Pre-tourney Rankings
Tennessee
Southeastern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+18.5#6
Expected Predictive Rating+16.8#7
Pace71.9#85
Improvement-1.3#245

Offense
Total Offense+7.8#27
First Shot+6.9#29
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#121
Layup/Dunks+2.2#91
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#199
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#100
Freethrows+3.0#28
Improvement-1.1#244

Defense
Total Defense+10.6#3
First Shot+8.4#5
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#34
Layups/Dunks+5.6#19
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#24
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#106
Freethrows-1.6#287
Improvement-0.2#192
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 1.2% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 25.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 81.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round96.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen70.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight44.4% n/a n/a
Final Four22.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game11.5% n/a n/a
National Champion5.5% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a6 - 46 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 38 - 7
Quad 25 - 113 - 8
Quad 36 - 019 - 8
Quad 45 - 024 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 334   Tennessee Tech W 80-42 99%     1 - 0 +23.9 +2.0 +22.2
  Nov 10, 2023 19   @ Wisconsin W 80-70 57%     2 - 0 +26.6 +12.2 +14.3
  Nov 14, 2023 199   Wofford W 82-61 97%     3 - 0 +16.3 +13.8 +4.7
  Nov 20, 2023 85   Syracuse W 73-56 86%     4 - 0 +23.7 -2.9 +25.1
  Nov 21, 2023 4   Purdue L 67-71 43%     4 - 1 +16.2 -1.9 +18.3
  Nov 22, 2023 20   Kansas L 60-69 68%     4 - 2 +4.7 -6.0 +11.0
  Nov 29, 2023 8   @ North Carolina L 92-100 43%     4 - 3 +12.2 +22.8 -10.0
  Dec 05, 2023 101   George Mason W 87-66 92%     5 - 3 +23.5 +13.9 +9.1
  Dec 09, 2023 10   Illinois W 86-79 66%     6 - 3 +21.3 +10.2 +10.8
  Dec 12, 2023 259   Georgia Southern W 74-56 98%     7 - 3 +10.3 -6.5 +16.4
  Dec 16, 2023 56   North Carolina St. W 79-70 80%     8 - 3 +18.6 +14.4 +4.7
  Dec 21, 2023 134   Tarleton St. W 65-46 95%     9 - 3 +18.7 +0.1 +21.3
  Jan 02, 2024 245   Norfolk St. W 87-50 98%     10 - 3 +30.3 +8.1 +21.0
  Jan 06, 2024 83   Mississippi W 90-64 90%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +30.2 +18.3 +12.2
  Jan 10, 2024 30   @ Mississippi St. L 72-77 62%     11 - 4 1 - 1 +10.4 +4.9 +5.7
  Jan 13, 2024 84   @ Georgia W 85-79 81%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +15.3 +13.7 +1.3
  Jan 16, 2024 22   Florida W 85-66 77%     13 - 4 3 - 1 +29.8 +13.6 +16.0
  Jan 20, 2024 13   Alabama W 91-71 68%     14 - 4 4 - 1 +33.5 +11.1 +20.6
  Jan 27, 2024 167   @ Vanderbilt W 75-62 92%     15 - 4 5 - 1 +15.4 +13.9 +3.4
  Jan 30, 2024 51   South Carolina L 59-63 85%     15 - 5 5 - 2 +3.6 -6.0 +9.3
  Feb 03, 2024 16   @ Kentucky W 103-92 54%     16 - 5 6 - 2 +28.4 +28.2 -0.4
  Feb 07, 2024 87   LSU W 88-68 90%     17 - 5 7 - 2 +24.0 +21.6 +3.3
  Feb 10, 2024 42   @ Texas A&M L 69-85 67%     17 - 6 7 - 3 -2.1 +3.1 -5.5
  Feb 14, 2024 104   @ Arkansas W 92-63 84%     18 - 6 8 - 3 +36.6 +19.4 +16.3
  Feb 17, 2024 167   Vanderbilt W 88-53 96%     19 - 6 9 - 3 +32.2 +10.8 +20.3
  Feb 20, 2024 135   @ Missouri W 72-67 90%     20 - 6 10 - 3 +9.7 +1.6 +8.1
  Feb 24, 2024 42   Texas A&M W 86-51 82%     21 - 6 11 - 3 +43.7 +12.4 +29.7
  Feb 28, 2024 3   Auburn W 92-84 50%     22 - 6 12 - 3 +26.4 +19.5 +6.1
  Mar 02, 2024 13   @ Alabama W 81-74 49%     23 - 6 13 - 3 +25.7 +8.5 +16.9
  Mar 06, 2024 51   @ South Carolina W 66-59 71%     24 - 6 14 - 3 +19.8 +5.7 +14.8
  Mar 09, 2024 16   Kentucky L 81-85 73%     24 - 7 14 - 4 +8.2 +5.3 +3.2
  Mar 15, 2024 30   Mississippi St. L 56-73 71%     24 - 8 -4.2 -7.7 +2.9
  Mar 21, 2024 201   St. Peter's W 75-54 96%    
Projected Record 25 - 8 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.0 25.0 56.0 17.7 1.3 0.0 100.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.0 25.0 56.0 17.7 1.3 0.0 100.0%