IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-14.5	#358
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.7	#36
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.6	#343

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.9	#360

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.9%	7.6%	4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.9	15.9	15.9

.500 or above	10.9%	47.5%	10.7%
.500 or above in Conference	34.6%	66.5%	34.4%
Conference Champion	6.5%	19.1%	6.4%
Last Place in Conference	21.8%	10.4%	21.8%

First Four	4.5%	6.6%	4.5%
First Round	2.4%	5.7%	2.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Georgetown (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 4	8 - 12	9 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	68	@ Georgetown	L	63-89	1%
Nov 11, 2025	304	Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	80-83	38%
Nov 15, 2025	362	@ Mercyhurst	L	70-71	49%
Nov 18, 2025	349	N.C. A&T	W	77-76	53%
Nov 21, 2025	195	@ Old Dominion	L	66-81	9%
Nov 25, 2025	225	Drexel	L	64-72	25%
Dec 06, 2025	202	Longwood	L	73-82	21%
Dec 09, 2025	83	@ DePaul	L	63-87	2%
Dec 13, 2025	333	Niagara	L	71-72	46%
Dec 19, 2025	91	@ California	L	64-87	2%
Dec 21, 2025	77	@ San Francisco	L	63-88	2%
Dec 23, 2025	135	@ Loyola Marymount	L	64-83	5%
Jan 03, 2026	360	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	L	71-73	44%
Jan 10, 2026	312	South Carolina St.	L	74-77	40%
Jan 12, 2026	329	NC Central	L	75-76	45%
Jan 17, 2026	341	@ Delaware St.	L	75-81	31%
Jan 24, 2026	328	@ Howard	L	75-82	27%
Jan 26, 2026	260	@ Norfolk St.	L	67-79	16%
Jan 31, 2026	361	@ Coppin St.	L	71-73	44%
Feb 07, 2026	360	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	74-70	63%
Feb 14, 2026	312	@ South Carolina St.	L	71-80	23%
Feb 16, 2026	329	@ NC Central	L	72-79	27%
Feb 21, 2026	341	Delaware St.	L	78-79	50%
Feb 28, 2026	328	Howard	L	78-79	46%
Mar 02, 2026	260	Norfolk St.	L	70-76	30%
Mar 05, 2026	361	Coppin St.	W	74-70	64%
Projected Record						8 - 18	5 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st								0.0	0.4	1.4	1.8	1.6	0.9	0.4	0.0		6.5	1st
2nd							0.1	1.0	3.7	3.7	1.9	0.5	0.1				10.9	2nd
3rd						0.1	1.7	5.6	4.2	1.4	0.2	0.0					13.2	3rd
4th					0.1	2.2	6.6	4.5	0.8	0.0							14.2	4th
5th				0.1	1.8	6.8	4.3	0.5	0.0								13.6	5th
6th			0.1	1.7	6.7	4.7	0.5	0.0									13.6	6th
7th		0.3	2.8	6.5	4.2	0.6											14.3	7th
8th	1.1	3.9	5.4	2.8	0.4	0.0											13.7	8th

Total	1.1	4.2	8.2	11.0	13.3	14.3	13.2	11.7	9.0	6.5	3.9	2.1	1.0	0.4	0.0			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
13-1	100.0%	0.4		0.4	0.0
12-2	94.3%	0.9		0.8	0.2
11-3	75.6%	1.6		1.1	0.4	0.0
10-4	45.9%	1.8		0.9	0.8	0.1
9-5	21.0%	1.4		0.3	0.7	0.4	0.0
8-6	3.9%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.2%	0.0					0.0	0.0

Total	6.5%	6.5		3.5	2.1	0.7	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.0%		83.3%	83.3%		18.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-1	0.4%		53.7%	53.7%		17.1															0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2
12-2	1.0%		35.1%	35.1%		19.1																0.1	0.4	0.6
11-3	2.1%		27.8%	27.8%		17.7																0.0	0.6	1.5
10-4	3.9%		18.7%	18.7%		17.6																0.1	0.8	3.2
9-5	6.5%		11.3%	11.3%		16.5																	0.8	5.7
8-6	9.0%		7.7%	7.7%		16.3																	0.7	8.3
7-7	11.7%		6.2%	6.2%		16.2																	0.7	11.0
6-8	13.2%		3.5%	3.5%		16.0																	0.5	12.7
5-9	14.3%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.3	14.1
4-10	13.3%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	13.2
3-11	11.0%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.0
2-12	8.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.2
1-13	4.2%																							4.2
0-14	1.1%																							1.1

Total	100%		4.9%	4.9%	0.0%	16.9															0.0	0.2	5.0	95.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%