Pre-tourney Rankings
Alabama
Southeastern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.1#13
Expected Predictive Rating+14.3#15
Pace79.6#11
Improvement-6.3#357

Offense
Total Offense+13.5#3
First Shot+10.5#3
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#22
Layup/Dunks+5.0#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#361
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.3#10
Freethrows+2.7#34
Improvement-4.0#340

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#99
First Shot+1.4#129
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#80
Layups/Dunks-0.4#198
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#232
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#38
Freethrows-1.6#288
Improvement-2.2#292
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 1.7% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 11.5% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 91.4% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.7% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.7% n/a n/a
Second Round88.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen58.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight25.6% n/a n/a
Final Four12.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game5.0% n/a n/a
National Champion1.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 14 - 9
Quad 27 - 211 - 11
Quad 37 - 018 - 11
Quad 43 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 128   Morehead St. W 105-73 93%     1 - 0 +32.0 +26.8 +3.6
  Nov 10, 2023 46   Indiana St. W 102-80 77%     2 - 0 +30.2 +24.9 +4.1
  Nov 14, 2023 220   South Alabama W 102-46 97%     3 - 0 +50.4 +27.5 +23.6
  Nov 17, 2023 211   Mercer W 98-67 97%     4 - 0 +25.8 +17.1 +7.1
  Nov 24, 2023 38   Ohio St. L 81-92 68%     4 - 1 +0.4 +10.3 -9.5
  Nov 25, 2023 54   Oregon W 99-91 73%     5 - 1 +17.7 +20.3 -3.4
  Nov 28, 2023 36   Clemson L 77-85 75%     5 - 2 +1.1 +6.8 -5.6
  Dec 04, 2023 133   Arkansas St. W 89-65 93%     6 - 2 +23.7 +4.8 +17.0
  Dec 09, 2023 4   Purdue L 86-92 34%     6 - 3 +14.2 +18.0 -3.6
  Dec 16, 2023 11   @ Creighton L 82-85 39%     6 - 4 +16.0 +18.3 -2.4
  Dec 20, 2023 5   Arizona L 74-87 37%     6 - 5 +6.5 +0.3 +7.8
  Dec 23, 2023 208   Eastern Kentucky W 111-67 96%     7 - 5 +38.9 +20.4 +13.4
  Dec 30, 2023 148   Liberty W 101-56 91%     8 - 5 +46.2 +33.8 +15.1
  Jan 06, 2024 167   @ Vanderbilt W 78-75 89%     9 - 5 1 - 0 +5.4 +4.9 +0.5
  Jan 09, 2024 51   South Carolina W 74-47 79%     10 - 5 2 - 0 +34.6 +11.1 +25.9
  Jan 13, 2024 30   @ Mississippi St. W 82-74 53%     11 - 5 3 - 0 +23.4 +14.7 +8.4
  Jan 16, 2024 135   Missouri W 93-75 93%     12 - 5 4 - 0 +17.5 +21.3 -3.3
  Jan 20, 2024 6   @ Tennessee L 71-91 32%     12 - 6 4 - 1 +1.1 +3.6 -0.7
  Jan 24, 2024 3   Auburn W 79-75 41%     13 - 6 5 - 1 +22.4 +10.3 +11.8
  Jan 27, 2024 87   LSU W 109-88 87%     14 - 6 6 - 1 +25.0 +26.7 -4.0
  Jan 31, 2024 84   @ Georgia W 85-76 74%     15 - 6 7 - 1 +18.3 +16.1 +2.0
  Feb 03, 2024 30   Mississippi St. W 99-67 72%     16 - 6 8 - 1 +42.2 +21.9 +17.0
  Feb 07, 2024 3   @ Auburn L 81-99 24%     16 - 7 8 - 2 +5.6 +12.4 -5.2
  Feb 10, 2024 87   @ LSU W 109-92 75%     17 - 7 9 - 2 +26.2 +29.8 -5.3
  Feb 17, 2024 42   Texas A&M W 100-75 76%     18 - 7 10 - 2 +33.7 +24.9 +7.4
  Feb 21, 2024 22   Florida W 98-93 OT 70%     19 - 7 11 - 2 +15.8 +14.3 +0.7
  Feb 24, 2024 16   @ Kentucky L 95-117 45%     19 - 8 11 - 3 -4.6 +14.1 -15.9
  Feb 28, 2024 83   @ Mississippi W 103-88 74%     20 - 8 12 - 3 +24.4 +25.8 -2.4
  Mar 02, 2024 6   Tennessee L 74-81 51%     20 - 9 12 - 4 +8.9 +7.2 +2.0
  Mar 05, 2024 22   @ Florida L 87-105 51%     20 - 10 12 - 5 -2.0 +8.1 -7.8
  Mar 09, 2024 104   Arkansas W 92-88 OT 89%     21 - 10 13 - 5 +6.4 +3.1 +2.6
  Mar 15, 2024 22   Florida L 88-102 61%     21 - 11 -0.6 +8.5 -7.4
  Mar 22, 2024 100   College of Charleston W 95-84 85%    
Projected Record 22 - 11 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 99.7% 99.7% 3.5 1.7 9.8 31.4 48.6 8.1 0.2 0.3 99.7%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 3.5 1.7 9.8 31.4 48.6 8.1 0.2 0.3 99.7%