Toledo
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
775  Theresa Warsecke JR 21:18
778  Stephanie Barlow SO 21:18
908  Jennifer Lichter FR 21:28
1,107  Julia Pusateri SR 21:42
1,148  Nina Bendixen FR 21:46
1,357  Morgan Posthuma FR 22:00
1,377  Olivia Chinn FR 22:02
2,366  Maja Pacaric JR 23:12
National Rank #169 of 339
Great Lakes Region Rank #20 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 19th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.2%
Top 20 in Regional 92.2%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Theresa Warsecke Stephanie Barlow Jennifer Lichter Julia Pusateri Nina Bendixen Morgan Posthuma Olivia Chinn Maja Pacaric
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/03 1163 20:56 21:28 21:21 21:40 21:23 21:53 22:00 23:23
Greater Louisville Classic (Blue) 10/03
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 1180 21:15 21:20 21:17 21:21 21:40 21:57 22:02
Mid American Conference Championships 10/31 1224 21:48 21:20 21:43 21:58 22:02 22:10 21:54 23:03
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/13 1199 21:19 21:09 21:34 21:53 21:59 22:03 22:15





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 17.9 486 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 2.3 3.8 5.6 9.4 12.4 19.2 21.6 16.3 7.4 0.4



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Theresa Warsecke 84.4 0.0
Stephanie Barlow 84.6
Jennifer Lichter 95.3
Julia Pusateri 110.8
Nina Bendixen 114.0
Morgan Posthuma 128.7
Olivia Chinn 131.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 0.5% 0.5 11
12 0.9% 0.9 12
13 2.3% 2.3 13
14 3.8% 3.8 14
15 5.6% 5.6 15
16 9.4% 9.4 16
17 12.4% 12.4 17
18 19.2% 19.2 18
19 21.6% 21.6 19
20 16.3% 16.3 20
21 7.4% 7.4 21
22 0.4% 0.4 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0