Florida
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
111  Maria Larsen FR 20:02
286  Elisabeth Bergh FR 20:33
375  Taylor Tubbs JR 20:43
732  Maddox Patterson FR 21:15
782  Rebakah Greene SO 21:18
1,355  Caitlin McQuilkin-Bell FR 22:00
1,363  Delaney Tiernan FR 22:00
1,441  Devin McDermott JR 22:05
1,634  Margaret Schloss FR 22:18
1,812  Autumn Bartlett FR 22:29
2,651  Madison Morse FR 23:42
3,156  Jenny Coleman FR 25:38
National Rank #61 of 339
South Region Rank #7 of 46
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 2.0%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 7.5%
Top 10 in Regional 98.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Maria Larsen Elisabeth Bergh Taylor Tubbs Maddox Patterson Rebakah Greene Caitlin McQuilkin-Bell Delaney Tiernan Devin McDermott Margaret Schloss Autumn Bartlett Madison Morse
Joe Piane Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/02 919 20:06 20:18 21:27 21:16 21:24 21:31 21:37 21:52
South Florida Invitational 10/16 1405 22:09 22:52 22:32 23:44
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 926 19:57 20:38 20:58 21:10 21:44 21:57
SEC Championships 10/30 770 20:06 20:14 20:09 21:09 21:47 22:13 22:51
South Region Championships 11/13 919 20:05 21:46 20:27 21:34 20:52 23:00 22:02





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 2.0% 28.8 723 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.4
Region Championship 100% 7.8 243 0.1 0.6 2.0 4.9 9.1 18.8 33.9 24.5 5.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maria Larsen 36.2% 78.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2
Elisabeth Bergh 2.9% 150.9
Taylor Tubbs 2.1% 185.9
Maddox Patterson 2.0% 232.5
Rebakah Greene 2.0% 237.3
Caitlin McQuilkin-Bell 2.0% 250.9
Delaney Tiernan 2.0% 250.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maria Larsen 10.1 0.8 2.6 4.1 4.9 5.4 6.4 6.4 7.0 6.4 5.7 5.3 5.5 4.4 4.6 4.0 3.3 3.0 2.8 2.4 2.2 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.1
Elisabeth Bergh 30.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.5 2.1 1.6 2.1 2.4 2.9 2.6 3.1 2.7 2.6
Taylor Tubbs 40.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.5 2.1
Maddox Patterson 76.0 0.0 0.0
Rebakah Greene 80.4 0.0
Caitlin McQuilkin-Bell 126.6
Delaney Tiernan 127.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 0.6% 31.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 3
4 2.0% 8.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 0.2 4
5 4.9% 7.8% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 0.4 5
6 9.1% 5.1% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.6 0.5 6
7 18.8% 2.8% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 18.3 0.5 7
8 33.9% 0.8% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 33.6 0.3 8
9 24.5% 24.5 9
10 5.0% 5.0 10
11 0.9% 0.9 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 0.0% 0.0 13
14 0.0% 0.0 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
Total 100% 2.0% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 98.0 0.1 2.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 43.8% 1.0 0.4
SMU 21.4% 1.0 0.2
Stephen F. Austin 9.1% 1.0 0.1
Texas A&M 8.2% 2.0 0.2
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Missouri 0.3% 3.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0