Texas
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
287  Sandie Raines JR 20:33
524  Mary Beth Hamilton SO 20:57
536  Hannah Grubb SO 20:58
541  Alex Cruz FR 20:58
552  Connor Ward SR 20:59
667  Ervin Kayleigh 21:10
698  Kaleigh Ervin SR 21:12
734  Meghan Lloyd FR 21:15
963  Jordan Welborn FR 21:32
National Rank #93 of 339
South Central Region Rank #7 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 43.9%
Most Likely Finish 2nd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 90.5%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sandie Raines Mary Beth Hamilton Hannah Grubb Alex Cruz Connor Ward Ervin Kayleigh Kaleigh Ervin Meghan Lloyd Jordan Welborn
Texas A&M Invitational 09/26 951 20:35 21:17 20:37 20:46 20:53 21:11 21:53 21:18
Longhorn Invitational 10/02 1001 20:32 21:52 21:13 20:36 21:23 21:29 22:03
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 1063 20:28 21:47 21:31 21:06 21:05 21:11
Big 12 Championships 10/31 977 20:35 20:43 21:29 21:19 20:43 21:02 21:21 21:50
South Central Region Championships 11/13 891 20:34 20:31 20:32 21:04 21:16 21:05 20:49
NCAA Championship 11/21 1014 20:52 21:42 20:50 20:59 20:45 21:26 21:03





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 43.9% 30.7 844 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.5 3.9 37.0
Region Championship 100% 3.2 134 0.1 43.8 22.1 14.8 9.8 6.3 3.1 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sandie Raines 46.0% 169.6
Mary Beth Hamilton 43.9% 217.6
Hannah Grubb 43.9% 219.2
Alex Cruz 43.9% 220.3
Connor Ward 43.9% 221.5
Ervin Kayleigh 43.9% 236.0
Kaleigh Ervin 43.9% 239.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sandie Raines 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.7 2.8 3.5 4.2 5.5 5.9 6.1 6.8 6.4 5.9 5.1 5.4 4.9 4.9 4.4 3.7 3.1 3.0 2.6
Mary Beth Hamilton 29.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.8 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.9 3.5 2.9 3.3 4.1 4.1
Hannah Grubb 29.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 2.5 2.2 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.9
Alex Cruz 29.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.4 2.9 3.0 3.3 3.8 3.7
Connor Ward 30.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.4 2.0 2.3 2.7 3.3 3.5 3.7
Ervin Kayleigh 37.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.3
Kaleigh Ervin 38.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.9 1.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 43.8% 100.0% 43.8 43.8 2
3 22.1% 0.2% 0.0 22.1 0.0 3
4 14.8% 14.8 4
5 9.8% 9.8 5
6 6.3% 6.3 6
7 3.1% 3.1 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 0.0% 0.0 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 43.9% 0.1 43.8 0.0 56.1 43.8 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Baylor 11.7% 1.0 0.1
Stephen F. Austin 9.1% 1.0 0.1
Texas A&M 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0