Pre-tourney Rankings
Drake
Missouri Valley
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.0#53
Expected Predictive Rating+11.2#46
Pace68.8#162
Improvement+1.6#116

Offense
Total Offense+6.5#41
First Shot+6.8#30
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#206
Layup/Dunks+0.9#132
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#35
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#134
Freethrows+1.2#82
Improvement+0.9#132

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#80
First Shot+0.4#167
After Offensive Rebounds+3.1#7
Layups/Dunks+1.0#141
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#268
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#259
Freethrows+2.0#51
Improvement+0.7#141
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round41.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b4 - 04 - 1
Quad 23 - 37 - 4
Quad 39 - 216 - 6
Quad 411 - 027 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2023 168   Lipscomb W 85-70 88%     1 - 0 +12.2 +4.0 +7.8
  Nov 19, 2023 142   Oakland W 85-77 79%     2 - 0 +9.5 +6.9 +2.0
  Nov 20, 2023 170   Stephen F. Austin L 68-92 83%     2 - 1 -24.4 -2.0 -22.6
  Nov 21, 2023 123   Akron W 79-59 75%     3 - 1 +22.9 +17.1 +7.9
  Nov 25, 2023 281   Texas Southern W 77-71 95%     4 - 1 -2.7 +6.5 -8.8
  Nov 29, 2023 299   @ Valparaiso W 83-65 91%     5 - 1 +12.9 +10.4 +3.1
  Dec 02, 2023 149   Missouri St. W 74-57 86%     6 - 1 1 - 0 +15.5 +1.7 +13.7
  Dec 06, 2023 191   Saint Louis W 75-69 90%     7 - 1 +1.9 -1.7 +3.8
  Dec 09, 2023 41   Nevada W 72-53 45%     8 - 1 +30.3 +2.2 +27.7
  Dec 14, 2023 282   Grambling St. W 68-56 95%     9 - 1 +3.2 -3.3 +7.2
  Dec 19, 2023 303   Alcorn St. W 92-55 96%     10 - 1 +26.5 +0.9 +21.8
  Dec 22, 2023 99   @ UAB L 78-79 OT 58%     10 - 2 +6.8 +10.4 -3.6
  Jan 02, 2024 182   Illinois St. W 88-71 89%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +13.4 +17.2 -3.4
  Jan 07, 2024 114   @ Belmont L 65-87 65%     11 - 3 2 - 1 -15.9 -2.8 -13.8
  Jan 10, 2024 46   Indiana St. W 89-78 57%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +19.2 +15.8 +3.2
  Jan 13, 2024 125   @ Southern Illinois W 76-58 67%     13 - 3 4 - 1 +23.3 +10.6 +14.0
  Jan 17, 2024 182   @ Illinois St. W 77-56 79%     14 - 3 5 - 1 +22.6 +19.9 +6.3
  Jan 20, 2024 224   Evansville W 97-48 92%     15 - 3 6 - 1 +43.2 +13.9 +25.1
  Jan 24, 2024 149   @ Missouri St. L 80-83 2OT 73%     15 - 4 6 - 2 +0.7 +1.4 -0.4
  Jan 27, 2024 111   Northern Iowa W 77-63 80%     16 - 4 7 - 2 +15.1 +10.9 +5.4
  Jan 31, 2024 299   Valparaiso W 81-70 96%     17 - 4 8 - 2 +0.7 -0.3 +0.6
  Feb 03, 2024 46   @ Indiana St. L 67-75 37%     17 - 5 8 - 3 +5.4 -6.9 +12.9
  Feb 07, 2024 125   Southern Illinois W 92-88 OT 82%     18 - 5 9 - 3 +4.1 +10.6 -6.8
  Feb 10, 2024 67   @ Bradley W 74-67 48%     19 - 5 10 - 3 +17.6 +7.4 +10.2
  Feb 13, 2024 224   @ Evansville W 78-75 84%     20 - 5 11 - 3 +2.4 +10.6 -8.0
  Feb 18, 2024 161   Murray St. W 95-72 87%     21 - 5 12 - 3 +20.6 +26.6 -4.5
  Feb 21, 2024 114   Belmont W 84-69 80%     22 - 5 13 - 3 +15.9 +15.7 +0.9
  Feb 24, 2024 111   @ Northern Iowa L 77-91 64%     22 - 6 13 - 4 -7.7 +4.3 -11.4
  Feb 28, 2024 205   @ Illinois-Chicago W 107-105 3OT 82%     23 - 6 14 - 4 +2.2 +8.5 -6.8
  Mar 03, 2024 67   Bradley W 74-66 67%     24 - 6 15 - 4 +13.4 +4.1 +9.3
  Mar 08, 2024 224   Evansville W 79-58 89%     25 - 6 +17.8 +5.3 +12.4
  Mar 09, 2024 67   Bradley W 72-67 58%     26 - 6 +13.0 +8.2 +5.1
  Mar 10, 2024 46   Indiana St. W 84-80 47%     27 - 6 +14.8 +12.5 +2.3
  Mar 21, 2024 39   Washington St. L 70-71 45%    
Projected Record 27 - 7 15 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 10.0 0.1 0.4 4.8 18.2 44.9 31.6 0.1
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 10.0 0.1 0.4 4.8 18.2 44.9 31.6 0.1