Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois-Chicago
Missouri Valley
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#205
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#230
Pace69.9#131
Improvement-5.2#344

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#277
First Shot-0.2#179
After Offensive Rebound-3.6#349
Layup/Dunks+0.5#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#266
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#49
Freethrows-3.1#347
Improvement-2.0#287

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#133
First Shot-0.7#191
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#39
Layups/Dunks-4.6#327
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#159
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#3
Freethrows-2.7#328
Improvement-3.3#326
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 61 - 10
Quad 35 - 66 - 16
Quad 45 - 511 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 34   @ Cincinnati L 58-69 7%     0 - 1 +3.4 -8.1 +11.8
  Nov 10, 2023 193   Arkansas Little Rock W 86-71 58%     1 - 1 +10.7 +7.0 +3.2
  Nov 14, 2023 92   @ Loyola Chicago W 72-67 15%     2 - 1 +13.9 +5.1 +8.6
  Nov 24, 2023 265   Middle Tennessee W 70-40 62%     3 - 1 +24.6 +5.3 +22.8
  Nov 25, 2023 203   George Washington W 89-79 50%     4 - 1 +7.8 +4.8 +2.0
  Nov 26, 2023 154   UNC Greensboro L 57-58 38%     4 - 2 -0.3 -11.4 +11.0
  Nov 30, 2023 182   Illinois St. L 64-69 55%     4 - 3 -8.6 -6.4 -2.4
  Dec 08, 2023 207   @ Jacksonville St. W 55-49 40%     5 - 3 +6.2 -9.9 +16.8
  Dec 12, 2023 242   Green Bay L 68-70 66%     5 - 4 -8.7 -4.4 -4.4
  Dec 16, 2023 301   Western Michigan W 89-68 78%     6 - 4 +10.7 +6.8 +2.8
  Dec 21, 2023 351   Incarnate Word L 66-67 90%     6 - 5 -17.6 -10.6 -7.1
  Dec 30, 2023 125   @ Southern Illinois L 50-62 23%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -6.7 -15.4 +7.4
  Jan 02, 2024 161   @ Murray St. L 73-85 31%     6 - 7 0 - 2 -9.2 +5.2 -15.0
  Jan 06, 2024 299   Valparaiso W 70-64 77%     7 - 7 1 - 2 -4.3 -6.3 +2.2
  Jan 10, 2024 111   @ Northern Iowa L 59-67 21%     7 - 8 1 - 3 -1.7 -7.7 +5.6
  Jan 13, 2024 67   Bradley L 59-77 23%     7 - 9 1 - 4 -12.6 -3.5 -11.4
  Jan 17, 2024 161   Murray St. L 58-73 50%     7 - 10 1 - 5 -17.4 -12.4 -6.0
  Jan 20, 2024 299   @ Valparaiso L 77-84 60%     7 - 11 1 - 6 -12.1 +3.2 -15.4
  Jan 24, 2024 46   Indiana St. L 83-89 16%     7 - 12 1 - 7 +2.2 +9.4 -7.1
  Jan 27, 2024 114   @ Belmont L 65-74 21%     7 - 13 1 - 8 -2.9 -10.5 +8.3
  Jan 31, 2024 224   @ Evansville L 60-77 43%     7 - 14 1 - 9 -17.6 -12.7 -4.8
  Feb 03, 2024 125   Southern Illinois L 71-74 40%     7 - 15 1 - 10 -2.9 -3.6 +0.8
  Feb 07, 2024 182   @ Illinois St. W 61-56 35%     8 - 15 2 - 10 +6.6 -1.7 +8.9
  Feb 11, 2024 111   Northern Iowa W 71-65 37%     9 - 15 3 - 10 +7.1 +2.0 +5.4
  Feb 14, 2024 67   @ Bradley L 73-85 12%     9 - 16 3 - 11 -1.4 +2.3 -3.2
  Feb 18, 2024 114   Belmont L 60-75 38%     9 - 17 3 - 12 -14.1 -12.3 -1.9
  Feb 21, 2024 224   Evansville W 88-79 63%     10 - 17 4 - 12 +3.2 +13.7 -10.5
  Feb 24, 2024 46   @ Indiana St. L 73-88 8%     10 - 18 4 - 13 -1.6 -2.3 +2.1
  Feb 28, 2024 53   Drake L 105-107 3OT 18%     10 - 19 4 - 14 +5.4 +6.5 -0.6
  Mar 03, 2024 149   @ Missouri St. L 59-69 28%     10 - 20 4 - 15 -6.3 -10.4 +4.1
  Mar 07, 2024 125   Southern Illinois W 84-82 2OT 31%     11 - 20 +4.7 +3.6 +1.0
  Mar 08, 2024 67   Bradley L 47-74 17%     11 - 21 -19.0 -20.2 +0.3
Projected Record 11 - 21 4 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16 100.0% 100.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%