Pre-tourney Rankings
Fordham
Atlantic 10
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +0.5 153
Results Rating -1.8 194
Consistency 0.16 195
Pace 62.4 333
Improvement +5.5 23

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 256 D+ C C- D- C
Defense B- 78 B- C+ C B B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 197 C 58% 183 -0.4 197
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% 188 B+ 44% 36 +1.4 103
Three Pointers 41% 181 F+ 28% 357 -3.5 298
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 202 D+ -2.3 260
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 253
Second Chance B- 33.8% 82 D+ 0.95 299 C 0.32 152
Opponents' Steals C+ 8.8% 126
Other Turnovers D- 8.6% 328
Turnovers C- 17.4% 231
Freethrows D- 0.25 340 C- 71% 230 D- 0.18 335
Total Offense D+ -3.2 256

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 53% 106 B- 9.3% 94
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 165 C+ 4.1% 118
Three Pointers C 83% 209 D- 1.6% 329
Total C 55% 185 C+ 5.1% 120


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 321 C+ 57% 142 -3.7 60
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 51 C+ 38% 157 +1.6 306
Three Pointers 42% 133 B- 32% 98 -0.4 165
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -0.9 42 C+ -1.6 112
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 97
Second Chance B 26.7% 56 D 1.11 296 C+ 0.30 142
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.4% 109
Other Turnovers D 6.2% 317
Turnovers C 16.6% 181
Freethrows B 0.26 64 A 68% 9 B 0.18 44
Total Defense B- +3.6 78

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 56% 324 D+ 8.8% 260
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 44% 356 D+ 3.4% 276
Three Pointers D 88% 314 D- 0.1% 347
Total D- 64% 340 D 3.8% 319

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.2 342 17.2 151
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 256 0.15 117
Consistency 0.10 30 0.13 215
Improvement +1.5 118 +4.1 22

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 153 153 153
Results Rating Rank 194 194 194
Conference Record 8 - 10 8 - 10 8 - 10
Conference Finish 8 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 32 - 6
Quad 34 - 46 - 10
Quad 48 - 514 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 333 NJIT L 61 - 72 92% -5  23% 0 - 1 F -26 F -14 F C B+ F -13 F C+ C-
 Tue, Nov 11 310 Wagner W 63 - 61 88% -2  28% 1 - 1 D -10 D- -7 F C+ B C- -3 B F+ D
