Campbell
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
7  Amon Kemboi FR 30:46
10  Lawrence Kipkoech JR 30:59
86  Meshack Kipruto JR 31:43
164  Kelvin Kirui JR 32:03
1,633  Hunter Gilbert SO 34:31
2,110  Graeme Fisher SO 35:20
2,397  Billy Knabe SO 36:05
2,566  Travis Gallimore SO 36:40
National Rank #16 of 315
Southeast Region Rank #2 of 48
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 3.5%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 3.5%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 33.7%
Top 10 in Regional 99.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Amon Kemboi Lawrence Kipkoech Meshack Kipruto Kelvin Kirui Hunter Gilbert Graeme Fisher Billy Knabe Travis Gallimore
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/23 437 30:46 30:46 31:19 32:11 34:11 36:45 36:56
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 34:35 35:34 36:23
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 469 30:58 31:27 31:33 31:48 34:44
Big South Championship 10/28 512 30:56 31:10 31:45 32:09 34:37 35:57 38:34 36:29
Southeast Region Championships 11/10 394 30:44 30:35 31:40 31:30 34:50 34:39 36:13





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 3.5% 13.2 385 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 6.1 217 1.3 10.1 22.4 32.0 20.3 9.5 3.7 0.7 0.3



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Amon Kemboi 99.8% 6.8 5.6 7.8 8.9 8.6 8.1 6.3 6.2 4.7 4.2 3.1 3.3 2.9 2.1 2.4 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.1 0.9 1.5 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8
Lawrence Kipkoech 99.2% 13.4 0.5 1.5 3.3 3.9 4.7 5.1 5.4 4.6 4.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.7 2.2 3.0 2.4 2.3 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.3 1.5 1.8 1.1 1.3
Meshack Kipruto 12.7% 63.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
Kelvin Kirui 3.6% 112.5
Hunter Gilbert 3.7% 246.4
Graeme Fisher 3.9% 247.8
Billy Knabe 4.7% 249.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Amon Kemboi 1.0 63.2 16.9 6.4 4.1 2.1 1.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1
Lawrence Kipkoech 1.8 21.3 35.1 12.8 7.8 4.5 4.1 2.7 1.8 1.9 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2
Meshack Kipruto 14.8 0.1 0.7 1.3 2.9 3.5 4.2 5.5 4.3 4.8 4.8 5.0 5.0 4.2 4.7 3.0 4.7 3.4 2.9 2.7 3.0 2.2 2.4 1.9 2.6
Kelvin Kirui 26.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.4 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.7 3.8 3.3 3.7 3.7 3.9 3.5 3.1 3.2
Hunter Gilbert 160.1
Graeme Fisher 204.1
Billy Knabe 242.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 1.3% 64.0% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.8 3
4 10.1% 20.9% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 8.0 2.1 4
5 22.4% 2.0% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 22.0 0.5 5
6 32.0% 0.5% 0.1 0.1 31.9 0.2 6
7 20.3% 20.3 7
8 9.5% 9.5 8
9 3.7% 3.7 9
10 0.7% 0.7 10
11 0.3% 0.3 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
Total 100% 3.5% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.4 96.5 0.0 3.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Arkansas 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Georgetown 31.5% 1.0 0.3
Tennessee 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.3
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0