Preseason Rankings
Ivy League
2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
97 Yale 41.5%   12   0 - 0 0 - 0 18 - 6 10 - 4 +5.4      +3.4 84 +2.0 116 68.5 165 0.0 1 0.0 1
165 Cornell 12.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 12 8 - 6 -0.6      +3.0 93 -3.7 295 75.4 27 0.0 1 0.0 1
169 Brown 11.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 12 8 - 6 -0.8      -2.0 232 +1.2 128 65.3 259 0.0 1 0.0 1
178 Harvard 11.4%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 13 7 - 7 -1.2      -1.4 218 +0.2 159 64.8 276 0.0 1 0.0 1
179 Princeton 11.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 14 7 - 7 -1.2      -1.2 210 -0.1 168 67.0 211 0.0 1 0.0 1
229 Dartmouth 5.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 14 6 - 8 -3.8      -3.2 268 -0.6 187 75.2 29 0.0 1 0.0 1
267 Columbia 3.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 15 5 - 9 -5.7      -0.5 181 -5.3 329 75.5 25 0.0 1 0.0 1
278 Penn 2.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 16 5 - 9 -6.4      -1.2 211 -5.3 330 67.6 193 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 2.0 54.8 20.4 10.6 6.7 3.6 2.2 1.2 0.5
Cornell 3.8 15.4 18.2 16.5 14.8 12.3 10.2 7.7 4.8
Brown 3.8 14.1 17.9 16.7 15.3 13.1 10.3 7.7 5.0
Harvard 4.0 12.9 16.0 16.5 15.2 13.0 11.5 8.8 6.0
Princeton 4.0 13.0 15.9 16.6 15.0 13.9 11.2 9.0 5.5
Dartmouth 4.9 6.2 10.3 12.2 13.7 14.5 15.5 15.0 12.4
Columbia 5.6 3.1 6.2 8.5 11.0 13.8 17.3 19.1 21.0
Penn 5.8 2.5 5.1 7.6 10.1 13.0 15.9 20.4 25.4




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 10 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.1 5.7 8.3 11.6 14.8 16.7 16.7 12.8 7.1
Cornell 8 - 6 0.1 0.8 2.0 4.0 6.5 9.4 11.5 13.1 14.1 12.3 10.6 8.3 4.6 2.2 0.5
Brown 8 - 6 0.2 0.9 2.2 3.9 6.7 9.3 12.2 13.7 14.1 12.8 10.3 7.3 4.2 1.9 0.4
Harvard 7 - 7 0.3 1.0 2.6 4.7 7.4 10.3 12.4 13.8 13.7 12.1 9.3 6.8 3.6 1.6 0.4
Princeton 7 - 7 0.2 1.1 2.3 4.6 7.9 9.8 12.6 13.8 13.5 12.3 9.4 6.7 3.9 1.4 0.4
Dartmouth 6 - 8 0.8 2.6 5.7 9.4 11.9 13.4 13.4 12.9 10.5 8.2 5.9 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1
Columbia 5 - 9 1.8 5.6 9.4 12.3 14.7 14.6 13.2 10.3 7.4 5.2 3.1 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0
Penn 5 - 9 2.1 7.4 11.0 14.3 14.5 14.1 11.9 9.5 6.8 4.3 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 54.8% 42.4 10.0 2.1 0.3 0.0
Cornell 15.4% 9.2 4.8 1.2 0.2 0.0
Brown 14.1% 8.4 4.2 1.2 0.2 0.0
Harvard 12.9% 7.6 4.1 0.9 0.2 0.0
Princeton 13.0% 7.6 4.1 1.1 0.2 0.0
Dartmouth 6.2% 3.4 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0
Columbia 3.1% 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Penn 2.5% 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 41.5% 41.3% 0.2% 12   0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.1 8.3 13.8 9.4 5.1 1.9 0.4 58.5 0.3%
Cornell 12.5% 12.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.9 3.3 2.8 2.0 0.7 87.5 0.0%
Brown 11.9% 11.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.5 3.3 3.3 1.7 0.5 88.1 0.0%
Harvard 11.4% 11.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.0 3.3 2.9 1.8 1.0 88.6 0.0%
Princeton 11.5% 11.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.2 2.9 2.6 2.0 1.2 88.5 0.0%
Dartmouth 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.7 94.1 0.0%
Columbia 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.5 96.9 0.0%
Penn 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.6 97.4 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 41.5% 0.2% 41.5% 8.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 12.5% 0.3% 12.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 11.9% 0.2% 12.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 11.4% 0.5% 11.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 11.5% 0.7% 11.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 5.9% 0.4% 5.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 3.1% 0.2% 3.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 2.6% 0.3% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.8 0.2
1st Round 99.2% 1.0 0.8 97.8 1.4 0.0
2nd Round 12.2% 0.1 87.8 12.2 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 2.5% 0.0 97.5 2.5
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0