Wake Forest
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
205  Mitchell Day FR 32:10
369  Craig Corti JR 32:35
535  Jack Tiernan FR 32:54
627  Sebastian Fischbach SR 33:04
737  Mitchell Dyer JR 33:16
823  Robert Heppenstall SO 33:25
1,187  Will Hunsdale FR 33:54
1,299  Alex Turner SO 34:03
National Rank #69 of 315
Southeast Region Rank #10 of 48
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 10th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.7%
Top 10 in Regional 61.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Mitchell Day Craig Corti Jack Tiernan Sebastian Fischbach Mitchell Dyer Robert Heppenstall Will Hunsdale Alex Turner
Paul Short Gold 09/29 931 32:16 32:43 33:22 32:49 33:50
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 33:02
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 32:13 33:11 33:07 33:48
ACC Championship 10/27 868 32:02 32:46 32:29 32:58 32:45 33:51 34:11 33:38
Southeast Region Championships 11/10 921 32:11 32:19 33:05 32:52 33:55 33:29





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0% 29.0 777 0.1
Region Championship 100% 10.1 318 0.7 1.6 4.4 9.7 18.3 27.3 18.9 12.0 5.7 1.0 0.4 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mitchell Day 0.2% 81.5
Craig Corti 0.0% 165.5
Jack Tiernan 0.0% 213.5
Sebastian Fischbach 0.0% 227.5
Mitchell Dyer 0.0% 212.5
Robert Heppenstall 0.0% 230.5
Will Hunsdale 0.0% 243.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mitchell Day 31.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.3 2.0 1.5 2.0 2.6 3.0 3.2 3.6 3.0 3.5 3.3
Craig Corti 49.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.3
Jack Tiernan 66.3
Sebastian Fischbach 75.9
Mitchell Dyer 87.3
Robert Heppenstall 97.2
Will Hunsdale 125.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 0.7% 7.1% 0.1 0.7 0.1 5
6 1.6% 1.6 6
7 4.4% 4.4 7
8 9.7% 9.7 8
9 18.3% 18.3 9
10 27.3% 27.3 10
11 18.9% 18.9 11
12 12.0% 12.0 12
13 5.7% 5.7 13
14 1.0% 1.0 14
15 0.4% 0.4 15
16 0.2% 0.2 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1 100.0 0.0 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Villanova 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Tennessee 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.6% 2.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0