Pre-tourney Rankings
Butler
Big East
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.0#63
Expected Predictive Rating+10.0#62
Pace70.3#123
Improvement-5.8#351

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#64
First Shot+5.5#44
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#225
Layup/Dunks+2.6#81
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#146
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#128
Freethrows+0.9#105
Improvement-6.0#359

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#65
First Shot+3.5#63
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#119
Layups/Dunks+0.9#144
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#103
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#269
Freethrows+3.4#16
Improvement+0.2#166
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.3% n/a n/a
First Round1.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 73 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 44 - 11
Quad 24 - 38 - 14
Quad 32 - 010 - 14
Quad 47 - 017 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 324   Eastern Michigan W 94-55 97%     1 - 0 +26.4 +11.4 +13.0
  Nov 10, 2023 352   Southeast Missouri St. W 91-56 98%     2 - 0 +18.0 +2.0 +11.9
  Nov 13, 2023 186   East Tennessee St. W 81-47 88%     3 - 0 +30.3 +5.3 +23.9
  Nov 17, 2023 18   @ Michigan St. L 54-74 22%     3 - 1 -2.9 -3.6 -1.1
  Nov 23, 2023 43   Florida Atlantic L 86-91 42%     3 - 2 +6.2 +14.6 -8.4
  Nov 24, 2023 68   Penn St. W 88-78 55%     4 - 2 +17.8 +18.0 -0.3
  Nov 26, 2023 45   Boise St. W 70-56 43%     5 - 2 +24.8 +6.1 +19.4
  Nov 30, 2023 26   Texas Tech W 103-95 OT 45%     6 - 2 +18.4 +25.3 -7.6
  Dec 05, 2023 348   Buffalo W 72-59 98%     7 - 2 -3.1 -8.6 +5.5
  Dec 09, 2023 113   California W 97-90 2OT 78%     8 - 2 +8.0 +7.1 -0.3
  Dec 19, 2023 176   Georgetown W 74-64 87%     9 - 2 1 - 0 +6.6 +1.6 +5.9
  Dec 23, 2023 50   @ Providence L 75-85 OT 35%     9 - 3 1 - 1 +2.9 +5.7 -2.0
  Jan 02, 2024 25   @ St. John's L 70-86 26%     9 - 4 1 - 2 -0.3 +2.5 -2.7
  Jan 05, 2024 1   Connecticut L 81-88 15%     9 - 5 1 - 3 +13.1 +17.8 -4.9
  Jan 10, 2024 12   @ Marquette W 69-62 18%     10 - 5 2 - 3 +25.9 +2.0 +23.6
  Jan 13, 2024 58   Seton Hall L 72-78 58%     10 - 6 2 - 4 +0.8 +8.8 -8.4
  Jan 16, 2024 57   @ Xavier L 71-85 38%     10 - 7 2 - 5 -1.9 +0.8 -2.0
  Jan 20, 2024 294   DePaul W 74-60 95%     11 - 7 3 - 5 +4.2 +0.9 +4.2
  Jan 23, 2024 176   @ Georgetown W 90-66 76%     12 - 7 4 - 5 +25.8 +17.0 +9.6
  Jan 27, 2024 35   Villanova W 88-81 2OT 49%     13 - 7 5 - 5 +16.2 +9.3 +5.9
  Feb 02, 2024 11   @ Creighton W 99-98 17%     14 - 7 6 - 5 +20.0 +27.1 -7.2
  Feb 06, 2024 1   @ Connecticut L 62-71 7%     14 - 8 6 - 6 +16.3 +3.2 +12.4
  Feb 10, 2024 50   Providence W 75-72 55%     15 - 8 7 - 6 +10.7 +8.4 +2.3
  Feb 13, 2024 12   Marquette L 72-78 32%     15 - 9 7 - 7 +7.7 +3.6 +4.3
  Feb 17, 2024 11   Creighton L 57-79 32%     15 - 10 7 - 8 -8.2 -8.9 +0.1
  Feb 20, 2024 35   @ Villanova L 62-72 30%     15 - 11 7 - 9 +4.4 +9.3 -6.6
  Feb 24, 2024 58   @ Seton Hall L 64-76 38%     15 - 12 7 - 10 +0.0 -1.9 +1.9
  Feb 28, 2024 25   St. John's L 59-82 44%     15 - 13 7 - 11 -12.5 -9.0 -4.3
  Mar 02, 2024 294   @ DePaul W 82-63 89%     16 - 13 8 - 11 +14.4 +13.5 +2.5
  Mar 06, 2024 57   Xavier W 72-66 58%     17 - 13 9 - 11 +12.9 -2.2 +14.7
  Mar 13, 2024 57   Xavier L 72-76 48%     17 - 14 +5.5 -2.7 +8.6
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 2.3% 2.3% 11.0 0.1 2.1 0.1 97.7 2.3%
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.3% 0.0% 2.3% 11.0 0.1 2.1 0.1 97.7 2.3%