Pre-tourney Rankings
Evansville
Missouri Valley
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#224
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#165
Pace70.9#100
Improvement-4.8#335

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#247
First Shot+0.6#164
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#341
Layup/Dunks+2.7#78
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#266
Freethrows-0.9#239
Improvement-2.1#293

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#199
First Shot-0.9#195
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#171
Layups/Dunks-1.0#219
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#194
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#215
Freethrows+0.8#133
Improvement-2.7#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 7
Quad 21 - 31 - 10
Quad 33 - 64 - 16
Quad 411 - 115 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 256   Miami (OH) W 72-64 67%     1 - 0 +0.4 -5.3 +5.4
  Nov 15, 2023 352   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 76-57 79%     2 - 0 +7.2 -1.9 +8.6
  Nov 18, 2023 263   Ball St. W 74-50 67%     3 - 0 +16.2 -1.6 +18.3
  Nov 24, 2023 147   @ Chattanooga W 85-77 OT 25%     4 - 0 +11.8 +2.8 +8.2
  Nov 25, 2023 352   Southeast Missouri St. W 93-74 85%     5 - 0 +4.6 +13.3 -9.3
  Nov 29, 2023 149   @ Missouri St. L 78-90 25%     5 - 1 -8.3 +0.3 -7.3
  Dec 02, 2023 111   Northern Iowa W 91-89 OT 34%     6 - 1 1 - 0 +3.1 +10.2 -7.3
  Dec 05, 2023 17   @ BYU L 55-96 4%     6 - 2 -23.9 -11.9 -12.0
  Dec 16, 2023 312   @ Bellarmine W 70-61 61%     7 - 2 +3.0 -0.7 +4.4
  Dec 18, 2023 215   Tennessee Martin W 98-91 59%     8 - 2 +1.5 +4.8 -4.4
  Dec 20, 2023 334   Tennessee Tech W 82-51 85%     9 - 2 +16.9 +0.3 +15.5
  Dec 29, 2023 34   @ Cincinnati L 58-76 6%     9 - 3 -3.6 -6.4 +2.8
  Jan 03, 2024 46   @ Indiana St. L 73-87 7%     9 - 4 1 - 1 -0.6 -1.4 +1.8
  Jan 06, 2024 161   Murray St. L 59-81 47%     9 - 5 1 - 2 -24.4 -13.5 -11.6
  Jan 10, 2024 67   @ Bradley L 50-86 10%     9 - 6 1 - 3 -25.4 -16.3 -10.0
  Jan 13, 2024 149   Missouri St. L 64-74 43%     9 - 7 1 - 4 -11.5 -4.6 -7.4
  Jan 17, 2024 299   Valparaiso W 78-75 75%     10 - 7 2 - 4 -7.3 +2.8 -9.9
  Jan 20, 2024 53   @ Drake L 48-97 8%     10 - 8 2 - 5 -36.4 -24.1 -8.2
  Jan 23, 2024 111   @ Northern Iowa L 63-70 18%     10 - 9 2 - 6 -0.7 -2.0 +0.8
  Jan 27, 2024 182   Illinois St. W 58-54 52%     11 - 9 3 - 6 +0.4 -7.8 +8.7
  Jan 31, 2024 205   Illinois-Chicago W 77-60 57%     12 - 9 4 - 6 +12.1 +3.8 +8.1
  Feb 03, 2024 299   @ Valparaiso W 63-62 57%     13 - 9 5 - 6 -4.1 -7.8 +3.8
  Feb 07, 2024 67   Bradley W 73-70 21%     14 - 9 6 - 6 +8.4 +4.2 +4.2
  Feb 10, 2024 161   @ Murray St. L 70-73 28%     14 - 10 6 - 7 -0.2 +4.7 -5.1
  Feb 13, 2024 53   Drake L 75-78 16%     14 - 11 6 - 8 +4.4 +9.1 -4.9
  Feb 18, 2024 182   @ Illinois St. L 79-86 32%     14 - 12 6 - 9 -5.4 +14.8 -20.8
  Feb 21, 2024 205   @ Illinois-Chicago L 79-88 37%     14 - 13 6 - 10 -8.8 +9.5 -18.3
  Feb 25, 2024 125   Southern Illinois L 53-65 37%     14 - 14 6 - 11 -11.9 -18.8 +6.6
  Feb 28, 2024 46   Indiana St. L 67-85 14%     14 - 15 6 - 12 -9.8 -1.1 -9.6
  Mar 03, 2024 114   @ Belmont L 66-83 19%     14 - 16 6 - 13 -10.9 -6.0 -4.3
  Mar 07, 2024 182   Illinois St. W 59-53 41%     15 - 16 +5.0 -1.8 +7.9
  Mar 08, 2024 53   Drake L 58-79 11%     15 - 17 -11.0 -11.3 +0.3
Projected Record 15 - 17 6 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 100.0% 100.0
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%