Pre-tourney Rankings
North Dakota
Summit League
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#232
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#236
Pace67.0#224
Improvement+6.8#8

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#188
First Shot-2.8#260
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#39
Layup/Dunks-2.5#284
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#235
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#149
Freethrows-0.1#183
Improvement+4.8#11

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#268
First Shot-3.2#287
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#187
Layups/Dunks-1.5#246
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#109
Freethrows-1.0#253
Improvement+2.0#74
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 413 - 715 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 49   @ Iowa L 68-110 7%     0 - 1 -29.0 -12.2 -11.0
  Nov 12, 2023 318   Elon W 85-68 78%     1 - 1 +5.2 +4.1 +0.9
  Nov 20, 2023 353   @ Pacific W 73-71 80%     2 - 1 -10.4 -5.9 -4.5
  Nov 25, 2023 343   New Orleans W 71-69 OT 82%     3 - 1 -11.2 -20.5 +9.0
  Nov 26, 2023 324   Eastern Michigan W 72-70 73%     4 - 1 -8.1 +3.0 -10.9
  Dec 01, 2023 225   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 54-64 39%     4 - 2 -10.7 -9.4 -2.7
  Dec 03, 2023 202   @ UC Riverside L 62-68 35%     4 - 3 -5.6 -6.1 +0.0
  Dec 09, 2023 286   Portland L 72-83 70%     4 - 4 -20.1 -6.5 -13.7
  Dec 16, 2023 283   @ Utah Tech W 79-62 51%     5 - 4 +13.3 +6.0 +7.2
  Dec 20, 2023 27   @ Nebraska L 75-83 5%     5 - 5 +7.6 +12.2 -4.9
  Dec 29, 2023 157   St. Thomas L 45-70 45%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -27.3 -24.0 -6.4
  Dec 31, 2023 139   @ South Dakota St. L 61-80 23%     5 - 7 0 - 2 -14.7 -8.9 -6.1
  Jan 03, 2024 206   Northern Colorado L 87-97 56%     5 - 8 -15.0 +8.8 -23.8
  Jan 06, 2024 311   @ Northern Arizona L 73-74 59%     5 - 9 -6.9 +0.0 -6.9
  Jan 11, 2024 261   @ Nebraska Omaha L 61-79 46%     5 - 10 0 - 3 -20.5 -10.9 -10.5
  Jan 13, 2024 217   @ UMKC W 82-69 38%     6 - 10 1 - 3 +12.7 +14.6 -1.4
  Jan 18, 2024 274   Oral Roberts W 87-77 68%     7 - 10 2 - 3 +1.6 +13.5 -11.4
  Jan 20, 2024 276   Denver W 92-78 68%     8 - 10 3 - 3 +5.6 +13.4 -7.5
  Jan 27, 2024 157   @ St. Thomas W 74-64 27%     9 - 10 4 - 3 +12.9 +5.7 +7.7
  Feb 01, 2024 322   @ South Dakota W 95-81 63%     10 - 10 5 - 3 +7.1 +16.8 -9.6
  Feb 03, 2024 266   North Dakota St. W 60-58 67%     11 - 10 6 - 3 -6.1 -10.1 +4.3
  Feb 08, 2024 261   Nebraska Omaha W 99-78 66%     12 - 10 7 - 3 +13.3 +12.3 -1.0
  Feb 10, 2024 217   UMKC L 47-65 58%     12 - 11 7 - 4 -23.5 -19.7 -6.4
  Feb 15, 2024 276   @ Denver W 92-78 49%     13 - 11 8 - 4 +10.8 +15.4 -4.5
  Feb 17, 2024 274   @ Oral Roberts W 78-65 49%     14 - 11 9 - 4 +9.8 +0.2 +9.2
  Feb 24, 2024 266   @ North Dakota St. L 68-73 48%     14 - 12 9 - 5 -7.9 -2.1 -6.2
  Feb 29, 2024 139   South Dakota St. L 62-72 40%     14 - 13 9 - 6 -10.9 -2.8 -9.5
  Mar 02, 2024 322   South Dakota W 95-66 79%     15 - 13 10 - 6 +17.0 +15.1 +2.4
  Mar 10, 2024 261   Nebraska Omaha L 72-73 56%     15 - 14 -6.1 +0.2 -6.3
Projected Record 15 - 14 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%