Virginia
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
27  Brent Demarest JR 31:23
69  Lachlan Cook SO 31:37
233  Chase Weaverling SR 32:15
412  Alex Corbett SO 32:40
467  Ari Klau SO 32:45
783  Kenneth Hagan JR 33:21
861  Matthew Novak SO 33:28
National Rank #26 of 315
Southeast Region Rank #4 of 48
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 26.5%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 9.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 77.9%
Top 10 in Regional 99.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Brent Demarest Lachlan Cook Chase Weaverling Alex Corbett Ari Klau Kenneth Hagan Matthew Novak
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/23 678 31:27 31:40 32:41 32:30 33:09 32:52
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 835 31:44 32:28 32:44 33:29 33:40 32:33
ACC Championship 10/27 549 31:08 31:20 32:08 32:32 32:33 33:10 33:54
Southeast Region Championships 11/10 474 31:14 31:04 31:49 32:12 32:40 34:03 33:34





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 26.5% 22.0 552 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.4 1.2 1.2 1.1 2.0 2.0 2.3 3.2 2.7 2.3 1.8 1.6 1.5 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3
Region Championship 100% 4.5 177 3.8 21.0 33.2 20.0 11.8 6.1 3.2 0.8 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brent Demarest 94.7% 96.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.6 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 1.4 1.0 1.1 1.2 0.7 1.0
Lachlan Cook 36.4% 54.8 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.3
Chase Weaverling 26.5% 149.5
Alex Corbett 26.5% 201.7
Ari Klau 26.5% 206.5
Kenneth Hagan 26.9% 241.3
Matthew Novak 28.0% 244.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brent Demarest 6.4 1.9 6.3 10.7 10.4 10.0 7.5 8.1 5.7 4.5 3.8 3.3 3.3 3.1 2.7 2.5 2.1 2.4 1.5 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.6
Lachlan Cook 11.9 0.2 0.7 2.1 3.6 5.0 6.9 5.2 6.2 6.0 5.8 5.3 3.9 3.8 3.5 4.9 4.1 3.1 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.1 2.1 1.8 1.9 1.4
Chase Weaverling 34.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.5 2.2 3.3
Alex Corbett 52.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Ari Klau 56.6 0.1 0.1
Kenneth Hagan 92.4
Matthew Novak 99.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 3.8% 100.0% 3.8 3.8 2
3 21.0% 63.7% 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.4 1.5 2.0 1.5 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.6 7.6 13.4 3
4 33.2% 27.9% 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.7 1.9 1.4 1.6 24.0 9.3 4
5 20.0% 0.8% 0.1 0.1 19.8 0.2 5
6 11.8% 11.8 6
7 6.1% 6.1 7
8 3.2% 3.2 8
9 0.8% 0.8 9
10 0.3% 0.3 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
Total 100% 26.5% 3.8 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.5 2.1 3.0 2.6 3.6 3.5 2.9 3.2 73.5 3.8 22.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida State 23.7% 1.0 0.2
Tulsa 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Columbia 4.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Campbell 0.4% 1.0 0.0
California 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0