 Fri, Nov 14 254 @Iona L 71 - 76 60% +0  54% 1 - 2 D+ -7 D+ -4 F A+ C C- -3 F A+ F
 Thu, Nov 20 223 LIU Brooklyn W 69 - 53 74% +11  88% 2 - 2 B +10 D -4 B F B+ A+ +15 A+ A+ D+
 Sat, Nov 29 323 Albany W 88 - 68 84% +11  97% 3 - 2 B +10 B+ +9 A- A+ F C+ +1 A D+ F
 Sun, Nov 30 256 Colgate L 62 - 72 71% -9  1% 3 - 3 F+ -15 F -12 F+ C- F D+ -4 D- B+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 328 Holy Cross L 69 - 70 90% +7  85% 3 - 4 F+ -15 D- -7 C- C- D D- -8 D+ F B
 Wed, Dec 10 336 Fairleigh Dickinson W 75 - 54 92% +11  80% 4 - 4 B- +6 D+ -3 C+ B F A +10 D+ A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 329 Manhattan W 82 - 53 91% +11  93% 5 - 4 A- +15 C+ +4 B C+ D- A+ +14 A+ B D
 Mon, Dec 22 326 New Haven W 65 - 47 90% +5  55% 6 - 4 C+ +4 D- -7 C- B+ F A+ +13 B- A+ A
 Wed, Dec 31 79 @Dayton L 56 - 63 17% -5  0% 6 - 5 0 - 1 C+ +4 D -5 D+ C- D- A- +8 A+ F F
 Sun, Jan 4 142 Richmond L 75 - 83 59% -2  32% 6 - 6 0 - 2 D -10 B- +4 C+ A- F F -15 F+ D F
 Wed, Jan 7 99 George Mason L 58 - 67 43% -1  36% 6 - 7 0 - 3 D+ -7 F+ -10 D- D+ C+ C+ +2 A B+ D+
 Sat, Jan 10 130 @St. Bonaventure W 81 - 77 33% +2  60% 7 - 7 1 - 3 B +9 A- +10 A F B+ C -1 C- F+ C
 Wed, Jan 14 36 @Saint Louis L 56 - 78 7% -12  1% 7 - 8 1 - 4 D+ -5 D+ -3 D D B+ D -5 C- D F
 Sat, Jan 17 121 Duquesne L 63 - 74 53% -6  0% 7 - 9 1 - 5 D -11 F -13 F C C B- +2 C A- C+
 Wed, Jan 21 116 @Davidson L 63 - 68 29% +1  49% 7 - 10 1 - 6 C +1 D+ -3 A- C+ F B +4 B A- C
 Wed, Jan 28 216 La Salle W 64 - 58 74% -1  39% 8 - 10 2 - 6 C -0 D -5 F B- B B+ +5 A+ C D-
 Sat, Jan 31 85 @George Washington W 79 - 65 19% +4  76% 9 - 10 3 - 6 A+ +24 B+ +9 C+ A+ C A+ +16 A+ A- B-
 Tue, Feb 3 47 Virginia Commonwealth L 59 - 63 22% -8  0% 9 - 11 3 - 7 C+ +5 D- -8 F C+ B+ A+ +12 B+ D A+
 Sat, Feb 7 130 St. Bonaventure L 67 - 70 56% +0  52% 9 - 12 3 - 8 C- -4 D+ -2 C+ D- D- C- -2 F C A+
 Tue, Feb 10 109 @Saint Joseph's W 68 - 64 27% -3  27% 10 - 12 4 - 8 B +11 B +7 D+ A- A- B +5 C- B- B
 Sat, Feb 14 136 @Rhode Island W 70 - 66 OT 35% -6  7% 11 - 12 5 - 8 B +8 C +1 D+ B B A- +7 B+ A- D
 Wed, Feb 18 247 Loyola Chicago W 62 - 59 79% +9  90% 12 - 12 6 - 8 D+ -5 F -14 F B- F A +9 B+ A B-
 Sat, Feb 21 116 Davidson W 63 - 59 51% +3  69% 13 - 12 7 - 8 C+ +4 C -0 C+ B C- B +5 C- B+ A+
 Sat, Feb 28 47 @Virginia Commonwealth L 63 - 82 10% -10  0% 13 - 13 7 - 9 C- -4 D -5 F+ D+ B C -0 C- C C
 Wed, Mar 4 216 @La Salle L 84 - 87 52% -6  6% 13 - 14 7 - 10 C- -3 A +12 B- C+ A+ F -15 C- F D
