Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Illinois
Missouri Valley
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.7#125
Expected Predictive Rating+2.4#128
Pace62.3#334
Improvement-5.8#349

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#122
First Shot+2.4#109
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#210
Layup/Dunks-0.6#188
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#317
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#65
Freethrows+2.4#47
Improvement-3.4#334

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#147
First Shot+3.8#55
After Offensive Rebounds-3.1#353
Layups/Dunks-5.0#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#59
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.1#1
Freethrows-1.9#302
Improvement-2.4#299
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 4
Quad 20 - 41 - 8
Quad 36 - 47 - 12
Quad 411 - 118 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 258   Queens W 91-68 83%     1 - 0 +15.4 +12.0 +3.1
  Nov 16, 2023 297   Chicago St. W 71-55 88%     2 - 0 +6.0 +2.7 +5.1
  Nov 21, 2023 64   James Madison L 76-82 28%     2 - 1 +2.8 +4.8 -1.8
  Nov 22, 2023 280   New Mexico St. W 81-54 80%     3 - 1 +21.0 +14.7 +9.1
  Nov 28, 2023 46   @ Indiana St. L 48-77 16%     3 - 2 -15.6 -19.1 +2.5
  Dec 02, 2023 191   Saint Louis W 101-62 74%     4 - 2 +34.9 +22.8 +12.6
  Dec 05, 2023 106   Oklahoma St. W 70-68 53%     5 - 2 +4.0 +6.1 -1.8
  Dec 12, 2023 222   Austin Peay L 68-70 79%     5 - 3 -7.7 -2.2 -5.7
  Dec 16, 2023 145   @ Wichita St. L 68-69 45%     5 - 4 +3.0 +7.7 -4.9
  Dec 19, 2023 266   North Dakota St. W 76-63 84%     6 - 4 +4.9 +1.4 +4.1
  Dec 22, 2023 331   Southern Indiana W 81-50 93%     7 - 4 +17.0 +9.1 +10.5
  Dec 30, 2023 205   Illinois-Chicago W 62-50 77%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +7.1 -3.9 +12.3
  Jan 02, 2024 114   Belmont W 73-63 57%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +10.9 -2.0 +12.6
  Jan 06, 2024 182   @ Illinois St. W 71-64 54%     10 - 4 3 - 0 +8.6 +15.8 -5.7
  Jan 10, 2024 299   @ Valparaiso W 77-68 77%     11 - 4 4 - 0 +3.9 +8.9 -4.1
  Jan 13, 2024 53   Drake L 58-76 33%     11 - 5 4 - 1 -10.6 -8.4 -3.5
  Jan 17, 2024 67   Bradley L 69-70 40%     11 - 6 4 - 2 +4.4 +9.3 -5.1
  Jan 20, 2024 111   @ Northern Iowa L 57-61 36%     11 - 7 4 - 3 +2.3 -6.7 +8.6
  Jan 24, 2024 299   Valparaiso W 75-69 88%     12 - 7 5 - 3 -4.3 +1.0 -5.0
  Jan 27, 2024 161   @ Murray St. W 60-58 50%     13 - 7 6 - 3 +4.8 -4.6 +9.7
  Jan 31, 2024 149   Missouri St. L 75-76 OT 66%     13 - 8 6 - 4 -2.5 +2.7 -5.2
  Feb 03, 2024 205   @ Illinois-Chicago W 74-71 60%     14 - 8 7 - 4 +3.2 +2.7 +0.5
  Feb 07, 2024 53   @ Drake L 88-92 OT 18%     14 - 9 7 - 5 +8.6 +12.3 -3.4
  Feb 10, 2024 182   Illinois St. W 69-66 73%     15 - 9 8 - 5 -0.6 +9.4 -9.4
  Feb 14, 2024 114   @ Belmont L 68-82 37%     15 - 10 8 - 6 -7.9 -1.2 -6.8
  Feb 17, 2024 46   Indiana St. W 74-69 30%     16 - 10 9 - 6 +13.2 +0.9 +12.2
  Feb 21, 2024 161   Murray St. W 72-68 69%     17 - 10 10 - 6 +1.6 +3.7 -1.8
  Feb 25, 2024 224   @ Evansville W 65-53 63%     18 - 10 11 - 6 +11.4 -5.4 +17.1
  Feb 28, 2024 67   @ Bradley L 67-86 23%     18 - 11 11 - 7 -8.4 +5.6 -15.7
  Mar 03, 2024 111   Northern Iowa L 70-82 56%     18 - 12 11 - 8 -10.9 +3.5 -15.4
  Mar 07, 2024 205   Illinois-Chicago L 82-84 2OT 69%     18 - 13 -4.3 +2.5 -6.6
Projected Record 18 - 13 11 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 100.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%