Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois St.
Missouri Valley
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#182
Expected Predictive Rating-1.2#186
Pace61.6#341
Improvement+2.4#86

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#234
First Shot-6.0#326
After Offensive Rebound+3.9#12
Layup/Dunks-3.5#309
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#150
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#282
Freethrows+0.3#155
Improvement+4.8#12

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#140
First Shot+0.8#152
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#156
Layups/Dunks+2.4#92
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#304
Freethrows+0.4#166
Improvement-2.4#300
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 3
Quad 20 - 41 - 7
Quad 37 - 58 - 12
Quad 46 - 514 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2023 191   @ Saint Louis L 71-80 42%     0 - 1 -7.9 -12.5 +5.4
  Nov 15, 2023 321   Eastern Illinois W 69-61 85%     1 - 1 -3.9 +0.9 -3.8
  Nov 20, 2023 160   Long Beach St. W 61-52 45%     2 - 1 +9.3 -13.7 +22.8
  Nov 21, 2023 124   High Point L 72-74 36%     2 - 2 +0.8 +0.7 -0.1
  Nov 22, 2023 156   Wright St. L 49-74 45%     2 - 3 -24.6 -30.6 +6.4
  Nov 30, 2023 205   @ Illinois-Chicago W 69-64 45%     3 - 3 +5.2 +1.8 +3.7
  Dec 03, 2023 161   Murray St. W 76-72 55%     4 - 3 1 - 0 +1.6 +9.7 -7.7
  Dec 06, 2023 194   Northern Kentucky W 62-59 63%     5 - 3 -1.3 -5.3 +4.3
  Dec 09, 2023 245   Norfolk St. L 58-64 71%     5 - 4 -12.7 -12.7 -0.5
  Dec 17, 2023 266   North Dakota St. W 75-65 75%     6 - 4 +1.9 -3.4 +5.2
  Dec 21, 2023 352   Southeast Missouri St. W 85-64 92%     7 - 4 +4.0 +5.7 -1.9
  Dec 29, 2023 16   @ Kentucky L 70-96 5%     7 - 5 -8.6 +0.2 -8.5
  Jan 02, 2024 53   @ Drake L 71-88 11%     7 - 6 1 - 1 -4.4 +4.8 -9.7
  Jan 06, 2024 125   Southern Illinois L 64-71 46%     7 - 7 1 - 2 -6.9 +4.3 -12.7
  Jan 10, 2024 114   @ Belmont L 60-67 25%     7 - 8 1 - 3 -0.9 -12.4 +11.7
  Jan 14, 2024 299   Valparaiso L 50-59 81%     7 - 9 1 - 4 -19.3 -22.3 +2.0
  Jan 17, 2024 53   Drake L 56-77 21%     7 - 10 1 - 5 -13.6 -4.9 -12.4
  Jan 20, 2024 149   @ Missouri St. W 69-60 32%     8 - 10 2 - 5 +12.7 +2.3 +10.8
  Jan 23, 2024 114   Belmont W 77-67 43%     9 - 10 3 - 5 +10.9 +9.8 +1.7
  Jan 27, 2024 224   @ Evansville L 54-58 48%     9 - 11 3 - 6 -4.6 -11.5 +6.4
  Jan 30, 2024 161   @ Murray St. W 61-59 36%     10 - 11 4 - 6 +4.8 +3.2 +2.1
  Feb 03, 2024 67   Bradley L 60-73 27%     10 - 12 4 - 7 -7.6 -1.5 -8.0
  Feb 07, 2024 205   Illinois-Chicago L 56-61 65%     10 - 13 4 - 8 -9.9 -9.5 -1.0
  Feb 10, 2024 125   @ Southern Illinois L 66-69 27%     10 - 14 4 - 9 +2.3 +8.1 -6.3
  Feb 13, 2024 46   @ Indiana St. W 80-67 10%     11 - 14 5 - 9 +26.4 +9.7 +16.5
  Feb 18, 2024 224   Evansville W 86-79 68%     12 - 14 6 - 9 +1.2 +17.9 -16.2
  Feb 21, 2024 111   Northern Iowa W 81-73 42%     13 - 14 7 - 9 +9.1 +13.7 -4.1
  Feb 24, 2024 67   @ Bradley L 45-48 14%     13 - 15 7 - 10 +7.6 -15.4 +22.5
  Feb 28, 2024 149   Missouri St. W 75-74 52%     14 - 15 8 - 10 -0.5 +11.1 -11.4
  Mar 03, 2024 299   @ Valparaiso L 72-75 65%     14 - 16 8 - 11 -8.1 +5.1 -13.5
  Mar 07, 2024 224   Evansville L 53-59 59%     14 - 17 -9.2 -10.7 +0.4
Projected Record 14 - 17 8 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%