Providence
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
170  Julian Oakley JR 32:09
198  Tom O'Neill SO 32:14
253  Hugh Armstrong JR 32:25
260  Aaron Hanlon SO 32:26
387  Trevor Crawley JR 32:46
553  Christian Costello SR 33:05
652  Stephen Robertson SR 33:15
886  Austin Scola FR 33:38
1,228  Michael O'Leary FR 34:07
1,419  Brendan Sullivan JR 34:23
1,457  Joseph Vercollone SR 34:27
1,489  Jake Feinstein JR 34:30
1,520  Brendan Ungemach SO 34:32
1,740  Salvatore Flight FR 34:53
National Rank #45 of 308
Northeast Region Rank #6 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 20.5%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 1.8%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 51.3%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Julian Oakley Tom O'Neill Hugh Armstrong Aaron Hanlon Trevor Crawley Christian Costello Stephen Robertson Austin Scola Michael O'Leary Brendan Sullivan Joseph Vercollone
Princeton Inter Regional 10/03 853 32:33 32:14 32:33 32:44 32:36 32:59 33:05 33:31 33:52 33:48
NEICAAA Championship 10/10 1213 33:47 34:26 34:29 35:14
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 698 31:53 32:03 32:17 32:23 32:32 33:05 32:58
CCSU Mini Meet 10/23 1193 33:37 33:39 34:20 34:17
Big East Conference Championships 10/31 814 32:09 32:31 32:15 32:24 33:05 33:42 33:24 33:37 34:27 34:36
Northeast Region Championships 11/13 849 32:09 32:42 32:18 32:59 32:42 33:45 34:21





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 20.5% 26.5 621 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.8 2.8 2.6 2.9 2.2
Region Championship 100% 5.4 147 0.6 11.6 17.6 21.5 23.2 22.0 3.5 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Julian Oakley 42.7% 125.6
Tom O'Neill 34.7% 135.1
Hugh Armstrong 24.5% 158.5
Aaron Hanlon 23.6% 157.3
Trevor Crawley 20.5% 197.3
Christian Costello 20.5% 223.2
Stephen Robertson 20.5% 230.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Julian Oakley 18.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.0 3.2 3.6 4.7 4.6 5.4 5.4 5.8 5.4 5.0 5.1 4.1 4.1 3.4 3.3 3.6 2.3
Tom O'Neill 21.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.8 3.0 3.9 4.2 4.6 5.1 5.2 5.3 4.6 4.6 4.3 4.4 4.2 3.5 3.2
Hugh Armstrong 26.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.2 2.1 2.3 3.2 3.0 3.9 4.1 4.7 4.6 4.1 4.8 4.7
Aaron Hanlon 26.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.4 3.0 3.6 4.1 3.7 4.1 4.5 4.4 3.8 4.0
Trevor Crawley 40.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.6
Christian Costello 57.6 0.1
Stephen Robertson 66.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.6% 100.0% 0.6 0.6 2
3 11.6% 64.1% 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.7 4.2 7.5 3
4 17.6% 39.6% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.4 0.7 1.2 10.6 7.0 4
5 21.5% 24.7% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.7 1.1 16.2 5.3 5
6 23.2% 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 23.0 0.2 6
7 22.0% 0.1% 0.0 21.9 0.0 7
8 3.5% 3.5 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.0% 0.0 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 20.5% 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.4 2.8 2.0 3.1 79.5 0.6 19.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Mississippi 91.7% 1.0 0.9
Florida State 91.5% 1.0 0.9
Indiana 61.1% 1.0 0.6
Oklahoma 60.8% 1.0 0.6
Illinois 47.5% 1.0 0.5
Princeton 19.2% 1.0 0.2
Lamar 9.0% 1.0 0.1
Notre Dame 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 7.0% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Portland 2.2% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Iowa State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Duke 0.0% 1.0 0.0
New Mexico 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 4.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 9.0