 Sat, Mar 7 136 Rhode Island W 61 - 49 58% -1  36% 14 - 14 8 - 10 B +10 D- -7 C D F A+ +18 A+ B A
 Thu, Mar 12 85 George Washington L 62 - 66 27% -11  0% 14 - 15 C+ +3 D -6 C+ F B A +9 A F B+
Totals 14 - 15 8 - 10 +0 D+ -3 B D+ C B- +4 F+ C- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C B+ F+ D+ 38% 37% 41% C D+ B- D+ C C- D- C- D- B- C+ C+ B- C+ 33% 25% 42% B+ B- B D C+ C B A B
1.04 58% 44% 28% -2 0 0.97 34% 1.0 .32 17% .25 71% .18 1.03 57% 38% 32% -2 -1 0.97 27% 1.1 .30 17% .26 68% .17
Nov
4		 NJIT F C+ C F F 35% 22% 43% D+ F B+ F+ C B+ D+ F F+ F B B F F 38% 23% 40% D F C B C+ C- A+ A+ A+
0.94 61% 36% 9% -15 0 0.71 40% 0.9 .36 12% .32 61% .19 1.11 50% 33% 52% +7 0 1.15 26% 0.8 .20 17% .15 50% .07
Nov
11		 Wagner D- F A+ F F 48% 20% 33% C F D A+ C+ B B- C- C+ C- A+ D D B- 27% 29% 45% A- B D+ F F+ D A+ A+ A+
1.05 36% 67% 27% -8 +1 0.87 26% 1.3 .34 12% .40 71% .28 1.02 23% 43% 36% -6 -2 0.86 34% 1.2 .42 17% .12 50% .06
Nov
14		 Iona D+ D B F F 39% 12% 49% B F A B+ A+ C F F F C- D F+ F F 39% 26% 35% B F A A+ A+ F D+ A+ B-
1.02 55% 43% 18% -13 +1 0.79 43% 1.1 .48 16% .14 63% .09 1.09 64% 47% 40% +8 -1 1.16 17% 0.2 .03 10% .29 56% .16
Nov
20		 LIU Brooklyn D A F C+ B 49% 18% 33% C+ B D+ F F B+ F+ F F A+ A+ F A+ A+ 40% 29% 31% B A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F F F
1.04 68% 22% 35% +3 +1 1.10 31% 0.5 .17 15% .27 60% .16 0.80 33% 54% 7% -18 -1 0.64 23% 0.7 .15 18% .44 75% .33
Nov
29		 Albany B+ A A+ C+ A 43% 20% 37% C A- B+ A+ A+ F A F B- C+ A+ F A A 34% 25% 41% B+ A F B+ D+ F C F D+
1.30 70% 56% 35% +9 +1 1.22 42% 2.0 .85 21% .39 67% .26 1.01 42% 50% 26% -7 -1 0.86 40% 0.8 .33 13% .22 77% .17
Nov
30		 Colgate F C- D+ F F 45% 24% 31% C- F+ C- C- C- F F A+ F D+ D- F D F+ 29% 22% 49% C+ D- F A+ B+ C A- F B
0.96 57% 33% 25% -6 0 0.90 29% 1.0 .29 19% .13 86% .11 1.12 64% 55% 38% +8 -1 1.16 35% 0.5 .18 16% .20 82% .17
Dec
6		 Holy Cross D- D A+ C- C- 38% 19% 44% C- C- F+ A+ C- D A D- B+ D- F+ A+ F D+ 24% 20% 56% D+ D+ D F F B F A- F
1.07 56% 56% 33% +2 0 1.06 21% 1.5 .32 16% .35 68% .24 1.09 64% 11% 40% +1 -1 1.02 24% 1.8 .42 19% .46 71% .33
Dec
10		 Fairleigh Dickinson D+ F+ A+ A+ C+ 41% 15% 43% B- C+ A- D+ B F F D F A C C C+ D+ 32% 16% 52% D+ D+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ B- A
1.15 53% 57% 45% +8 +1 1.20 36% 0.9 .33 20% .25 69% .17 0.83 56% 38% 31% -3 0 0.96 17% 0.0 .00 18% .17 67% .11
Dec
13		 Manhattan C+ D A+ B- A- 36% 29% 35% D- B A+ F C+ D- F C+ F A+ A B- A+ A+ 32% 32% 36% A- A+ A+ F B D A+ F A
