UC Davis
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#204
Expected Predictive Rating+1.8#145
Pace76.1#33
Improvement+0.3#169

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#308
First Shot-1.4#218
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#337
Layup/Dunks-3.4#289
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#80
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#272
Freethrows+3.2#46
Improvement-0.7#236

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#93
First Shot+3.3#82
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#223
Layups/Dunks-0.4#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#21
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#89
Freethrows-1.6#279
Improvement+0.9#99
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 3.6% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.3 13.6
.500 or above 40.5% 54.0% 28.9%
.500 or above in Conference 51.7% 65.9% 39.4%
Conference Champion 1.8% 3.3% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 2.1% 7.0%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round2.5% 3.6% 1.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Santa Barbara (Home) - 46.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 49 - 414 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 75   @ Washington L 73-79 13%     0 - 1 +4.5 -4.3 +9.7
  Nov 07, 2024 265   @ Idaho W 79-75 54%     1 - 1 +1.1 -1.2 +2.1
  Nov 17, 2024 93   @ Stanford L 65-79 16%     1 - 2 -5.3 -6.4 +1.6
  Nov 20, 2024 100   @ Grand Canyon W 75-68 17%     2 - 2 +15.2 +1.8 +13.0
  Nov 25, 2024 153   Norfolk St. L 55-76 53%     2 - 3 -23.6 -19.4 -4.3
  Nov 30, 2024 76   @ Oregon St. L 57-90 13%     2 - 4 -22.6 -6.9 -18.0
  Dec 05, 2024 228   Cal Poly W 77-66 68%     3 - 4 1 - 0 +4.3 -9.9 +12.6
  Dec 07, 2024 126   UC Santa Barbara L 72-73 46%    
  Dec 14, 2024 320   @ Sacramento St. W 68-64 64%    
  Dec 18, 2024 265   Idaho W 75-68 74%    
  Dec 21, 2024 258   @ Pepperdine W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 02, 2025 244   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 04, 2025 155   @ Cal St. Northridge L 73-78 32%    
  Jan 09, 2025 307   Cal St. Fullerton W 72-63 78%    
  Jan 11, 2025 304   Long Beach St. W 72-64 78%    
  Jan 16, 2025 228   @ Cal Poly L 78-79 45%    
  Jan 18, 2025 126   @ UC Santa Barbara L 69-76 26%    
  Jan 23, 2025 162   Hawaii W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 30, 2025 175   @ UC Riverside L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 01, 2025 57   @ UC Irvine L 62-77 10%    
  Feb 06, 2025 304   @ Long Beach St. W 69-67 58%    
  Feb 08, 2025 307   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 69-66 59%    
  Feb 13, 2025 175   UC Riverside W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 15, 2025 102   @ UC San Diego L 65-75 20%    
  Feb 20, 2025 244   Cal St. Bakersfield W 71-66 68%    
  Feb 22, 2025 155   Cal St. Northridge W 76-75 53%    
  Mar 02, 2025 162   @ Hawaii L 67-71 35%    
  Mar 06, 2025 57   UC Irvine L 65-74 22%    
  Mar 08, 2025 102   UC San Diego L 68-72 38%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.3 2.2 1.6 0.6 0.1 6.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.3 3.6 1.9 0.5 0.1 10.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 4.7 4.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 5.4 4.9 1.6 0.2 14.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.5 5.1 1.3 0.1 14.0 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 5.3 4.5 1.1 0.1 13.2 7th
8th 0.2 1.6 4.7 3.8 0.9 0.0 11.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.2 2.7 0.7 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.0 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.3 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.0 4.1 6.7 9.8 11.7 13.0 13.5 12.2 10.1 6.8 4.5 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
17-3 77.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
16-4 46.5% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0
15-5 17.2% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 4.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 29.6% 29.6% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.5% 17.1% 17.1% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
16-4 1.3% 18.7% 18.7% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
15-5 2.5% 13.2% 13.2% 12.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.2
14-6 4.5% 11.3% 11.3% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.0
13-7 6.8% 6.1% 6.1% 13.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.4
12-8 10.1% 3.4% 3.4% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.8
11-9 12.2% 2.0% 2.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.0
10-10 13.5% 1.2% 1.2% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.3
9-11 13.0% 0.6% 0.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9
8-12 11.7% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 11.6
7-13 9.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.8
6-14 6.7% 6.7
5-15 4.1% 4.1
4-16 2.0% 2.0
3-17 0.7% 0.7
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 97.5 0.0%