UNC-Asheville
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,153  Sarah Heisner JR 21:46
1,349  Kelsie Rubino SR 21:59
1,405  Erin Dalton SR 22:03
1,574  Kasey Briggs SR 22:14
2,143  Scarlett Beamon SR 22:53
2,153  Casey Greenwalt SO 22:54
2,236  Megan Brewer FR 23:01
2,363  Alyssa Lashway SR 23:12
2,526  Amy Castle JR 23:27
2,743  Phoebe Schneider SO 23:56
National Rank #226 of 339
Southeast Region Rank #30 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 30th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.1%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sarah Heisner Kelsie Rubino Erin Dalton Kasey Briggs Scarlett Beamon Casey Greenwalt Megan Brewer Alyssa Lashway Amy Castle Phoebe Schneider
D1 Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/17 1262 21:47 21:53 22:01 22:10 22:55 22:57 23:04
Big South Championship 10/31 1279 21:34 23:11 22:37 22:11 22:48 23:00 23:01 23:23 23:29 23:57
Southeast Region Championships 11/13 1254 22:08 21:35 21:44 22:31 23:05 22:47 23:06





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 28.9 813 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.3 4.7 7.7 13.6 25.2 26.5 11.6



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Heisner 128.9
Kelsie Rubino 149.7
Erin Dalton 156.2
Kasey Briggs 171.9
Scarlett Beamon 217.6
Casey Greenwalt 219.1
Megan Brewer 225.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 0.1% 0.1 20
21 0.2% 0.2 21
22 0.4% 0.4 22
23 1.1% 1.1 23
24 1.7% 1.7 24
25 2.3% 2.3 25
26 4.7% 4.7 26
27 7.7% 7.7 27
28 13.6% 13.6 28
29 25.2% 25.2 29
30 26.5% 26.5 30
31 11.6% 11.6 31
32 3.9% 3.9 32
33 1.0% 1.0 33
34 0.0% 0.0 34
35 0.0% 0.0 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0