1.26 55% 75% 37% +11 -1 1.22 50% 0.9 .43 18% .08 75% .06 0.81 41% 35% 21% -13 -2 0.72 16% 1.5 .24 14% .16 100% .16
Dec
22		 New Haven D- A- A- F C 40% 27% 33% D- C- B+ B B+ F F D+ F A+ F A+ A- C+ 26% 30% 44% A B- B A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+
1.03 68% 46% 25% +2 -1 1.04 33% 1.2 .41 24% .17 75% .12 0.74 85% 13% 27% -5 -2 0.88 17% 0.3 .06 24% .04 50% .02
Dec
31		 Dayton D A+ F F D+ 23% 19% 57% C- D+ A+ F C- D- F F F A- F A+ A+ A+ 46% 27% 27% A A+ B F F F A B A
0.89 82% 22% 26% -4 -1 0.91 39% 0.6 .24 24% .17 63% .10 1.01 73% 0% 8% -14 0 0.73 24% 2.4 .58 13% .33 72% .24
Jan
4		 Richmond B- B+ A+ F B- 27% 36% 38% F+ C+ A+ F A- F A+ D- A+ F D A+ F F 24% 44% 32% A+ F+ B- F D F C+ D+ C+
1.17 67% 56% 24% +3 -3 1.02 51% 0.9 .46 22% .48 67% .32 1.30 67% 23% 69% +12 -4 1.18 22% 1.4 .31 8% .31 78% .24
Jan
7		 George Mason F+ F C- D+ F+ 45% 18% 37% B+ D- A+ F D+ C+ D- F F C+ B- F A+ A+ 53% 22% 24% D- A A+ F+ B+ D+ F D- F
0.93 43% 33% 32% -9 +1 0.86 40% 0.5 .21 14% .19 60% .11 1.07 58% 50% 9% -6 +1 0.91 21% 1.2 .25 14% .49 77% .37
Jan
10		 St. Bonaventure A- B F A+ A 51% 16% 33% B+ A C F F B+ B- A+ A+ C D A- F+ D+ 27% 24% 49% B- C- B+ F F+ C A+ F A-
1.22 64% 25% 50% +9 +1 1.22 29% 0.5 .14 14% .31 94% .29 1.16 64% 33% 40% +5 -1 1.10 31% 1.4 .45 17% .18 90% .16
Jan
14		 Saint Louis D+ D D F D 35% 18% 47% C+ D A F D B+ D- B D D F F D+ D+ 33% 8% 59% B+ C- B F D F B+ B- B+
0.92 47% 33% 26% -10 0 0.82 36% 0.4 .16 13% .25 77% .19 1.28 75% 50% 38% +10 +1 1.24 28% 1.4 .38 10% .25 71% .18
Jan
17		 Duquesne F D- A+ F F 33% 20% 46% C F A F C C F+ F F B- B- A+ F D+ 33% 18% 49% A C A+ F+ A- C+ F A- F
0.89 50% 55% 16% -12 0 0.78 39% 0.7 .29 18% .26 60% .16 1.04 56% 22% 42% +2 0 1.06 19% 1.2 .23 18% .47 67% .31
Jan
21		 Davidson D+ D+ A+ D A 42% 36% 22% D A- D A+ C+ F F F F B D- F A+ B- 26% 30% 43% A+ B F+ A+ A- C D- F F
0.97 53% 69% 30% +7 -2 1.13 24% 1.3 .32 28% .15 57% .08 1.04 67% 64% 20% +1 -2 1.00 36% 0.6 .22 17% .35 74% .26
Jan
28		 La Salle D F A+ F+ F 33% 20% 47% C- F C+ C+ B- B F A+ D+ B+ A B A+ A+ 39% 31% 31% B+ A+ C+ C- C D- C D- D+
1.05 41% 50% 29% -7 0 0.88 32% 1.2 .38 15% .15 100% .15 0.95 42% 33% 20% -14 -1 0.71 33% 1.0 .33 15% .34 78% .27
Jan
31		 George Washington B+ A+ F F B- 38% 25% 38% D+ C+ A+ C A+ C C+ B B- A+ A A B A+ 32% 19% 49% A+ A+ A+ F A- B- A+ A+ A+
1.16 89% 17% 28% +3 -1 1.06 47% 1.1 .50 18% .30 76% .23 0.96 47% 30% 31% -7 0 0.87 25% 1.3 .33 19% .22 58% .13
