  Feb 01, 2025 259   Fresno St. W 82-60 95%     14 - 7 7 - 4 +14.0 +8.9 +5.7
  Feb 04, 2025 94   @ UNLV W 71-62 62%     15 - 7 8 - 4 +17.0 +6.5 +10.7
  Feb 07, 2025 151   San Jose St. W 79-52 89%     16 - 7 9 - 4 +24.8 +13.7 +14.2
  Feb 15, 2025 55   @ San Diego St. L 47-64 42%     16 - 8 9 - 5 -3.8 -9.6 +3.5
  Feb 19, 2025 41   New Mexico W 86-78 55%     17 - 8 10 - 5 +17.7 +15.9 +1.5
  Feb 22, 2025 83   @ Nevada W 70-69 56%     18 - 8 11 - 5 +10.4 +7.7 +2.8
  Feb 26, 2025 53   Utah St. W 82-65 62%     19 - 8 12 - 5 +24.9 +14.2 +11.9
  Mar 01, 2025 259   @ Fresno St. W 66-61 89%     20 - 8 13 - 5 +2.5 +4.1 -0.8
  Mar 04, 2025 296   @ Air Force W 80-57 92%     21 - 8 14 - 5 +18.0 +8.0 +10.6
  Mar 07, 2025 44   Colorado St. L 73-83 58%     21 - 9 14 - 6 -0.9 +11.2 -13.1
  Mar 13, 2025 55   San Diego St. W 62-52 52%     22 - 9 +20.5 +6.2 +15.6
  Mar 14, 2025 41   New Mexico W 72-69 45%     23 - 9 +15.5 +14.6 +1.2
  Mar 15, 2025 44   Colorado St. L 56-69 47%     23 - 10 -1.1 -2.7 -0.5
Projected Record 23 - 10 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 41.5% 41.5% 11.0 0.0 0.6 5.7 27.8 7.3 58.5 41.5%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 41.5% 0.0% 41.5% 11.0 0.0 0.6 5.7 27.8 7.3 58.5 41.5%