Princeton
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
123  Conor Lundy FR 31:55
172  William Paulson JR 32:07
313  Noah Kauppila JR 32:33
337  William Bertrand SR 32:37
441  Viraj Deokar FR 32:49
548  Jeremy Spiezio SO 33:00
641  Gavin Gaynor FR 33:11
652  Gannon Willcutts FR 33:12
756  Charles Stahl JR 33:24
870  Jack Leahey SR 33:33
898  Wolfgang Beck JR 33:35
1,081  Perrin Hagge FR 33:52
1,092  Garrett O'Toole JR 33:53
1,158  Robert Stone JR 33:57
National Rank #43 of 312
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #2 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 45.3%
Most Likely Finish 2nd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 1.7%


Regional Champion 13.3%
Top 5 in Regional 99.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Conor Lundy William Paulson Noah Kauppila William Bertrand Viraj Deokar Jeremy Spiezio Gavin Gaynor Gannon Willcutts Charles Stahl Jack Leahey Wolfgang Beck
Hyp 09/17 903 32:31 32:30 32:41 33:23 32:44 33:30 33:48 33:26 33:02
Paul Short Invitational (Brown) 10/01 1128 33:13 33:35 33:18 33:19 33:37
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 1038 32:49 32:48 33:02 33:04 33:48
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 874 31:20 32:29 32:34 34:14 36:13
Princeton Invitational 10/15
Ivy League Championship 10/29 613 31:49 31:47 32:40 32:00 32:16 33:09 32:52 33:36 34:08 33:35 33:36
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/11 855 32:08 32:41 32:21 32:36 33:41 33:22 33:05





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 45.3% 27.4 667 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.6 2.2 3.0 3.8 4.1 6.6 6.6 8.5 5.7
Region Championship 100% 2.7 89 13.3 30.6 28.4 26.8 1.0 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Conor Lundy 79.2% 98.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
William Paulson 65.2% 127.0
Noah Kauppila 46.0% 182.7
William Bertrand 45.5% 191.7
Viraj Deokar 45.4% 213.7
Jeremy Spiezio 45.5% 225.3
Gavin Gaynor 45.5% 235.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Conor Lundy 4.5 2.3 17.2 15.3 11.4 8.4 8.3 5.8 5.2 4.2 3.1 3.0 2.1 1.7 2.0 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.5
William Paulson 7.5 0.4 3.6 8.8 9.8 8.9 7.8 7.0 7.2 4.9 5.1 4.3 3.5 3.1 2.7 2.9 2.6 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.3 1.5 1.0 1.5 0.8 0.6
Noah Kauppila 19.0 0.3 0.4 1.3 2.3 2.8 3.0 3.6 4.0 4.6 4.7 4.5 4.1 4.7 3.5 3.6 3.0 4.3 2.4 3.0 3.1 3.2 2.0
William Bertrand 22.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.8 1.8 2.2 3.2 2.7 3.7 3.9 4.4 3.3 3.9 4.0 3.2 3.1 3.9 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.0
Viraj Deokar 29.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.6 2.8 2.7 3.2 2.8 3.6 3.4 3.6 3.8
Jeremy Spiezio 36.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.2 0.9 1.8 1.6 2.2 3.0
Gavin Gaynor 43.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 13.3% 100.0% 13.3 13.3 1
2 30.6% 100.0% 30.6 30.6 2
3 28.4% 5.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 26.9 1.5 3
4 26.8% 26.8 4
5 1.0% 1.0 5
6 0.1% 0.1 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 45.3% 13.3 30.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 54.7 43.8 1.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas A&M 43.0% 1.0 0.4
Columbia 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0