Feb
3		 Virginia Commonwealth D- D- F F F 47% 21% 32% C+ F C+ C+ C+ B+ C- A C+ A+ D+ A- C- B- 33% 31% 36% A+ B+ C- D- D A+ F A+ F
0.92 48% 27% 18% -15 +1 0.74 31% 1.0 .31 14% .25 79% .20 0.98 62% 33% 36% +1 -2 1.00 35% 1.2 .42 23% .57 61% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 St. Bonaventure D+ B D B B- 35% 20% 46% C- C+ B F D- D- C D- C- C- F F F F 30% 48% 23% A+ F D B+ C A+ A+ B A+
1.08 63% 33% 38% +3 0 1.09 34% 0.6 .22 19% .28 71% .20 1.13 69% 57% 50% +18 -4 1.30 39% 0.9 .35 27% .16 71% .11
Feb
10		 Saint Joseph's B A+ F F C 18% 36% 46% F D+ C- A+ A- A- A+ A- A+ B A D F+ C- 34% 11% 55% C C- C+ B B- B F A+ D+
1.08 89% 28% 26% -4 -3 0.88 29% 1.4 .40 11% .37 76% .28 1.01 47% 40% 38% -1 +1 1.02 31% 0.9 .28 19% .43 55% .23
Feb
14		 Rhode Island C F A+ C- D 44% 13% 44% B D+ D A+ B B B+ F C A- A+ D+ C B- 24% 28% 48% A+ B+ A+ F A- D F A+ D
1.01 43% 50% 33% -6 +1 0.94 26% 1.4 .37 19% .41 61% .25 0.95 42% 43% 33% -3 -2 0.92 18% 1.1 .21 17% .46 62% .28
Feb
18		 Loyola Chicago F F D+ F F 36% 24% 40% D+ F C- A+ B- F A+ F A+ A C+ F A A- 39% 4% 57% D B+ A+ F A B- F B+ F+
0.92 44% 36% 28% -9 -1 0.82 27% 1.3 .35 21% .51 59% .30 0.88 56% 50% 27% -6 +2 0.93 15% 1.2 .18 21% .41 64% .26
Feb
21		 Davidson C D+ A+ F C 49% 18% 33% A- C+ D A+ B C- A+ D A+ B A+ C+ F C- 33% 23% 44% B- C- C- A+ B+ A+ D- A+ A+
1.05 53% 71% 23% -2 +1 1.00 24% 1.4 .34 18% .57 64% .37 0.98 43% 40% 47% +4 -1 1.09 31% 0.7 .23 23% .35 31% .11
Feb
28		 Virginia Commonwealth D F C+ F+ F 50% 10% 40% A F+ C- D- D+ B A- B+ A C D C+ C- C- 40% 10% 50% C- C- B- D C C D+ A+ B-
0.92 38% 40% 29% -13 +2 0.81 27% 0.8 .23 15% .34 75% .26 1.20 65% 40% 36% +4 +1 1.14 31% 1.2 .37 15% .40 65% .26
Mar
4		 La Salle A B+ C C B- 41% 14% 45% B B- A F C+ A+ F A+ F+ F C+ F A+ C 39% 18% 43% D+ C- F F F D D- F F
1.24 67% 38% 35% +4 +1 1.12 41% 0.9 .37 7% .14 89% .13 1.29 53% 67% 24% -3 0 0.96 42% 1.7 .73 15% .40 91% .36
Mar
7		 Rhode Island D- A C+ D B- 31% 28% 41% F+ C B- F D F A A+ A+ A+ B+ F A+ A+ 22% 13% 65% B A+ A+ F B A A+ A- A+
0.94 67% 36% 31% 0 -2 1.00 34% 0.7 .24 26% .44 81% .36 0.76 50% 50% 20% -14 0 0.74 19% 1.3 .24 25% .19 67% .12
Mar
12		 George Washington D A+ C+ D- B- 34% 23% 43% D+ C+ F F F B C+ F D+ A F F A+ A 33% 18% 50% A+ A B F F B+ F A+ D
0.97 75% 36% 30% +3 -1 1.06 10% 0.7 .07 16% .30 63% .19 1.03 77% 57% 15% -5 0 0.93 33% 1.7 .57 20% .41 62% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%