Pre-tourney Rankings
Big Sky
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
152 Eastern Washington 0.0%   19 - 11 15 - 3 19 - 11 15 - 3 +0.9      +4.3 75 -3.4 274 74.5 44 +2.6 127 +5.1 1
158 Montana 0.0%   20 - 11 12 - 6 20 - 11 12 - 6 +0.3      +4.0 80 -3.8 286 65.7 262 +0.9 144 -0.2 3
162 Weber St. 0.0%   17 - 12 11 - 7 17 - 12 11 - 7 +0.2      +1.6 137 -1.3 213 64.3 300 0.0 163 -1.6 4
206 Northern Colorado 0.0%   17 - 13 12 - 6 17 - 13 12 - 6 -2.4      +2.1 118 -4.4 310 73.1 59 -1.9 202 +0.2 2
214 Montana St. 100.0%   16   15 - 16 9 - 9 16 - 16 9 - 9 -2.8      -1.8 228 -1.0 202 70.5 112 -3.2 229 -4.0 5
253 Portland St. 0.0%   14 - 15 8 - 10 14 - 15 8 - 10 -4.8      -4.9 297 +0.1 168 72.4 71 -3.1 225 -5.2 6
254 Idaho St. 0.0%   12 - 20 7 - 11 12 - 20 7 - 11 -5.0      -2.0 232 -3.0 260 61.6 342 -6.3 277 -6.6 8
302 Sacramento St. 0.0%   8 - 24 4 - 14 8 - 24 4 - 14 -7.9      -5.0 298 -2.9 257 61.9 337 -8.7 310 -11.0 10
311 Northern Arizona 0.0%   14 - 19 7 - 11 14 - 19 7 - 11 -8.5      -4.8 294 -3.6 283 69.8 133 -4.6 253 -6.1 7
320 Idaho 0.0%   9 - 21 5 - 13 9 - 21 5 - 13 -9.3      -5.2 305 -4.1 298 63.4 316 -8.7 309 -9.0 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Eastern Washington 1.0 100.0
Montana 2.0 100.0
Weber St. 4.0 100.0
Northern Colorado 2.0 100.0
Montana St. 5.0 100.0
Portland St. 6.0 100.0
Idaho St. 7.0 100.0
Sacramento St. 10.0 100.0
Northern Arizona 7.0 100.0
Idaho 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Eastern Washington 15 - 3 100.0
Montana 12 - 6 100.0
Weber St. 11 - 7 100.0
Northern Colorado 12 - 6 100.0
Montana St. 9 - 9 100.0
Portland St. 8 - 10 100.0
Idaho St. 7 - 11 100.0
Sacramento St. 4 - 14 100.0
Northern Arizona 7 - 11 100.0
Idaho 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Eastern Washington 100.0% 100.0
Montana
Weber St.
Northern Colorado
Montana St.
Portland St.
Idaho St.
Sacramento St.
Northern Arizona
Idaho


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   100.0
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana St. 100.0% 100.0% 63.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 63.2% 0.6 36.8 63.2
2nd Round 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0