Pre-tourney Rankings
San Diego
West Coast
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#257
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#150
Pace75.8#32
Improvement-6.0#353

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#271
First Shot-2.8#261
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#246
Layup/Dunks+0.5#146
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#259
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#226
Freethrows-0.6#222
Improvement-2.3#303

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#212
First Shot+0.5#162
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#313
Layups/Dunks+2.5#85
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#89
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#255
Freethrows-1.7#292
Improvement-3.7#336
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC San Diego (Away) - 14.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 21 - 31 - 9
Quad 33 - 44 - 13
Quad 412 - 216 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2023 317   Jackson St. W 87-61 74%     1 - 0 +14.3 +4.4 +8.9
  Nov 11, 2023 120   @ UC San Diego L 69-80 15%    
  Nov 17, 2023 308   Le Moyne W 80-71 71%     2 - 0 -1.9 +0.2 -2.3
  Nov 20, 2023 319   Navy W 67-59 74%     3 - 0 -3.9 -8.3 +4.7
  Nov 24, 2023 133   Arkansas St. W 71-57 24%     4 - 0 +16.3 -8.6 +24.1
  Nov 25, 2023 159   Hawaii L 66-77 30%     4 - 1 -10.7 -7.7 -2.8
  Nov 29, 2023 206   Northern Colorado W 74-72 50%     5 - 1 -3.0 -8.3 +5.3
  Dec 03, 2023 98   @ Stanford L 64-88 12%     5 - 2 -16.0 -8.8 -5.9
  Dec 06, 2023 52   @ Utah St. L 81-108 6%     5 - 3 -14.3 +3.7 -14.8
  Dec 09, 2023 118   Arizona St. W 89-84 29%     6 - 3 +5.6 +10.7 -5.6
  Dec 15, 2023 253   Portland St. W 69-65 59%     7 - 3 -3.4 -4.3 +0.9
  Dec 21, 2023 322   South Dakota W 69-66 75%     8 - 3 -9.0 -11.9 +2.9
  Dec 29, 2023 213   Fresno St. L 67-71 51%     8 - 4 -9.3 -9.2 +0.0
  Jan 04, 2024 21   St. Mary's L 70-81 8%     8 - 5 0 - 1 -0.1 +3.2 -3.4
  Jan 06, 2024 15   @ Gonzaga L 74-101 3%     8 - 6 0 - 2 -9.1 +0.1 -6.6
  Jan 11, 2024 72   San Francisco L 63-83 17%     8 - 7 0 - 3 -15.1 -8.5 -5.9
  Jan 13, 2024 196   Pepperdine L 77-83 48%     8 - 8 0 - 4 -10.6 +2.0 -12.7
  Jan 20, 2024 15   Gonzaga L 63-105 6%     8 - 9 0 - 5 -29.3 -11.8 -13.8
  Jan 23, 2024 286   @ Portland W 85-81 46%     9 - 9 1 - 5 +0.1 +9.9 -9.7
  Jan 27, 2024 196   @ Pepperdine W 69-67 29%     10 - 9 2 - 5 +2.6 -4.9 +7.5
  Feb 01, 2024 72   @ San Francisco L 79-95 9%     10 - 10 2 - 6 -5.9 +4.8 -9.1
  Feb 03, 2024 107   @ Santa Clara W 70-59 13%     11 - 10 3 - 6 +18.2 +2.8 +15.8
  Feb 07, 2024 180   Loyola Marymount W 79-77 44%     12 - 10 4 - 6 -1.5 +7.3 -8.7
  Feb 10, 2024 353   @ Pacific W 89-84 76%     13 - 10 5 - 6 -7.4 +14.2 -21.4
  Feb 15, 2024 286   Portland W 71-66 65%     14 - 10 6 - 6 -4.1 -9.2 +5.0
  Feb 17, 2024 107   Santa Clara L 69-82 25%     14 - 11 6 - 7 -11.0 -6.4 -3.9
  Feb 24, 2024 21   @ St. Mary's L 62-88 4%     14 - 12 6 - 8 -9.9 +1.1 -12.4
  Feb 29, 2024 180   @ Loyola Marymount L 62-96 26%     14 - 13 6 - 9 -32.3 -15.5 -15.0
  Mar 02, 2024 353   Pacific W 81-69 88%     15 - 13 7 - 9 -5.6 -3.3 -2.7
  Mar 08, 2024 196   Pepperdine W 57-52 38%     16 - 13 +3.0 -12.4 +15.9
  Mar 09, 2024 107   Santa Clara L 79-104 18%     16 - 14 -20.4 -5.8 -10.1
Projected Record 16 - 15 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 14.7%
Lose Out 85.3%