Pre-tourney Rankings
Valparaiso
Missouri Valley
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#299
Expected Predictive Rating-9.2#314
Pace69.0#158
Improvement-0.7#218

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#275
First Shot-3.0#269
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#232
Layup/Dunks-6.7#351
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#217
Freethrows-1.1#257
Improvement+2.5#60

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#290
First Shot-3.9#307
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#183
Layups/Dunks-4.8#329
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#144
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#202
Freethrows+0.9#124
Improvement-3.1#320
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 60 - 11
Quad 31 - 91 - 20
Quad 45 - 56 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 361   IUPUI L 56-66 87%     0 - 1 -30.0 -23.1 -7.4
  Nov 14, 2023 242   Green Bay W 64-59 46%     1 - 1 -1.7 -9.1 +7.7
  Nov 17, 2023 10   @ Illinois L 64-87 1%     1 - 2 -3.5 -12.7 +12.0
  Nov 21, 2023 279   Western Illinois W 73-66 53%     2 - 2 -1.5 +1.3 -2.6
  Nov 25, 2023 288   Southern W 71-59 56%     3 - 2 +2.8 -2.1 +4.9
  Nov 29, 2023 53   Drake L 65-83 9%     3 - 3 -10.6 -3.4 -7.9
  Dec 02, 2023 114   @ Belmont L 68-77 10%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -2.9 -3.6 +0.9
  Dec 06, 2023 271   @ Central Michigan L 67-71 33%     3 - 5 -7.1 -1.9 -5.3
  Dec 09, 2023 61   @ Virginia Tech L 50-71 5%     3 - 6 -9.4 -15.1 +3.8
  Dec 16, 2023 297   Chicago St. L 62-63 59%     3 - 7 -11.0 -5.2 -5.9
  Dec 19, 2023 90   Samford L 61-79 14%     3 - 8 -14.2 -7.7 -7.5
  Dec 29, 2023 318   @ Elon L 78-82 46%     3 - 9 -10.6 +0.6 -11.2
  Jan 03, 2024 67   Bradley L 61-86 12%     3 - 10 0 - 2 -19.6 -11.0 -7.9
  Jan 06, 2024 205   @ Illinois-Chicago L 64-70 23%     3 - 11 0 - 3 -5.8 -4.5 -1.4
  Jan 10, 2024 125   Southern Illinois L 68-77 23%     3 - 12 0 - 4 -8.9 +1.1 -10.8
  Jan 14, 2024 182   @ Illinois St. W 59-50 19%     4 - 12 1 - 4 +10.6 -4.7 +16.3
  Jan 17, 2024 224   @ Evansville L 75-78 25%     4 - 13 1 - 5 -3.6 +5.4 -9.1
  Jan 20, 2024 205   Illinois-Chicago W 84-77 40%     5 - 13 2 - 5 +2.1 +13.1 -10.9
  Jan 24, 2024 125   @ Southern Illinois L 69-75 12%     5 - 14 2 - 6 -0.7 +1.9 -2.9
  Jan 27, 2024 149   Missouri St. L 70-81 28%     5 - 15 2 - 7 -12.5 -4.0 -8.2
  Jan 31, 2024 53   @ Drake L 70-81 4%     5 - 16 2 - 8 +1.6 -0.9 +2.9
  Feb 03, 2024 224   Evansville L 62-63 43%     5 - 17 2 - 9 -6.8 -8.4 +1.5
  Feb 07, 2024 46   @ Indiana St. L 61-101 4%     5 - 18 2 - 10 -26.6 -13.7 -9.1
  Feb 10, 2024 114   Belmont L 78-96 21%     5 - 19 2 - 11 -17.1 +2.2 -18.6
  Feb 14, 2024 111   Northern Iowa L 67-86 20%     5 - 20 2 - 12 -17.9 -1.0 -18.1
  Feb 17, 2024 149   @ Missouri St. L 74-82 14%     5 - 21 2 - 13 -4.3 +3.3 -7.5
  Feb 21, 2024 46   Indiana St. L 64-83 8%     5 - 22 2 - 14 -10.8 -5.1 -6.4
  Feb 24, 2024 161   @ Murray St. L 68-80 16%     5 - 23 2 - 15 -9.2 +3.2 -13.6
  Feb 27, 2024 111   @ Northern Iowa L 54-68 10%     5 - 24 2 - 16 -7.7 -17.7 +10.4
  Mar 03, 2024 182   Illinois St. W 75-72 35%     6 - 24 3 - 16 -0.6 +10.8 -11.1
  Mar 07, 2024 114   Belmont L 61-86 15%     6 - 25 -21.5 -15.8 -3.4
Projected Record 6 - 25 3 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17 100.0% 100.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%