Pre-tourney Rankings
San Jose St.
Mountain West
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#151
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#164
Pace65.8#240
Improvement+1.9#112

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#155
First Shot+1.0#137
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#206
Layup/Dunks+0.4#167
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#159
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#222
Freethrows+1.8#80
Improvement-1.6#259

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#178
First Shot-0.3#190
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#172
Layups/Dunks-3.7#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#99
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#167
Freethrows+1.8#66
Improvement+3.5#35
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 60 - 7
Quad 21 - 61 - 13
Quad 35 - 46 - 17
Quad 47 - 213 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 342   Western Illinois L 55-59 92%     0 - 1 -18.9 -17.1 -2.4
  Nov 08, 2024 288   Pacific L 67-80 78%     0 - 2 -20.5 -11.8 -8.3
  Nov 10, 2024 219   @ Hawaii L 69-80 54%     0 - 3 -11.4 +4.6 -17.3
  Nov 17, 2024 148   UC Santa Barbara L 59-64 60%     0 - 4 -7.1 -3.0 -5.1
  Nov 20, 2024 60   @ USC L 68-82 14%     0 - 5 -1.6 +5.5 -8.5
  Nov 25, 2024 158   UTEP W 71-65 51%     1 - 5 +6.2 +0.8 +5.5
  Nov 26, 2024 159   UNC Greensboro W 69-64 51%     2 - 5 +5.2 +1.3 +4.2
  Nov 27, 2024 289   Long Beach St. W 82-66 78%     3 - 5 +8.4 +16.1 -5.5
  Dec 04, 2024 41   @ New Mexico L 77-83 9%     3 - 6 0 - 1 +9.2 +13.2 -3.9
  Dec 14, 2024 177   Cal Poly W 107-100 OT 66%     4 - 6 +3.2 +6.7 -5.0
  Dec 21, 2024 134   Kennesaw St. W 89-65 56%     5 - 6 +23.0 +10.0 +11.4
  Dec 28, 2024 50   Boise St. L 71-73 23%     5 - 7 0 - 2 +6.3 +13.9 -7.9
  Dec 31, 2024 44   Colorado St. L 50-72 21%     5 - 8 0 - 3 -12.9 -19.7 +7.1
  Jan 04, 2025 94   @ UNLV L 73-79 24%     5 - 9 0 - 4 +2.0 +13.7 -12.3
  Jan 07, 2025 53   Utah St. L 78-85 24%     5 - 10 0 - 5 +0.9 +10.7 -10.3
  Jan 11, 2025 296   @ Air Force W 69-62 70%     6 - 10 1 - 5 +2.0 +3.4 -0.5
  Jan 14, 2025 41   New Mexico W 71-70 19%     7 - 10 2 - 5 +10.7 +3.2 +7.5
  Jan 18, 2025 83   @ Nevada L 64-75 20%     7 - 11 2 - 6 -1.6 +6.5 -9.9
  Jan 25, 2025 175   Wyoming W 67-58 66%     8 - 11 3 - 6 +5.3 +1.5 +4.8
  Jan 28, 2025 55   @ San Diego St. L 68-71 12%     8 - 12 3 - 7 +10.2 +7.0 +3.2
  Feb 01, 2025 296   Air Force W 75-64 85%     9 - 12 4 - 7 +0.5 +4.2 -2.7
  Feb 04, 2025 259   @ Fresno St. W 94-91 2OT 62%     10 - 12 5 - 7 +0.5 +2.8 -2.9
  Feb 07, 2025 50   @ Boise St. L 52-79 11%     10 - 13 5 - 8 -13.2 -8.7 -7.5
  Feb 11, 2025 55   San Diego St. L 66-69 25%     10 - 14 5 - 9 +4.7 +1.7 +2.9
  Feb 14, 2025 83   Nevada L 58-73 37%     10 - 15 5 - 10 -11.1 -5.0 -8.2
  Feb 19, 2025 53   @ Utah St. L 57-105 12%     10 - 16 5 - 11 -34.6 -11.3 -25.3
  Feb 22, 2025 175   @ Wyoming W 82-73 45%     11 - 16 6 - 11 +10.8 +10.9 -0.2
  Feb 25, 2025 94   UNLV L 71-77 43%     11 - 17 6 - 12 -3.5 -0.3 -3.1
  Mar 04, 2025 44   @ Colorado St. L 56-83 10%     11 - 18 6 - 13 -12.4 -8.1 -5.4
  Mar 08, 2025 259   Fresno St. W 92-68 79%     12 - 18 7 - 13 +16.0 +12.6 +2.4
  Mar 12, 2025 175   Wyoming W 66-61 56%     13 - 18 +4.0 -2.3 +6.6
  Mar 13, 2025 41   New Mexico L 52-63 13%     13 - 19 +1.5 -11.1 +12.3
Projected Record 13 - 19 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 100.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%