IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
LSU
Southeastern
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+10.4	#53
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.7	#128
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+5.5	#53

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.9	#53

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%
Top 2 Seed	1.2%	1.2%	0.2%
Top 4 Seed	4.3%	4.5%	0.6%
Top 6 Seed	10.4%	10.7%	2.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid	32.2%	33.1%	10.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	31.4%	32.2%	10.6%
Average Seed	7.5	7.5	8.1

.500 or above	64.2%	65.5%	28.3%
.500 or above in Conference	30.2%	30.9%	10.8%
Conference Champion	1.2%	1.3%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	16.2%	15.5%	33.5%

First Four	4.8%	4.9%	1.9%
First Round	29.8%	30.6%	9.8%
Second Round	18.0%	18.5%	4.6%
Sweet Sixteen	6.4%	6.6%	1.5%
Elite Eight	2.4%	2.5%	0.2%
Final Four	0.8%	0.8%	0.2%
Championship Game	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Tarleton St. (Home) - 96.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 7	2 - 7
Quad 1b	2 - 4	4 - 11
Quad 2	4 - 3	7 - 13
Quad 3	3 - 1	10 - 14
Quad 4	7 - 0	17 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2025	273	Tarleton St.	W	77-58	96%
Nov 10, 2025	317	New Orleans	W	86-64	98%
Nov 13, 2025	209	Florida International	W	80-64	93%
Nov 18, 2025	323	Alcorn St.	W	80-57	98%
Nov 21, 2025	177	Nebraska Omaha	W	82-67	90%
Nov 28, 2025	113	Drake	W	65-58	73%
Dec 03, 2025	96	@ Boston College	W	73-71	57%
Dec 07, 2025	12	Texas Tech	L	68-75	26%
Dec 13, 2025	46	SMU	L	74-76	45%
Dec 19, 2025	250	SE Louisiana	W	80-62	94%
Dec 22, 2025	340	Prairie View	W	87-62	98%
Dec 29, 2025	276	Southern Miss	W	85-65	95%
Jan 03, 2026	36	@ Texas A&M	L	68-74	30%
Jan 06, 2026	71	South Carolina	W	72-67	67%
Jan 10, 2026	41	@ Vanderbilt	L	73-78	33%
Jan 14, 2026	7	Kentucky	L	74-80	31%
Jan 17, 2026	37	Missouri	W	76-75	51%
Jan 20, 2026	5	@ Florida	L	69-83	12%
Jan 24, 2026	17	@ Arkansas	L	69-79	21%
Jan 28, 2026	32	Mississippi St.	L	73-74	49%
Jan 31, 2026	71	@ South Carolina	L	69-70	48%
Feb 07, 2026	52	Georgia	W	73-70	60%
Feb 10, 2026	17	Arkansas	L	72-76	39%
Feb 14, 2026	16	@ Tennessee	L	62-72	20%
Feb 17, 2026	38	@ Texas	L	70-76	32%
Feb 21, 2026	19	Alabama	L	81-84	40%
Feb 25, 2026	30	@ Mississippi	L	69-76	29%
Feb 28, 2026	47	Oklahoma	W	75-73	56%
Mar 03, 2026	22	@ Auburn	L	70-78	24%
Mar 07, 2026	36	Texas A&M	L	71-72	50%
Projected Record						17 - 13	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southeastern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.2	1st
2nd												0.0	0.4	0.9	0.7	0.2	0.0				2.2	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.4	1.1	0.9	0.2	0.0					2.7	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	1.5	1.5	0.2	0.0						3.5	4th
5th										0.1	1.6	2.1	0.6	0.0							4.4	5th
6th									0.0	0.9	2.6	1.3	0.1								4.9	6th
7th									0.3	2.6	2.2	0.3	0.0								5.4	7th
8th								0.1	1.9	3.1	0.7	0.0									5.8	8th
9th							0.0	1.1	3.9	1.8	0.1										6.9	9th
10th						0.0	0.4	3.4	3.4	0.4											7.5	10th
11th						0.2	2.4	4.3	1.2	0.0											8.2	11th
12th					0.1	1.3	4.2	2.4	0.1												8.1	12th
13th				0.1	1.0	4.1	3.6	0.6													9.5	13th
14th			0.0	1.1	3.6	4.2	1.2	0.0													10.0	14th
15th		0.1	1.2	3.4	3.7	1.4	0.1														9.9	15th
16th	0.7	2.1	3.1	2.6	1.0	0.1	0.0														9.6	16th

Total	0.7	2.2	4.4	7.2	9.4	11.4	11.9	11.9	10.9	9.0	7.6	5.5	3.7	2.2	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	82.2%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-3	66.2%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-4	25.0%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	8.3%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1
12-6	0.8%	0.0					0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.2%	1.2		0.6	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	67.4%	32.6%	1.0		0.0																		100.0%
17-1	0.1%		100.0%	21.4%	78.6%	1.4		0.1	0.0	0.0																100.0%
16-2	0.2%		100.0%	21.3%	78.7%	2.0		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0															100.0%
15-3	0.6%		100.0%	12.5%	87.5%	2.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0													100.0%
14-4	1.2%		100.0%	17.5%	82.5%	3.5		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0											100.0%
13-5	2.2%		100.0%	8.6%	91.4%	4.5		0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0									100.0%
12-6	3.7%		99.0%	6.1%	93.0%	5.8		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	1.0	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0							0.0		99.0%
11-7	5.5%		95.9%	3.7%	92.2%	6.9			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.0	1.4	1.0	0.5	0.3	0.0						0.2		95.7%
10-8	7.6%		85.7%	1.4%	84.3%	7.9			0.0		0.1	0.3	0.7	1.2	1.8	1.2	0.9	0.2						1.1		85.5%
9-9	9.0%		67.4%	0.9%	66.5%	8.8					0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.2	1.6	1.5	0.6	0.0					2.9		67.1%
8-10	10.9%		38.8%	0.3%	38.5%	9.7							0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.7	1.1	0.0					6.6		38.6%
7-11	11.9%		13.6%	0.2%	13.4%	10.3								0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.0	0.0				10.3		13.4%
6-12	11.9%		3.8%	0.1%	3.8%	10.8										0.0	0.1	0.3	0.0					11.5		3.8%
5-13	11.4%		0.4%		0.4%	11.3											0.0	0.0	0.0					11.4		0.4%
4-14	9.4%																							9.4
3-15	7.2%																							7.2
2-16	4.4%																							4.4
1-17	2.2%																							2.2
0-18	0.7%																							0.7

Total	100%		32.2%	1.2%	31.0%	7.5		0.3	0.8	1.2	1.9	2.7	3.4	4.3	5.0	4.6	5.0	2.9	0.2	0.0				67.8		31.4%