IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
New Orleans
Southland
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.8	#317
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.2	#68
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.0	#262

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.8	#341

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.1%	2.9%	1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.1	14.0	14.9

.500 or above	5.8%	23.5%	5.4%
.500 or above in Conference	23.9%	44.5%	23.5%
Conference Champion	0.7%	4.2%	0.6%
Last Place in Conference	23.0%	8.7%	23.4%

First Four	0.3%	0.0%	0.3%
First Round	1.1%	2.9%	1.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: TCU (Away) - 2.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 8
Quad 3	1 - 7	2 - 15
Quad 4	7 - 8	9 - 23

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	56	@ TCU	L	62-83	2%
Nov 10, 2025	53	@ LSU	L	64-86	2%
Nov 14, 2025	115	@ Tulane	L	67-82	9%
Nov 18, 2025	244	@ Pepperdine	L	73-80	26%
Nov 21, 2025	186	@ Fresno St.	L	74-84	18%
Nov 24, 2025	32	@ Mississippi St.	L	64-89	1%
Nov 26, 2025	12	@ Texas Tech	L	59-89	1%
Dec 03, 2025	51	@ Memphis	L	67-89	2%
Dec 06, 2025	288	Houston Christian	W	71-70	54%
Dec 08, 2025	214	Incarnate Word	L	71-74	40%
Dec 13, 2025	1	@ Houston	L	49-85	0.1%
Dec 29, 2025	275	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	75-81	31%
Dec 31, 2025	222	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	69-77	23%
Jan 03, 2026	257	@ Northwestern St.	L	66-73	28%
Jan 05, 2026	331	East Texas A&M	W	74-70	65%
Jan 10, 2026	241	Nicholls St.	L	74-75	45%
Jan 12, 2026	250	@ SE Louisiana	L	70-77	28%
Jan 17, 2026	220	Stephen F. Austin	L	71-73	42%
Jan 19, 2026	211	Lamar	L	68-71	40%
Jan 24, 2026	93	@ McNeese St.	L	63-80	7%
Jan 26, 2026	241	@ Nicholls St.	L	71-78	27%
Jan 31, 2026	257	Northwestern St.	L	69-70	48%
Feb 02, 2026	331	@ East Texas A&M	L	71-73	45%
Feb 07, 2026	275	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	79-78	51%
Feb 09, 2026	222	TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	72-74	42%
Feb 14, 2026	288	@ Houston Christian	L	68-73	35%
Feb 16, 2026	214	@ Incarnate Word	L	68-77	24%
Feb 21, 2026	211	@ Lamar	L	65-74	23%
Feb 23, 2026	220	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	68-76	25%
Feb 28, 2026	93	McNeese St.	L	66-77	18%
Mar 02, 2026	250	SE Louisiana	L	73-74	46%
Projected Record						9 - 22	8 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-22	1-21	2-20	3-19	4-18	5-17	6-16	7-15	8-14	9-13	10-12	11-11	12-10	13-9	14-8	15-7	16-6	17-5	18-4	19-3	20-2	21-1	22-0		Total
1st															0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.7	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0					2.6	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.3	0.9	1.2	0.8	0.3	0.1							3.7	3rd
4th											0.0	0.3	1.3	1.8	1.0	0.3	0.1								4.8	4th
5th										0.1	0.4	1.7	2.3	1.3	0.2	0.0									6.0	5th
6th									0.0	0.5	2.2	2.9	1.2	0.3	0.0										7.2	6th
7th								0.0	0.7	2.7	3.2	1.6	0.3	0.0											8.5	7th
8th						0.0	0.1	0.7	3.2	4.3	1.8	0.3													10.4	8th
9th					0.0	0.1	1.1	3.5	4.4	2.0	0.3	0.0													11.4	9th
10th				0.0	0.4	1.9	4.3	4.3	2.0	0.3	0.0														13.3	10th
11th		0.0	0.3	1.2	3.3	5.0	3.7	1.4	0.3																15.0	11th
12th	0.6	1.7	3.1	4.0	3.7	2.4	0.7	0.1	0.0																16.4	12th

Total	0.6	1.8	3.4	5.3	7.4	9.4	9.9	10.0	10.6	9.8	7.9	6.8	5.4	4.5	2.9	2.0	1.2	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0				Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
22-0
21-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
20-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
19-3	89.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0
18-4	50.0%	0.1		0.1	0.1	0.0
17-5	26.0%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
16-6	14.0%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
15-7	2.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-8	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0
13-9	0.0%
12-10	0.0%
11-11	0.0%

Total	0.7%	0.7		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1	0.0%		50.0%	50.0%		11.0												0.0						0.0
20-2	0.0%		16.7%	16.7%		12.0													0.0					0.0
19-3	0.1%		29.8%	29.8%		12.7													0.0	0.0				0.0
18-4	0.3%		19.0%	19.0%		13.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.2
17-5	0.7%		19.8%	19.8%		13.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0		0.5
16-6	1.2%		18.6%	18.6%		14.9														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.0
15-7	2.0%		9.1%	9.1%		17.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	1.8
14-8	2.9%		6.1%	6.1%		16.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	2.7
13-9	4.5%		2.3%	2.3%		16.5															0.0	0.0	0.1	4.4
12-10	5.4%		1.2%	1.2%		19.4																0.0	0.1	5.4
11-11	6.8%		0.9%	0.9%		21.3																	0.1	6.8
10-12	7.9%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	7.9
9-13	9.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	9.8
8-14	10.6%																							10.6
7-15	10.0%																							10.0
6-16	9.9%																							9.9
5-17	9.4%																							9.4
4-18	7.4%																							7.4
3-19	5.3%																							5.3
2-20	3.4%																							3.4
1-21	1.8%																							1.8
0-22	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		1.1%	1.1%	0.0%	16.1												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.4	98.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.5%