IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Coppin St.
Mid-Eastern
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-15.8	#361
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.8	#126
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-11.1	#363

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.7	#319

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.9%	13.0%	2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.3	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	1.3%	9.3%	1.2%
.500 or above in Conference	25.9%	50.0%	25.8%
Conference Champion	3.9%	9.3%	3.9%
Last Place in Conference	28.8%	9.2%	28.8%

First Four	2.8%	13.0%	2.7%
First Round	1.2%	7.3%	1.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Maryland (Neutral) - 0.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 7
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 12
Quad 4	6 - 13	7 - 25

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	40	Maryland	L	56-84	0.4%
Nov 05, 2025	187	@ La Salle	L	61-78	6%
Nov 09, 2025	132	@ James Madison	L	57-78	3%
Nov 12, 2025	95	@ South Florida	L	58-82	1%
Nov 14, 2025	299	Central Michigan	L	64-72	23%
Nov 14, 2025	167	South Alabama	L	55-70	9%
Nov 22, 2025	60	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	52-80	1%
Nov 25, 2025	309	@ Rider	L	61-71	18%
Nov 30, 2025	316	@ Loyola Maryland	L	62-72	19%
Dec 03, 2025	58	@ West Virginia	L	51-79	1%
Dec 06, 2025	100	@ Liberty	L	54-78	2%
Dec 09, 2025	110	@ Saint Joseph's	L	57-80	3%
Dec 14, 2025	148	@ Radford	L	56-75	5%
Dec 19, 2025	230	@ Navy	L	61-76	10%
Dec 22, 2025	68	@ Georgetown	L	56-83	1%
Dec 29, 2025	304	Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	72-77	34%
Jan 03, 2026	341	@ Delaware St.	L	68-75	27%
Jan 10, 2026	329	NC Central	L	67-70	41%
Jan 12, 2026	312	South Carolina St.	L	67-71	36%
Jan 17, 2026	360	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	L	65-68	40%
Jan 24, 2026	260	@ Norfolk St.	L	60-74	13%
Jan 26, 2026	328	Howard	L	71-74	41%
Jan 31, 2026	358	Morgan St.	W	73-71	56%
Feb 07, 2026	341	Delaware St.	L	71-72	45%
Feb 14, 2026	329	@ NC Central	L	64-73	24%
Feb 16, 2026	312	@ South Carolina St.	L	64-74	20%
Feb 21, 2026	360	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	68-65	59%
Feb 28, 2026	260	Norfolk St.	L	63-71	27%
Mar 02, 2026	328	@ Howard	L	68-77	24%
Mar 05, 2026	358	@ Morgan St.	L	70-74	36%
Projected Record						6 - 24	5 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st								0.0	0.2	0.9	1.3	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.0		3.9	1st
2nd							0.1	0.8	2.8	2.8	1.1	0.4	0.0				7.9	2nd
3rd						0.1	1.4	4.8	3.4	1.1	0.1	0.0					10.9	3rd
4th					0.1	2.1	6.1	3.6	0.6	0.0							12.6	4th
5th			0.0	0.0	2.1	6.9	4.0	0.5									13.6	5th
6th			0.1	2.2	7.0	4.6	0.6										14.5	6th
7th		0.3	3.4	8.1	5.1	0.7	0.0										17.5	7th
8th	2.1	5.7	7.0	3.6	0.5	0.0											19.0	8th

Total	2.1	6.0	10.5	14.0	14.9	14.4	12.2	9.7	7.1	4.8	2.5	1.2	0.4	0.2	0.0			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
13-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
12-2	90.4%	0.4		0.3	0.0
11-3	70.6%	0.9		0.6	0.2	0.0
10-4	50.3%	1.3		0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0
9-5	19.4%	0.9		0.1	0.5	0.3
8-6	3.2%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0

Total	3.9%	3.9		2.1	1.2	0.5	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.0%		66.7%	66.7%		23.5																0.0	0.0	0.0
13-1	0.2%		44.4%	44.4%		18.3																0.0	0.1	0.1
12-2	0.4%		24.1%	24.1%		17.8																0.0	0.1	0.3
11-3	1.2%		26.6%	26.6%		16.6																0.0	0.3	0.9
10-4	2.5%		14.6%	14.6%		16.0																0.0	0.4	2.1
9-5	4.8%		8.0%	8.0%		16.3																	0.4	4.4
8-6	7.1%		7.4%	7.4%		16.2																0.0	0.5	6.6
7-7	9.7%		3.2%	3.2%		16.0																	0.3	9.4
6-8	12.2%		2.7%	2.7%		16.0																	0.3	11.9
5-9	14.4%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.3	14.1
4-10	14.9%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	14.8
3-11	14.0%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	13.9
2-12	10.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.4
1-13	6.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.0
0-14	2.1%																							2.1

Total	100%		2.9%	2.9%	0.0%	16.3																0.1	2.9	97.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.3%