Villanova
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
2  Patrick Tiernan JR 30:19
112  Robert Denault SR 31:53
176  Jordan Williamsz SR 32:11
277  Harry Warnick JR 32:30
454  Robert Hurlbut SR 32:53
591  Kevin Corbusier JR 33:08
976  Elliot Slade SO 33:45
1,014  Drake Johnston SO 33:48
1,387  Thomas Trainer SR 34:20
1,536  Ben Malone SO 34:33
1,752  Grant Wiggins FR 34:54
National Rank #24 of 308
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #2 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 50.7%
Most Likely Finish 21st at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.3%
Top 20 at Nationals 23.2%


Regional Champion 8.8%
Top 5 in Regional 98.8%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Patrick Tiernan Robert Denault Jordan Williamsz Harry Warnick Robert Hurlbut Kevin Corbusier Elliot Slade Drake Johnston Thomas Trainer Ben Malone Grant Wiggins
Paul Short Invitational 10/02 757 32:00 32:10 32:04 32:31 33:28 33:13 33:41 34:35 34:37
Princeton Invitational 10/17 789 32:06 32:08 32:06 33:00 33:04 33:34 34:06 34:10 33:57 35:13
Big East Conference Championships 10/31 469 30:45 31:35 31:54 32:13 32:21 33:56 33:59 34:31 35:07
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/13 631 31:20 31:56 32:08 32:21 32:54 33:46 33:32
NCAA Championship 11/21 30:00 31:38 33:11





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 50.7% 20.6 499 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.6 1.2 1.4 1.8 1.8 2.6 2.5 3.2 3.2 3.5 4.4 3.6 3.7 4.0 2.9 3.0 2.6 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.1
Region Championship 100% 2.7 79 8.8 41.8 26.2 15.9 6.1 1.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Patrick Tiernan 100% 1.6 15.5 60.4 9.2 4.1 2.4 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Robert Denault 79.7% 94.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Jordan Williamsz 61.0% 133.4
Harry Warnick 51.4% 172.8
Robert Hurlbut 50.7% 212.6
Kevin Corbusier 50.7% 227.9
Elliot Slade 50.8% 245.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Patrick Tiernan 1.0 92.0 6.4 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Robert Denault 6.0 0.4 2.7 9.7 19.6 17.9 11.1 7.2 5.7 4.0 3.0 2.8 2.4 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.4
Jordan Williamsz 10.2 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.8 8.0 11.1 9.8 8.2 6.5 5.4 5.2 4.0 3.6 3.3 2.9 2.4 2.4 2.3 1.7 2.0 1.6 1.6 1.2 1.4
Harry Warnick 18.9 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.1 2.7 3.6 4.3 4.0 4.5 4.6 5.1 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.2 3.8 3.9 3.1 3.3 2.9 2.6
Robert Hurlbut 33.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.9 1.3 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.9 2.4 3.4 3.1
Kevin Corbusier 45.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.9
Elliot Slade 76.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 8.8% 100.0% 8.8 8.8 1
2 41.8% 100.0% 41.8 41.8 2
3 26.2% 0.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.1 0.1 3
4 15.9% 15.9 4
5 6.1% 6.1 5
6 1.2% 1.2 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 50.7% 8.8 41.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 49.3 50.6 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Providence 14.1% 1.0 0.1
Total 0.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0