Preseason Rankings
Big South
2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
109 High Point 36.7%   14   0 - 0 0 - 0 20 - 7 12 - 4 +4.0      +4.4 66 -0.4 180 66.1 227 0.0 1 0.0 1
148 Radford 19.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 17 - 11 10 - 6 +0.6      +1.4 122 -0.7 192 59.7 357 0.0 1 0.0 1
164 Winthrop 15.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 13 10 - 6 -0.6      +0.8 139 -1.4 214 79.8 5 0.0 1 0.0 1
198 UNC Asheville 10.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 13 9 - 7 -2.2      +0.7 144 -3.0 273 69.1 144 0.0 1 0.0 1
202 Longwood 9.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 12 9 - 7 -2.4      -0.3 173 -2.1 243 71.4 88 0.0 1 0.0 1
263 Presbyterian 4.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 17 7 - 9 -5.5      -2.9 255 -2.5 260 62.6 323 0.0 1 0.0 1
307 Gardner-Webb 1.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 19 4 - 10 -8.2      -4.6 304 -3.6 294 71.9 73 0.0 1 0.0 1
313 Charleston Southern 1.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 17 4 - 10 -8.6      -5.1 317 -3.5 288 68.4 174 0.0 1 0.0 1
332 South Carolina Upstate 1.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 20 5 - 11 -10.3      -4.5 302 -5.8 340 79.9 4 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 2.0 50.9 22.5 12.6 6.9 3.9 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
Radford 3.0 23.5 23.6 18.3 13.9 9.5 6.0 3.2 1.4 0.6
Winthrop 3.4 17.6 20.0 18.4 16.0 12.0 8.4 4.4 2.3 1.0
UNC Asheville 4.0 11.9 15.1 17.0 17.0 14.0 11.2 7.5 4.0 2.2
Longwood 4.1 11.1 14.6 17.0 17.0 14.5 11.7 7.2 4.4 2.4
Presbyterian 5.2 4.5 7.7 11.0 13.9 16.9 17.0 13.2 9.7 6.1
Gardner-Webb 7.0 0.3 1.1 2.8 5.2 9.4 14.4 21.4 24.6 20.9
Charleston Southern 7.0 0.4 1.3 2.7 5.9 9.0 14.2 19.9 25.3 21.4
South Carolina Upstate 6.9 0.6 1.8 3.2 6.1 9.9 14.6 19.6 19.4 24.9




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 12 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3 2.5 3.9 5.9 9.4 12.9 15.3 16.3 14.8 11.4 5.4
Radford 10 - 6 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.7 4.4 7.2 9.0 11.3 13.1 13.6 13.3 10.7 7.3 3.9 1.2
Winthrop 10 - 6 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.3 3.8 6.5 8.6 10.8 12.4 13.4 12.9 11.0 8.4 5.1 2.5 0.7
UNC Asheville 9 - 7 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 4.3 6.2 8.9 10.4 12.0 13.1 12.2 10.7 8.0 5.7 3.2 1.4 0.3
Longwood 9 - 7 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.4 4.1 6.6 8.8 11.1 12.0 12.7 12.5 10.6 8.0 5.1 3.0 1.2 0.4
Presbyterian 7 - 9 0.3 1.4 3.3 6.0 8.6 11.5 13.0 12.3 12.6 9.8 8.1 5.8 3.9 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
Gardner-Webb 4 - 12 2.7 7.8 12.2 15.2 16.1 15.3 11.6 8.2 5.4 3.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Charleston Southern 4 - 12 3.0 7.9 12.6 15.5 16.0 14.0 11.2 8.3 5.5 3.4 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
South Carolina Upstate 5 - 11 3.3 8.0 12.2 14.6 14.7 13.6 11.4 8.8 5.7 3.7 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 50.9% 38.8 10.1 1.8 0.2 0.0
Radford 23.5% 15.4 6.5 1.3 0.2 0.0
Winthrop 17.6% 11.2 5.0 1.3 0.1
UNC Asheville 11.9% 7.1 3.7 0.9 0.2 0.0
Longwood 11.1% 6.6 3.4 1.0 0.2 0.0
Presbyterian 4.5% 2.3 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
Gardner-Webb 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Charleston Southern 0.4% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 0.6% 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 36.7% 36.6% 0.1% 14   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 4.9 10.2 9.4 6.9 3.0 1.4 63.3 0.2%
Radford 19.3% 19.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.5 5.2 5.0 3.2 1.6 80.7 0.0%
Winthrop 15.1% 15.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.2 3.9 3.8 3.1 1.7 84.9 0.0%
UNC Asheville 10.5% 10.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.3 2.6 2.3 1.8 89.5 0.0%
Longwood 9.9% 9.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.2 2.5 2.4 1.8 90.1 0.0%
Presbyterian 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.4 95.5 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 98.4 0.0%
Charleston Southern 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 98.4 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 99.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 36.7% 0.6% 36.9% 5.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 19.3% 0.6% 19.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 15.1% 0.9% 15.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 10.5% 1.1% 10.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 9.9% 1.0% 9.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 4.5% 0.9% 4.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 1.6% 0.7% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 1.6% 0.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 1.0% 0.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.9 0.1
1st Round 97.6% 1.0 2.4 95.5 2.1
2nd Round 9.4% 0.1 90.6 9.4
Sweet Sixteen 1.7% 0.0 98.3 1.7
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0