Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico
Mountain West
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.5#41
Expected Predictive Rating+13.9#35
Pace80.7#4
Improvement+0.1#191

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#73
First Shot+3.7#84
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#147
Layup/Dunks+5.8#22
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#205
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#297
Freethrows+2.4#53
Improvement-2.2#281

Defense
Total Defense+8.3#16
First Shot+6.0#28
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#28
Layups/Dunks+3.0#72
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#19
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#200
Freethrows+0.7#134
Improvement+2.3#73
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 88.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 88.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.6% n/a n/a
First Round88.2% n/a n/a
Second Round37.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 4
Quad 27 - 111 - 5
Quad 34 - 215 - 7
Quad 410 - 025 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 179   Nicholls St. W 91-84 93%     1 - 0 +3.2 +1.2 +0.8
  Nov 08, 2024 25   UCLA W 72-64 40%     2 - 0 +23.2 +1.9 +20.7
  Nov 12, 2024 176   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 100-81 93%     3 - 0 +15.3 +9.4 +2.7
  Nov 17, 2024 9   @ St. John's L 71-85 19%     3 - 1 +7.8 +13.9 -6.2
  Nov 21, 2024 328   Grambling St. W 80-58 98%     4 - 1 +8.9 -5.8 +12.1
  Nov 24, 2024 282   Texas Southern W 99-68 97%     5 - 1 +21.2 +15.2 +2.8
  Nov 28, 2024 75   Arizona St. L 82-85 68%     5 - 2 +4.5 +9.4 -4.7
  Nov 29, 2024 60   USC W 83-73 61%     6 - 2 +19.6 +10.2 +9.1
  Dec 04, 2024 151   San Jose St. W 83-77 91%     7 - 2 1 - 0 +3.8 +8.0 -4.2
  Dec 07, 2024 129   New Mexico St. L 83-89 OT 89%     7 - 3 -6.8 +4.0 -10.2
  Dec 18, 2024 36   Virginia Commonwealth W 78-71 56%     8 - 3 +17.9 +7.2 +10.3
  Dec 28, 2024 44   @ Colorado St. W 76-68 42%     9 - 3 2 - 0 +22.6 +11.3 +11.5
  Dec 31, 2024 259   @ Fresno St. W 103-89 91%     10 - 3 3 - 0 +11.5 +10.1 -1.3
  Jan 03, 2025 83   Nevada W 82-81 OT 79%     11 - 3 4 - 0 +4.9 +3.3 +1.5
  Jan 07, 2025 175   @ Wyoming W 61-53 84%     12 - 3 5 - 0 +9.8 -7.8 +17.8
  Jan 11, 2025 55   San Diego St. W 62-48 68%     13 - 3 6 - 0 +21.7 -1.1 +23.4
  Jan 14, 2025 151   @ San Jose St. L 70-71 81%     13 - 4 6 - 1 +2.3 -3.4 +5.7
  Jan 17, 2025 50   Boise St. W 84-65 66%     14 - 4 7 - 1 +27.3 +11.5 +15.1
  Jan 20, 2025 259   Fresno St. W 95-67 96%     15 - 4 8 - 1 +20.0 +5.3 +10.5
  Jan 25, 2025 94   @ UNLV W 75-73 67%     16 - 4 9 - 1 +10.0 +11.8 -1.7
  Feb 01, 2025 53   @ Utah St. W 82-63 46%     17 - 4 10 - 1 +32.4 +6.9 +24.5
  Feb 05, 2025 44   Colorado St. W 87-65 63%     18 - 4 11 - 1 +31.1 +23.4 +9.1
  Feb 08, 2025 296   @ Air Force W 88-53 94%     19 - 4 12 - 1 +30.0 +6.6 +20.5
  Feb 12, 2025 175   Wyoming W 71-67 93%     20 - 4 13 - 1 +0.3 -3.5 +3.7
  Feb 16, 2025 53   Utah St. W 82-79 67%     21 - 4 14 - 1 +10.9 +10.4 +0.6
  Feb 19, 2025 50   @ Boise St. L 78-86 45%     21 - 5 14 - 2 +5.8 +7.5 -1.3
  Feb 25, 2025 55   @ San Diego St. L 65-73 47%     21 - 6 14 - 3 +5.2 +1.2 +4.2
  Mar 01, 2025 296   Air Force W 92-71 97%     22 - 6 15 - 3 +10.5 +7.3 +1.4
  Mar 04, 2025 83   @ Nevada W 71-67 62%     23 - 6 16 - 3 +13.4 +1.6 +11.8
  Mar 07, 2025 94   UNLV W 81-67 83%     24 - 6 17 - 3 +16.5 +11.0 +5.4
  Mar 13, 2025 151   San Jose St. W 63-52 87%     25 - 6 +11.5 -8.2 +20.1
  Mar 14, 2025 50   Boise St. L 69-72 55%     25 - 7 +8.1 +7.8 +0.0
Projected Record 25 - 7 17 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 88.9% 88.9% 9.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 16.5 43.5 23.5 4.3 0.0 11.1 88.9%
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 88.9% 0.0% 88.9% 9.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 16.5 43.5 23.5 4.3 0.0 11.1 88.9%