Preseason Rankings
Gardner-Webb
Big South
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.2#307
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.9#73
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#304
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#294
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 3.2% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.6 14.5 15.2
.500 or above 5.5% 20.5% 4.7%
.500 or above in Conference 10.8% 22.2% 10.2%
Conference Champion 0.3% 1.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 32.2% 17.1% 33.1%
First Four0.7% 0.5% 0.7%
First Round1.5% 3.2% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Minnesota (Away) - 5.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 32 - 72 - 14
Quad 46 - 67 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 87   @ Minnesota L 59-76 5%    
  Nov 07, 2025 42   @ Clemson L 56-80 1%    
  Nov 15, 2025 224   @ Elon L 66-74 25%    
  Nov 18, 2025 83   @ DePaul L 64-82 6%    
  Nov 22, 2025 131   @ Richmond L 62-75 12%    
  Nov 26, 2025 230   Navy L 70-74 35%    
  Nov 28, 2025 250   SE Louisiana L 70-73 38%    
  Nov 29, 2025 120   @ UNC Wilmington L 64-78 11%    
  Dec 03, 2025 242   @ Queens L 72-79 28%    
  Dec 06, 2025 243   Georgia Southern L 75-76 47%    
  Dec 15, 2025 205   Wofford L 68-71 41%    
  Dec 21, 2025 16   @ Tennessee L 52-81 1%    
  Jan 03, 2026 164   @ Winthrop L 74-85 18%    
  Jan 07, 2026 109   @ High Point L 66-81 10%    
  Jan 14, 2026 148   Radford L 65-71 31%    
  Jan 17, 2026 263   Presbyterian W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 21, 2026 202   @ Longwood L 70-79 23%    
  Jan 24, 2026 332   South Carolina Upstate W 81-76 67%    
  Jan 29, 2026 198   @ UNC Asheville L 70-79 23%    
  Feb 04, 2026 202   Longwood L 73-76 41%    
  Feb 07, 2026 263   @ Presbyterian L 66-72 31%    
  Feb 12, 2026 164   Winthrop L 77-82 35%    
  Feb 14, 2026 109   @ High Point L 66-81 10%    
  Feb 19, 2026 148   @ Radford L 62-74 16%    
  Feb 26, 2026 198   UNC Asheville L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 28, 2026 332   @ South Carolina Upstate L 78-79 47%    
Projected Record 7 - 19 4 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.1 2.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 2.2 1.4 0.2 5.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.2 2.2 0.3 9.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.6 5.8 2.4 0.3 14.4 6th
7th 0.4 2.8 7.1 7.8 3.0 0.3 0.0 21.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 5.1 8.4 6.9 2.5 0.3 24.6 8th
9th 2.6 6.6 6.7 3.9 1.0 0.1 20.9 9th
Total 2.7 7.8 12.2 15.2 16.1 15.3 11.6 8.2 5.4 3.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 91.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0
12-4 62.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 9.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.1% 32.9% 32.9% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.2% 15.7% 15.7% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-5 0.6% 18.0% 18.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
10-6 1.4% 13.1% 13.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2
9-7 3.0% 8.4% 8.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.8
8-8 5.4% 6.1% 6.1% 18.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.1
7-9 8.2% 3.1% 3.1% 16.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 8.0
6-10 11.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.6 0.0 0.2 11.5
5-11 15.3% 0.9% 0.9% 17.6 0.0 0.1 15.1
4-12 16.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 16.1
3-13 15.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.2
2-14 12.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.2
1-15 7.8% 7.8
0-16 2.7% 2.7
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 16.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%