IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Cornell
Ivy League
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.6	#165
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	75.4	#27
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.0	#93

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.7	#295

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	12.5%	17.2%	10.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.5	12.9	13.5

.500 or above	52.5%	71.1%	44.7%
.500 or above in Conference	65.6%	75.9%	61.3%
Conference Champion	15.4%	22.0%	12.6%
Last Place in Conference	8.4%	4.8%	9.8%

First Four	0.3%	0.1%	0.4%
First Round	12.6%	17.3%	10.6%
Second Round	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Kent St. (Away) - 29.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 3	4 - 5	4 - 10
Quad 4	9 - 3	13 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2025	127	@ Kent St.	L	73-79	29%
Nov 09, 2025	105	@ Illinois St.	L	74-82	23%
Nov 13, 2025	308	@ Lafayette	W	77-72	67%
Nov 18, 2025	353	Army	W	86-71	92%
Nov 20, 2025	227	Colgate	W	81-75	70%
Nov 30, 2025	286	@ Bucknell	W	79-76	62%
Dec 02, 2025	101	@ George Mason	L	68-77	22%
Dec 03, 2025	136	@ Towson	L	71-76	32%
Dec 07, 2025	171	@ Samford	L	82-85	41%
Dec 21, 2025	296	@ Albany	W	81-77	63%
Dec 29, 2025	21	@ Michigan St.	L	67-87	5%
Jan 05, 2026	267	Columbia	W	89-81	76%
Jan 10, 2026	229	Dartmouth	W	83-77	70%
Jan 17, 2026	97	@ Yale	L	74-83	22%
Jan 19, 2026	169	@ Brown	L	73-76	41%
Jan 24, 2026	178	@ Harvard	L	74-76	42%
Jan 30, 2026	179	Princeton	W	79-75	62%
Jan 31, 2026	278	Penn	W	84-75	76%
Feb 07, 2026	267	@ Columbia	W	86-84	56%
Feb 13, 2026	179	@ Princeton	L	76-78	42%
Feb 14, 2026	278	@ Penn	W	81-78	60%
Feb 21, 2026	178	Harvard	W	77-73	62%
Feb 27, 2026	97	Yale	L	77-80	40%
Feb 28, 2026	169	Brown	W	76-73	60%
Mar 07, 2026	229	@ Dartmouth	W	81-80	51%
Projected Record						13 - 12	8 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.1	0.8	2.8	5.0	4.0	2.2	0.5		15.4	1st
2nd								0.1	2.0	5.9	6.4	3.2	0.6				18.2	2nd
3rd							0.2	2.7	7.1	5.0	1.3	0.1					16.5	3rd
4th						0.2	2.7	6.9	4.5	0.6	0.0						14.8	4th
5th					0.2	2.6	6.0	3.2	0.3	0.0							12.3	5th
6th			0.0	0.3	2.1	5.1	2.4	0.2									10.2	6th
7th		0.0	0.5	1.9	3.6	1.5	0.1										7.7	7th
8th	0.1	0.8	1.5	1.7	0.6	0.1											4.8	8th

Total	0.1	0.8	2.0	4.0	6.5	9.4	11.5	13.1	14.1	12.3	10.6	8.3	4.6	2.2	0.5			Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.5		0.5
13-1	100.0%	2.2		2.1	0.1
12-2	87.8%	4.0		3.0	1.0	0.0
11-3	60.8%	5.0		2.8	2.0	0.2
10-4	26.6%	2.8		0.8	1.4	0.6	0.1
9-5	6.2%	0.8		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.4%	0.1				0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	15.4%	15.4		9.2	4.8	1.2	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.5%		64.5%	63.1%	1.4%	11.2					0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.2		3.7%
13-1	2.2%		50.4%	50.1%	0.3%	11.7									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0		1.1		0.6%
12-2	4.6%		39.9%	39.9%		12.4											0.0	0.3	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.0		2.7
11-3	8.3%		31.8%	31.8%		13.0												0.1	0.8	1.0	0.6	0.1	0.0	5.7
10-4	10.6%		22.8%	22.8%		13.5												0.0	0.5	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.0	8.2
9-5	12.3%		16.7%	16.7%		14.4													0.1	0.6	0.7	0.6	0.1	10.3
8-6	14.1%		11.5%	11.5%		15.2												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	0.3	12.4
7-7	13.1%		3.5%	3.5%		16.2														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	12.6
6-8	11.5%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.4
5-9	9.4%																							9.4
4-10	6.5%																							6.5
3-11	4.0%																							4.0
2-12	2.0%																							2.0
1-13	0.8%																							0.8
0-14	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	13.5					0.0				0.0	0.0	0.1	1.0	2.9	3.3	2.8	2.0	0.7	87.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%