IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Columbia
Ivy League
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.7	#267
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	75.5	#25
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.5	#181

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.3	#329

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.1%	3.4%	1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.7	14.1	14.6

.500 or above	32.8%	37.2%	13.4%
.500 or above in Conference	28.5%	30.9%	17.6%
Conference Champion	3.1%	3.5%	1.3%
Last Place in Conference	30.5%	27.8%	42.0%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
First Round	3.1%	3.5%	1.7%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: New Haven (Away) - 81.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 9
Quad 4	9 - 6	11 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2025	363	@ New Haven	W	81-71	81%
Nov 10, 2025	4	@ Connecticut	L	59-90	0.3%
Nov 13, 2025	301	Umass Lowell	W	83-78	67%
Nov 18, 2025	280	Boston University	W	73-69	63%
Nov 21, 2025	302	@ Lehigh	L	75-76	48%
Nov 23, 2025	202	Longwood	L	79-80	48%
Nov 26, 2025	320	@ Fairfield	W	75-74	52%
Dec 03, 2025	182	Hofstra	L	69-70	46%
Dec 06, 2025	296	Albany	W	80-75	66%
Dec 09, 2025	298	@ Stony Brook	L	74-75	46%
Dec 21, 2025	91	@ California	L	71-85	11%
Dec 28, 2025	330	@ North Florida	W	86-85	55%
Jan 05, 2026	165	@ Cornell	L	81-89	24%
Jan 10, 2026	178	Harvard	L	74-75	45%
Jan 17, 2026	169	@ Brown	L	70-78	26%
Jan 19, 2026	97	@ Yale	L	71-85	11%
Jan 24, 2026	229	@ Dartmouth	L	77-82	34%
Jan 30, 2026	278	Penn	W	81-77	62%
Jan 31, 2026	179	Princeton	L	75-76	45%
Feb 07, 2026	165	Cornell	L	84-86	44%
Feb 13, 2026	278	@ Penn	L	78-80	42%
Feb 14, 2026	179	@ Princeton	L	72-79	27%
Feb 21, 2026	229	Dartmouth	W	80-79	52%
Feb 27, 2026	169	Brown	L	73-75	44%
Feb 28, 2026	97	Yale	L	74-82	25%
Mar 07, 2026	178	@ Harvard	L	71-78	27%
Projected Record						11 - 15	5 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.3	1.0	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0		3.1	1st
2nd								0.1	1.3	2.5	1.8	0.6	0.0				6.2	2nd
3rd							0.2	2.0	3.7	2.2	0.3	0.0					8.5	3rd
4th						0.2	2.9	5.4	2.3	0.2	0.0						11.0	4th
5th					0.4	3.8	6.9	2.6	0.2								13.8	5th
6th			0.0	1.0	5.1	7.9	3.1	0.2									17.3	6th
7th		0.2	2.1	6.3	7.8	2.5	0.1										19.1	7th
8th	1.8	5.4	7.3	5.0	1.5	0.1											21.0	8th

Total	1.8	5.6	9.4	12.3	14.7	14.6	13.2	10.3	7.4	5.2	3.1	1.5	0.7	0.2	0.0			Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
13-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
12-2	93.8%	0.6		0.5	0.1
11-3	61.6%	0.9		0.5	0.4	0.0
10-4	32.4%	1.0		0.3	0.5	0.2	0.0
9-5	5.3%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.5%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	3.1%	3.1		1.5	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.0%		32.9%	32.9%		11.5												0.0	0.0					0.0
13-1	0.2%		33.2%	33.2%		12.6													0.0	0.0				0.1
12-2	0.7%		36.1%	36.1%		12.9													0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.4
11-3	1.5%		27.8%	27.8%		13.3												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.1
10-4	3.1%		17.3%	17.3%		13.9													0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	2.6
9-5	5.2%		13.5%	13.5%		14.5													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	4.5
8-6	7.4%		9.2%	9.2%		16.3													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	6.7
7-7	10.3%		3.6%	3.6%		16.4														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	9.9
6-8	13.2%		0.5%	0.5%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	13.1
5-9	14.6%																							14.6
4-10	14.7%																							14.7
3-11	12.3%																							12.3
2-12	9.4%																							9.4
1-13	5.6%																							5.6
0-14	1.8%																							1.8

Total	100%		3.1%	3.1%	0.0%	14.7												0.0	0.2	0.7	0.9	0.8	0.5	96.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%