Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah St.
Mountain West
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.7#53
Expected Predictive Rating+13.3#41
Pace69.0#145
Improvement-4.0#326

Offense
Total Offense+10.0#16
First Shot+10.3#10
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#204
Layup/Dunks+9.8#2
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#296
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#201
Freethrows+3.2#29
Improvement+1.9#98

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#154
First Shot+1.5#125
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#258
Layups/Dunks+5.2#35
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#344
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#337
Freethrows+4.1#4
Improvement-5.8#357
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 67.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 67.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four29.3% n/a n/a
First Round50.9% n/a n/a
Second Round16.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 01 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 4
Quad 28 - 310 - 7
Quad 35 - 015 - 7
Quad 410 - 025 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 326   Alcorn St. W 101-46 98%     1 - 0 +42.0 +23.1 +19.0
  Nov 09, 2024 237   Charlotte W 103-74 94%     2 - 0 +22.0 +26.3 -4.2
  Nov 18, 2024 155   Montana W 95-83 88%     3 - 0 +9.6 +12.4 -3.5
  Nov 22, 2024 61   Iowa W 77-69 55%     4 - 0 +17.4 -3.0 +19.7
  Nov 28, 2024 112   St. Bonaventure W 72-67 75%     5 - 0 +8.6 +5.1 +3.6
  Nov 29, 2024 81   North Texas W 61-57 64%     6 - 0 +10.9 +0.2 +11.1
  Dec 04, 2024 175   Wyoming W 70-67 90%     7 - 0 1 - 0 -0.7 +8.1 -8.4
  Dec 07, 2024 291   Utah Tech W 92-62 96%     8 - 0 +19.6 +9.7 +8.7
  Dec 14, 2024 188   South Florida W 88-67 91%     9 - 0 +16.5 +13.5 +2.7
  Dec 17, 2024 42   UC San Diego L 73-75 55%     9 - 1 +7.4 +3.6 +3.9
  Dec 22, 2024 28   @ St. Mary's W 75-68 26%     10 - 1 +24.5 +17.5 +7.4
  Dec 28, 2024 55   @ San Diego St. W 67-66 40%     11 - 1 2 - 0 +14.2 +3.9 +10.3
  Dec 31, 2024 83   @ Nevada W 69-64 55%     12 - 1 3 - 0 +14.4 +7.5 +7.4
  Jan 04, 2025 259   Fresno St. W 89-83 95%     13 - 1 4 - 0 -2.0 +5.2 -7.8
  Jan 07, 2025 151   @ San Jose St. W 85-78 76%     14 - 1 5 - 0 +10.3 +20.2 -9.4
  Jan 11, 2025 50   Boise St. W 81-79 59%     15 - 1 6 - 0 +10.3 +27.9 -17.2
  Jan 15, 2025 94   @ UNLV L 62-65 60%     15 - 2 6 - 1 +5.0 +5.2 -0.6
  Jan 22, 2025 83   Nevada W 90-69 74%     16 - 2 7 - 1 +24.9 +26.1 +0.5
  Jan 25, 2025 296   @ Air Force W 87-58 92%     17 - 2 8 - 1 +24.0 +17.4 +8.2
  Jan 29, 2025 94   UNLV W 76-71 78%     18 - 2 9 - 1 +7.5 +7.0 +0.5
  Feb 01, 2025 41   New Mexico L 63-82 54%     18 - 3 9 - 2 -9.3 -6.2 -2.1
  Feb 04, 2025 175   @ Wyoming W 71-67 80%     19 - 3 10 - 2 +5.8 +3.7 +2.3
  Feb 07, 2025 259   @ Fresno St. W 89-81 89%     20 - 3 11 - 2 +5.5 +17.6 -12.0
  Feb 11, 2025 44   Colorado St. W 93-85 56%     21 - 3 12 - 2 +17.1 +26.6 -9.3
  Feb 16, 2025 41   @ New Mexico L 79-82 33%     21 - 4 12 - 3 +12.2 +17.8 -5.6
  Feb 19, 2025 151   San Jose St. W 105-57 88%     22 - 4 13 - 3 +45.8 +35.2 +12.7
  Feb 22, 2025 55   San Diego St. W 79-71 61%     23 - 4 14 - 3 +15.7 +21.7 -5.1
  Feb 26, 2025 50   @ Boise St. L 65-82 38%     23 - 5 14 - 4 -3.2 +2.9 -7.2
  Mar 01, 2025 44   @ Colorado St. L 66-93 35%     23 - 6 14 - 5 -12.4 +6.9 -22.2
  Mar 08, 2025 296   Air Force W 87-47 96%     24 - 6 15 - 5 +29.5 +26.4 +10.6
  Mar 13, 2025 94   UNLV W 70-58 70%     25 - 6 +17.2 +12.1 +6.9
  Mar 14, 2025 44   Colorado St. L 72-83 45%     25 - 7 +0.9 +7.6 -7.3
Projected Record 25 - 7 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 67.2% 67.2% 10.5 0.6 6.6 21.5 35.1 3.6 32.8 67.2%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 67.2% 0.0% 67.2% 10.5 0.6 6.6 21.5 35.1 3.6 32.8 67.2%