Pre-tourney Rankings
Wisconsin
Big Ten
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.0#19
Expected Predictive Rating+13.6#20
Pace63.8#309
Improvement-1.4#248

Offense
Total Offense+9.3#15
First Shot+6.3#34
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#21
Layup/Dunks+6.2#16
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#219
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#260
Freethrows+3.1#23
Improvement-1.0#240

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#43
First Shot+3.1#75
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#53
Layups/Dunks+4.0#47
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#273
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#262
Freethrows+1.8#58
Improvement-0.4#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 16.3% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 98.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.9% n/a n/a
Second Round73.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen35.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight11.9% n/a n/a
Final Four4.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.7% n/a n/a
National Champion0.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 73 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 25 - 9
Quad 29 - 314 - 12
Quad 34 - 118 - 13
Quad 44 - 022 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 133   Arkansas St. W 105-76 90%     1 - 0 +28.7 +13.2 +11.4
  Nov 10, 2023 6   Tennessee L 70-80 43%     1 - 1 +5.9 +5.6 +0.3
  Nov 14, 2023 50   @ Providence L 59-72 54%     1 - 2 -0.1 -2.0 +1.3
  Nov 17, 2023 305   Robert Morris W 78-68 98%     2 - 2 -0.7 +2.3 -2.6
  Nov 20, 2023 66   Virginia W 65-41 71%     3 - 2 +32.4 +19.5 +19.7
  Nov 22, 2023 71   SMU W 69-61 73%     4 - 2 +15.6 +10.5 +6.3
  Nov 27, 2023 279   Western Illinois W 71-49 97%     5 - 2 +13.5 +14.5 +4.5
  Dec 02, 2023 12   Marquette W 75-64 51%     6 - 2 +24.7 +13.0 +12.4
  Dec 05, 2023 18   @ Michigan St. W 70-57 38%     7 - 2 1 - 0 +30.1 +22.8 +10.1
  Dec 09, 2023 5   @ Arizona L 73-98 22%     7 - 3 -2.9 +4.4 -5.5
  Dec 14, 2023 207   Jacksonville St. W 75-60 95%     8 - 3 +10.0 +6.9 +4.2
  Dec 22, 2023 297   Chicago St. W 80-53 98%     9 - 3 +17.0 +9.9 +9.1
  Jan 02, 2024 49   Iowa W 83-72 72%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +18.8 +4.5 +13.6
  Jan 06, 2024 27   Nebraska W 88-72 64%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +26.4 +23.5 +3.5
  Jan 10, 2024 38   @ Ohio St. W 71-60 50%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +25.0 +16.7 +10.3
  Jan 13, 2024 40   Northwestern W 71-63 69%     13 - 3 5 - 0 +16.7 +8.4 +9.2
  Jan 16, 2024 68   @ Penn St. L 83-87 64%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +6.4 +14.0 -7.5
  Jan 19, 2024 82   Indiana W 91-79 82%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +16.2 +28.3 -11.1
  Jan 23, 2024 69   @ Minnesota W 61-59 64%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +12.3 +0.1 +12.5
  Jan 26, 2024 18   Michigan St. W 81-66 58%     16 - 4 8 - 1 +26.9 +25.1 +3.5
  Feb 01, 2024 27   @ Nebraska L 72-80 OT 44%     16 - 5 8 - 2 +7.6 +1.7 +6.5
  Feb 04, 2024 4   Purdue L 69-75 36%     16 - 6 8 - 3 +11.7 +6.5 +4.8
  Feb 07, 2024 117   @ Michigan L 68-72 78%     16 - 7 8 - 4 +1.9 -1.0 +2.8
  Feb 10, 2024 96   @ Rutgers L 56-78 70%     16 - 8 8 - 5 -13.5 -3.9 -10.2
  Feb 13, 2024 38   Ohio St. W 62-54 69%     17 - 8 9 - 5 +16.8 +5.6 +12.8
  Feb 17, 2024 49   @ Iowa L 86-88 OT 54%     17 - 9 9 - 6 +11.0 +10.9 +0.3
  Feb 20, 2024 60   Maryland W 74-70 76%     18 - 9 10 - 6 +10.7 +12.1 -1.3
  Feb 27, 2024 82   @ Indiana L 70-74 67%     18 - 10 10 - 7 +5.4 +10.8 -5.8
  Mar 02, 2024 10   Illinois L 83-91 49%     18 - 11 10 - 8 +6.3 +12.0 -5.7
  Mar 07, 2024 96   Rutgers W 78-66 84%     19 - 11 11 - 8 +15.3 +12.0 +3.0
  Mar 10, 2024 4   @ Purdue L 70-78 20%     19 - 12 11 - 9 +14.8 +9.0 +5.5
  Mar 14, 2024 60   Maryland W 87-56 68%     20 - 12 +40.3 +28.3 +14.1
  Mar 15, 2024 40   Northwestern W 70-61 60%     21 - 12 +20.3 +7.9 +13.3
  Mar 16, 2024 4   Purdue W 76-75 OT 27%     22 - 12 +21.2 +9.0 +12.2
  Mar 17, 2024 10   Illinois L 87-93 39%     22 - 13 +10.9 +19.3 -8.5
  Mar 22, 2024 64   James Madison W 77-72 69%    
Projected Record 23 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 99.9% 99.9% 5.1 0.0 1.1 15.2 61.3 20.5 1.7 0.0 0.1 99.9%
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 5.1 0.0 1.1 15.2 61.3 20.5 1.7 0.0 0.1 99.9%