Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Santa Barbara
Big West
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#198
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#211
Pace67.9#195
Improvement-2.3#289

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#168
First Shot+0.6#166
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#186
Layup/Dunks+3.5#62
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#121
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#321
Freethrows+1.1#94
Improvement-1.1#248

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#247
First Shot-4.9#333
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#27
Layups/Dunks-6.8#350
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#255
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#112
Freethrows+0.9#121
Improvement-1.2#240
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 35 - 65 - 9
Quad 49 - 614 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 253   Portland St. L 76-82 70%     0 - 1 -13.4 -1.4 -11.7
  Nov 13, 2023 171   @ UTEP L 76-89 35%     0 - 2 -11.0 +4.4 -14.6
  Nov 19, 2023 308   Le Moyne W 96-72 80%     1 - 2 +13.1 +18.9 -5.7
  Nov 27, 2023 213   @ Fresno St. W 69-65 42%     2 - 2 +3.9 -4.6 +8.5
  Nov 29, 2023 311   Northern Arizona W 70-59 80%     3 - 2 -0.1 -5.3 +5.6
  Dec 06, 2023 24   @ New Mexico L 61-84 6%     3 - 3 -7.3 -8.8 +3.3
  Dec 16, 2023 180   Loyola Marymount W 68-59 46%     4 - 3 +8.1 -3.1 +11.7
  Dec 20, 2023 275   Howard W 94-81 73%     5 - 3 +4.6 +9.4 -5.6
  Dec 28, 2023 165   @ UC Davis L 62-76 33%     5 - 4 0 - 1 -11.5 -10.4 -0.4
  Dec 30, 2023 202   @ UC Riverside L 77-79 41%     5 - 5 0 - 2 -1.6 +4.6 -6.2
  Jan 04, 2024 120   UC San Diego L 72-79 40%     5 - 6 0 - 3 -6.5 +4.4 -11.7
  Jan 06, 2024 329   @ Cal Poly W 61-52 74%     6 - 6 1 - 3 +0.3 -6.2 +7.6
  Jan 11, 2024 227   Cal St. Bakersfield W 66-64 OT 65%     7 - 6 2 - 3 -3.9 -10.6 +6.5
  Jan 13, 2024 160   Long Beach St. W 85-76 51%     8 - 6 3 - 3 +6.7 +12.7 -5.8
  Jan 18, 2024 229   @ Cal St. Northridge W 97-69 45%     9 - 6 4 - 3 +27.2 +20.6 +5.0
  Jan 20, 2024 225   Cal St. Fullerton L 69-73 64%     9 - 7 4 - 4 -9.9 +0.3 -10.4
  Jan 25, 2024 159   @ Hawaii W 78-61 32%     10 - 7 5 - 4 +19.9 +10.6 +10.0
  Feb 01, 2024 165   UC Davis L 69-79 52%     10 - 8 5 - 5 -12.7 -2.1 -10.7
  Feb 03, 2024 227   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-59 45%     11 - 8 6 - 5 +10.3 +8.1 +3.7
  Feb 08, 2024 77   UC Irvine L 61-76 26%     11 - 9 6 - 6 -10.5 -0.9 -11.4
  Feb 10, 2024 229   Cal St. Northridge L 74-82 65%     11 - 10 6 - 7 -14.0 +1.8 -15.9
  Feb 15, 2024 120   @ UC San Diego L 46-61 23%     11 - 11 6 - 8 -9.3 -22.4 +11.5
  Feb 17, 2024 159   Hawaii W 77-71 51%     12 - 11 7 - 8 +3.7 +11.7 -7.4
  Feb 22, 2024 77   @ UC Irvine L 69-81 14%     12 - 12 7 - 9 -2.3 +0.5 -2.5
  Feb 29, 2024 329   Cal Poly W 83-75 86%     13 - 12 8 - 9 -5.9 +6.7 -12.5
  Mar 02, 2024 225   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 70-79 44%     13 - 13 8 - 10 -9.7 -0.8 -8.9
  Mar 07, 2024 160   @ Long Beach St. W 76-74 32%     14 - 13 9 - 10 +4.9 +1.4 +3.4
  Mar 09, 2024 202   UC Riverside L 64-81 61%     14 - 14 9 - 11 -21.8 -7.9 -14.9
  Mar 13, 2024 229   Cal St. Northridge L 84-87 OT 55%     14 - 15 -6.4 +1.8 -7.9
Projected Record 14 - 15 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%