IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Houston Christian
Southland
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.1	#288
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.8	#317
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.9	#287

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.2	#282

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.0%	4.5%	1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.7	13.8	14.4

.500 or above	25.7%	49.0%	22.9%
.500 or above in Conference	34.3%	50.7%	32.2%
Conference Champion	1.9%	4.8%	1.5%
Last Place in Conference	14.9%	7.7%	15.8%

First Four	0.2%	0.4%	0.2%
First Round	2.0%	4.5%	1.7%
Second Round	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UC San Diego (Away) - 11.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 10
Quad 4	10 - 8	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2025	119	@ UC San Diego	L	59-72	11%
Nov 13, 2025	347	Louisiana Monroe	W	71-63	76%
Nov 25, 2025	319	Bellarmine	W	70-68	57%
Nov 26, 2025	342	@ The Citadel	W	65-64	54%
Nov 29, 2025	243	@ Georgia Southern	L	68-74	31%
Dec 02, 2025	88	@ North Texas	L	51-67	8%
Dec 06, 2025	317	@ New Orleans	L	70-71	46%
Dec 13, 2025	250	SE Louisiana	W	67-66	52%
Dec 15, 2025	93	McNeese St.	L	60-70	20%
Dec 17, 2025	241	@ Nicholls St.	L	64-70	31%
Dec 29, 2025	20	@ Iowa St.	L	54-81	1%
Jan 03, 2026	214	@ Incarnate Word	L	62-69	27%
Jan 05, 2026	222	TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	66-67	47%
Jan 10, 2026	220	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	62-69	29%
Jan 12, 2026	211	@ Lamar	L	60-67	27%
Jan 17, 2026	331	East Texas A&M	W	69-63	70%
Jan 19, 2026	257	Northwestern St.	W	64-63	53%
Jan 24, 2026	275	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	72-70	56%
Jan 26, 2026	214	Incarnate Word	L	65-66	46%
Jan 31, 2026	222	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	63-70	29%
Feb 02, 2026	275	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	69-73	37%
Feb 07, 2026	250	@ SE Louisiana	L	64-69	33%
Feb 09, 2026	93	@ McNeese St.	L	57-73	10%
Feb 14, 2026	317	New Orleans	W	73-68	65%
Feb 16, 2026	241	Nicholls St.	W	68-67	50%
Feb 21, 2026	257	@ Northwestern St.	L	61-66	34%
Feb 23, 2026	331	@ East Texas A&M	W	66-65	51%
Feb 28, 2026	220	Stephen F. Austin	L	65-66	47%
Mar 02, 2026	211	Lamar	L	63-64	47%
Projected Record						11 - 18	9 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-22	1-21	2-20	3-19	4-18	5-17	6-16	7-15	8-14	9-13	10-12	11-11	12-10	13-9	14-8	15-7	16-6	17-5	18-4	19-3	20-2	21-1	22-0		Total
1st															0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.9	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.6	1.3	1.1	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0				4.6	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.3	1.2	2.0	1.4	0.5	0.1	0.0						5.6	3rd
4th											0.0	0.5	1.6	2.4	1.6	0.4	0.1								6.6	4th
5th										0.0	0.5	2.3	3.2	1.8	0.3	0.0									8.0	5th
6th									0.0	0.6	2.6	3.4	1.8	0.3	0.0										8.7	6th
7th								0.0	0.7	2.5	4.1	1.9	0.3	0.0											9.6	7th
8th							0.0	1.0	2.9	4.2	2.2	0.3	0.0												10.5	8th
9th					0.0	0.1	1.1	3.2	4.3	2.0	0.3	0.0													11.1	9th
10th				0.0	0.4	1.5	3.6	4.1	1.8	0.3	0.0														11.8	10th
11th		0.0	0.2	0.8	2.1	3.8	3.0	1.3	0.3	0.0	0.0														11.5	11th
12th	0.2	0.9	1.6	2.5	2.5	1.7	0.6	0.1																	10.1	12th

Total	0.2	0.9	1.8	3.3	5.0	7.1	8.3	9.7	10.0	9.6	9.7	8.5	7.2	5.9	4.6	3.2	2.0	1.4	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
22-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
21-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
20-2	96.4%	0.2		0.2	0.0
19-3	71.6%	0.3		0.3	0.1	0.0
18-4	48.4%	0.4		0.3	0.1	0.0
17-5	33.4%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.0
16-6	12.4%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
15-7	4.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-8	0.2%	0.0						0.0
13-9	0.0%
12-10	0.0%
11-11	0.0%

Total	1.9%	1.9		1.1	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
22-0	0.0%																	0.0
21-1	0.1%		45.5%	45.5%		12.0												0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0
20-2	0.2%		53.6%	53.6%		12.5												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
19-3	0.5%		29.9%	29.9%		12.9													0.0	0.1	0.0			0.3
18-4	0.9%		33.3%	33.3%		13.1												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.6
17-5	1.4%		15.5%	15.5%		14.4													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	1.2
16-6	2.0%		13.1%	13.1%		14.6														0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.7
15-7	3.2%		8.4%	8.4%		14.6														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	2.9
14-8	4.6%		4.8%	4.8%		16.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	4.3
13-9	5.9%		3.4%	3.4%		16.8															0.0	0.1	0.1	5.7
12-10	7.2%		1.9%	1.9%		15.3															0.0	0.1	0.0	7.0
11-11	8.5%		0.9%	0.9%		18.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	8.4
10-12	9.7%		0.6%	0.6%		15.8																0.0	0.0	9.7
9-13	9.6%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	9.6
8-14	10.0%																							10.0
7-15	9.7%																							9.7
6-16	8.3%																							8.3
5-17	7.1%																							7.1
4-18	5.0%																							5.0
3-19	3.3%																							3.3
2-20	1.8%																							1.8
1-21	0.9%																							0.9
0-22	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		2.0%	2.0%	0.0%	14.7												0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.6	0.4	98.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%