Preseason Rankings
Presbyterian
Big South
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#263
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.6#323
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#255
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#260
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 5.7% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 27.3% 36.9% 15.7%
.500 or above in Conference 43.4% 50.0% 35.5%
Conference Champion 4.5% 6.0% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 10.9% 8.2% 14.1%
First Four0.9% 0.8% 0.9%
First Round4.3% 5.6% 2.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Navy (Home) - 54.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 73 - 11
Quad 49 - 612 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 230   Navy W 68-67 55%    
  Nov 08, 2025 156   East Tennessee St. L 64-67 41%    
  Nov 10, 2025 283   @ Georgia St. L 69-71 44%    
  Nov 12, 2025 71   @ South Carolina L 57-74 7%    
  Nov 16, 2025 279   @ Sacramento St. L 64-66 43%    
  Nov 18, 2025 91   @ California L 62-76 11%    
  Nov 21, 2025 13   @ UCLA L 52-78 1%    
  Nov 30, 2025 342   The Citadel W 68-62 70%    
  Dec 03, 2025 205   @ Wofford L 62-68 31%    
  Dec 06, 2025 291   Morehead St. W 66-61 66%    
  Dec 17, 2025 158   @ East Carolina L 62-70 24%    
  Dec 21, 2025 252   @ Manhattan L 68-72 39%    
  Jan 03, 2026 332   South Carolina Upstate W 77-69 74%    
  Jan 07, 2026 148   @ Radford L 60-69 22%    
  Jan 10, 2026 202   @ Longwood L 67-73 31%    
  Jan 14, 2026 198   UNC Asheville L 69-70 50%    
  Jan 17, 2026 307   @ Gardner-Webb L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 21, 2026 313   Charleston Southern W 70-64 70%    
  Jan 24, 2026 164   Winthrop L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 29, 2026 109   @ High Point L 63-75 15%    
  Jan 31, 2026 148   Radford L 63-66 40%    
  Feb 07, 2026 307   Gardner-Webb W 72-66 69%    
  Feb 12, 2026 313   @ Charleston Southern W 68-67 51%    
  Feb 14, 2026 198   @ UNC Asheville L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 19, 2026 202   Longwood L 69-70 50%    
  Feb 21, 2026 332   @ South Carolina Upstate W 74-72 55%    
  Feb 26, 2026 109   High Point L 66-72 30%    
  Feb 28, 2026 164   @ Winthrop L 70-78 26%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 4.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.8 2.3 0.7 0.1 7.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 3.2 4.3 2.1 0.3 0.0 11.0 3rd
4th 0.2 1.8 5.1 4.7 2.0 0.2 0.0 13.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.2 6.2 5.5 1.5 0.2 16.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.1 6.8 4.0 1.1 0.1 17.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.8 5.5 2.6 0.3 0.0 13.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.4 3.4 1.5 0.2 9.7 8th
9th 0.3 1.4 2.0 1.7 0.6 0.1 6.1 9th
Total 0.3 1.4 3.3 6.0 8.6 11.5 13.0 12.3 12.6 9.8 8.1 5.8 3.9 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
14-2 92.0% 0.8    0.7 0.2
13-3 66.6% 1.3    0.9 0.4 0.0
12-4 31.6% 1.2    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0
11-5 11.5% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
10-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 2.3 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 75.0% 75.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 35.0% 35.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 0.9% 30.0% 30.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
13-3 2.0% 23.2% 23.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.5
12-4 3.9% 17.2% 17.2% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.2
11-5 5.8% 14.2% 14.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 5.0
10-6 8.1% 8.4% 8.4% 16.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 7.4
9-7 9.8% 4.9% 4.9% 18.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 9.4
8-8 12.6% 3.1% 3.1% 18.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 12.2
7-9 12.3% 2.0% 2.0% 17.2 0.0 0.2 12.1
6-10 13.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.7 0.2 12.9
5-11 11.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.5
4-12 8.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.6
3-13 6.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.0
2-14 3.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.3
1-15 1.4% 1.4
0-16 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.4 95.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%