Princeton
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
188  Michael Sublette SR 32:12
275  Steven Sum FR 32:29
292  Noah Kauppila SO 32:32
302  Jeremy Spiezio FR 32:34
338  Sam Berger SR 32:38
350  Brett Kelly SR 32:40
563  Wolfgang Beck SO 33:06
625  Charles Stahl SO 33:12
722  Kenan Farmer SO 33:22
726  Zachary Albright SO 33:23
1,130  Jack Leahey JR 33:58
1,279  Robert Stone SO 34:11
1,974  Stephen Rossettie JR 35:17
2,041  Ben Jacobson FR 35:25
2,278  Jared Lee SO 35:59
National Rank #56 of 308
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #4 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 19.6%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 1.3%


Regional Champion 2.9%
Top 5 in Regional 92.3%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Michael Sublette Steven Sum Noah Kauppila Jeremy Spiezio Sam Berger Brett Kelly Wolfgang Beck Charles Stahl Kenan Farmer Zachary Albright Jack Leahey
Princeton Inter Regional 10/03 793 32:18 32:15 32:22 32:34 32:32 32:59 32:37 33:18 32:34 34:08
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 860 32:06 32:24 32:15 33:02 33:43 35:49 33:28
Princeton Invitational 10/17 1191 33:24 33:23 33:48
Ivy League Championships 10/30 757 32:00 32:46 32:53 32:19 32:14 32:27 33:00 32:56 34:07 34:03
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/13 883 32:37 32:39 32:52 32:27 32:35 32:38 32:55





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 19.6% 27.0 637 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.9 2.8 2.8 3.1 2.6
Region Championship 100% 3.7 98 2.9 15.9 25.3 29.2 18.8 7.6 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Sublette 47.5% 133.6
Steven Sum 24.8% 163.8
Noah Kauppila 23.0% 168.7
Jeremy Spiezio 21.3% 173.5
Sam Berger 20.1% 181.1
Brett Kelly 20.1% 185.6
Wolfgang Beck 19.6% 222.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Sublette 11.3 0.1 1.1 3.4 6.4 9.2 7.9 7.3 6.7 5.9 5.8 5.2 3.8 3.6 3.3 3.0 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.1 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.7
Steven Sum 18.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.1 3.7 3.8 4.2 4.5 5.4 5.0 4.7 4.9 4.2 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.8 3.1 2.8 2.6 2.5
Noah Kauppila 20.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.6 2.7 3.6 4.1 4.1 4.4 4.9 4.4 4.2 4.3 4.0 3.6 3.8 3.6 3.2 3.1 2.8
Jeremy Spiezio 21.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.3 2.1 2.7 3.2 3.8 4.3 4.4 4.5 5.1 4.5 4.4 3.8 3.7 3.4 3.4 3.5 2.6
Sam Berger 23.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.5 2.0 2.2 3.4 3.3 3.7 4.1 4.4 4.1 4.4 4.2 3.9 3.7 3.4 3.5
Brett Kelly 24.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.5 4.3 3.9 4.3 3.8 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.7 3.7
Wolfgang Beck 42.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 2.9% 100.0% 2.9 2.9 1
2 15.9% 100.0% 15.9 15.9 2
3 25.3% 2.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 24.8 0.5 3
4 29.2% 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 29.0 0.2 4
5 18.8% 18.8 5
6 7.6% 7.6 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 19.6% 2.9 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 80.4 18.9 0.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Columbia 70.8% 1.0 0.7
Virginia Tech 61.7% 1.0 0.6
Providence 14.1% 1.0 0.1
Lamar 9.0% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Duke 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.6
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0