Pre-tourney Rankings
Purdue
Big Ten
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+20.2#4
Expected Predictive Rating+22.5#2
Pace68.3#178
Improvement-5.1#341

Offense
Total Offense+13.1#4
First Shot+10.3#4
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#28
Layup/Dunks+5.9#19
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#189
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#96
Freethrows+2.4#45
Improvement-1.2#252

Defense
Total Defense+7.1#20
First Shot+6.2#21
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#87
Layups/Dunks+4.8#31
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#346
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#176
Freethrows+4.8#2
Improvement-3.9#343
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 19.9% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 83.4% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round98.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen77.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight55.0% n/a n/a
Final Four35.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game19.7% n/a n/a
National Champion10.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a9 - 29 - 2
Quad 1b3 - 212 - 4
Quad 27 - 019 - 4
Quad 37 - 026 - 4
Quad 43 - 029 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 90   Samford W 98-45 93%     1 - 0 +56.8 +18.6 +34.3
  Nov 10, 2023 128   Morehead St. W 87-57 96%     2 - 0 +30.0 +16.9 +14.1
  Nov 13, 2023 57   Xavier W 83-71 89%     3 - 0 +18.9 +10.8 +7.7
  Nov 20, 2023 15   Gonzaga W 73-63 69%     4 - 0 +25.3 +1.8 +23.0
  Nov 21, 2023 6   Tennessee W 71-67 57%     5 - 0 +22.5 +5.5 +16.8
  Nov 22, 2023 12   Marquette W 78-75 65%     6 - 0 +19.3 +15.4 +4.0
  Nov 28, 2023 281   Texas Southern W 99-67 99%     7 - 0 +23.3 +15.3 +5.2
  Dec 01, 2023 40   @ Northwestern L 88-92 OT 73%     7 - 1 0 - 1 +9.9 +9.6 +0.8
  Dec 04, 2023 49   Iowa W 87-68 87%     8 - 1 1 - 1 +26.8 +20.6 +7.7
  Dec 09, 2023 13   Alabama W 92-86 66%     9 - 1 +22.1 +19.3 +2.7
  Dec 16, 2023 5   Arizona W 92-84 53%     10 - 1 +27.5 +19.4 +7.4
  Dec 21, 2023 270   Jacksonville W 100-57 99%     11 - 1 +34.8 +14.4 +16.3
  Dec 29, 2023 208   Eastern Kentucky W 80-53 98%     12 - 1 +21.9 +5.1 +17.7
  Jan 02, 2024 60   @ Maryland W 67-53 79%     13 - 1 2 - 1 +25.9 +12.9 +14.9
  Jan 05, 2024 10   Illinois W 83-78 72%     14 - 1 3 - 1 +19.3 +14.1 +5.4
  Jan 09, 2024 27   @ Nebraska L 72-88 67%     14 - 2 3 - 2 -0.4 +8.0 -8.7
  Jan 13, 2024 68   Penn St. W 95-78 91%     15 - 2 4 - 2 +22.2 +19.2 +2.0
  Jan 16, 2024 82   @ Indiana W 87-66 84%     16 - 2 5 - 2 +30.4 +18.4 +11.7
  Jan 20, 2024 49   @ Iowa W 84-70 76%     17 - 2 6 - 2 +27.0 +14.1 +13.0
  Jan 23, 2024 117   Michigan W 99-67 96%     18 - 2 7 - 2 +32.7 +25.7 +7.1
  Jan 28, 2024 96   @ Rutgers W 68-60 86%     19 - 2 8 - 2 +16.5 +11.4 +5.6
  Jan 31, 2024 40   Northwestern W 105-96 OT 86%     20 - 2 9 - 2 +17.7 +26.8 -9.7
  Feb 04, 2024 19   @ Wisconsin W 75-69 64%     21 - 2 10 - 2 +22.6 +13.0 +9.9
  Feb 10, 2024 82   Indiana W 79-59 92%     22 - 2 11 - 2 +24.2 +10.4 +14.2
  Feb 15, 2024 69   Minnesota W 84-76 91%     23 - 2 12 - 2 +13.1 +16.7 -3.1
  Feb 18, 2024 38   @ Ohio St. L 69-73 73%     23 - 3 12 - 3 +10.0 +10.6 -1.1
  Feb 22, 2024 96   Rutgers W 96-68 93%     24 - 3 13 - 3 +31.3 +36.5 -3.9
  Feb 25, 2024 117   @ Michigan W 84-76 90%     25 - 3 14 - 3 +13.9 +15.9 -1.8
  Mar 02, 2024 18   Michigan St. W 80-74 79%     26 - 3 15 - 3 +17.9 +19.6 -1.3
  Mar 05, 2024 10   @ Illinois W 77-71 53%     27 - 3 16 - 3 +25.5 +13.7 +12.3
  Mar 10, 2024 19   Wisconsin W 78-70 80%     28 - 3 17 - 3 +19.4 +12.4 +7.4
  Mar 15, 2024 18   Michigan St. W 67-62 71%     29 - 3 +19.5 +8.1 +11.7
  Mar 16, 2024 19   Wisconsin L 75-76 OT 73%     29 - 4 +13.0 +5.6 +7.4
Projected Record 29 - 4 17 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.2 83.4 16.5 0.1 100.0%
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.2 83.4 16.5 0.1 100.0%