Preseason Rankings
Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#341
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.1#50
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#324
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#339
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.3% 16.3% 8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.0 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 19.5% 47.0% 17.6%
.500 or above in Conference 33.7% 51.4% 32.6%
Conference Champion 4.4% 9.4% 4.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.4% 7.7% 17.0%
First Four7.9% 11.8% 7.7%
First Round5.6% 11.9% 5.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Temple (Away) - 6.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 48 - 89 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2025 133   @ Temple L 69-85 6%    
  Nov 08, 2025 64   @ Syracuse L 65-89 1%    
  Nov 10, 2025 333   @ Niagara L 68-72 36%    
  Nov 15, 2025 363   @ New Haven W 75-71 65%    
  Nov 23, 2025 55   @ Miami (FL) L 64-88 2%    
  Nov 29, 2025 304   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 77-83 29%    
  Dec 03, 2025 230   Navy L 71-76 34%    
  Dec 06, 2025 236   Delaware L 77-81 36%    
  Dec 13, 2025 202   @ Longwood L 71-83 15%    
  Dec 18, 2025 110   @ Saint Joseph's L 64-82 6%    
  Dec 29, 2025 82   @ Rutgers L 64-85 4%    
  Jan 03, 2026 361   Coppin St. W 75-68 73%    
  Jan 10, 2026 260   Norfolk St. L 71-74 40%    
  Jan 12, 2026 328   @ Howard L 76-80 36%    
  Jan 17, 2026 358   Morgan St. W 81-75 69%    
  Jan 24, 2026 329   @ NC Central L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 07, 2026 361   @ Coppin St. W 72-71 55%    
  Feb 14, 2026 260   @ Norfolk St. L 68-77 23%    
  Feb 16, 2026 328   Howard W 79-77 56%    
  Feb 21, 2026 358   @ Morgan St. W 79-78 50%    
  Feb 28, 2026 329   NC Central W 75-73 56%    
  Mar 05, 2026 360   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 72-71 54%    
Projected Record 8 - 14 5 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.7 0.6 4.4 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 4.4 3.7 0.8 0.0 10.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.1 6.9 4.9 0.9 0.0 14.9 3rd
4th 0.1 2.4 7.7 5.1 0.8 0.0 16.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.2 8.0 5.3 0.5 0.0 16.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.7 7.1 5.1 0.7 15.8 6th
7th 0.3 2.5 5.5 3.9 0.6 12.9 7th
8th 0.8 2.5 3.5 2.2 0.3 0.0 9.3 8th
Total 0.8 2.8 6.2 10.6 13.7 16.3 15.9 13.8 10.6 6.2 2.6 0.6 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 95.1% 0.6    0.5 0.1
10-4 66.6% 1.7    0.9 0.7 0.1
9-5 25.6% 1.6    0.4 0.8 0.4 0.0
8-6 4.7% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
7-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
Total 4.4% 4.4 1.8 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.6% 55.4% 55.4% 17.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3
10-4 2.6% 40.3% 40.3% 18.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5
9-5 6.2% 25.4% 25.4% 18.2 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.6
8-6 10.6% 17.9% 17.9% 17.0 0.1 1.9 8.7
7-7 13.8% 12.0% 12.0% 16.5 0.0 0.0 1.7 12.1
6-8 15.9% 8.2% 8.2% 16.4 1.3 14.6
5-9 16.3% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 1.0 15.4
4-10 13.7% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 13.4
3-11 10.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 10.4
2-12 6.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 6.2
1-13 2.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.8
0-14 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.7
Total 100% 9.3% 9.3% 0.0% 17.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 9.0 90.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%