Furman
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
57  Savannah Carnahan FR 19:49
273  Emma Grace Hurley FR 20:30
316  Laura Miller SR 20:35
319  Gabrielle Jennings FR 20:36
764  Grace Dwyer FR 21:16
841  Riley Burr FR 21:22
955  Jennifer Stephenson FR 21:29
1,070  Julia Rodriguez SR 21:36
1,512  Rebecca Cooley SO 22:04
1,715  Maddie Wolfe SR 22:16
National Rank #45 of 344
Southeast Region Rank #3 of 50
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 25.1%
Most Likely Finish 2nd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 2.0%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 71.4%
Top 10 in Regional 98.3%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Savannah Carnahan Emma Grace Hurley Laura Miller Gabrielle Jennings Grace Dwyer Riley Burr Jennifer Stephenson Julia Rodriguez Rebecca Cooley Maddie Wolfe
Furman Classic 09/10 686 19:45 20:29 20:04 20:42 21:33 21:05 21:16 22:14 22:03 22:36
Roy Griak Invitational 09/24 805 19:58 20:24 20:37 20:48 21:21 21:54 22:14
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Open) 10/15 21:21 22:01 21:52
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 840 19:36 20:55 21:46 20:24 21:14 21:16 21:38
Southern Conference Championship 10/29 846 19:58 20:35 20:50 20:44 21:26 21:17 21:28 21:40 22:34
Southeast Region Champioinships 11/11 680 20:00 20:10 20:12 20:36 21:19 22:33 21:14





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 25.1% 27.0 624 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.6 2.9 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.9
Region Championship 100% 4.4 190 0.1 25.1 19.9 14.7 11.8 9.2 7.4 4.9 3.7 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Savannah Carnahan 52.3% 49.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.8
Emma Grace Hurley 25.1% 159.5
Laura Miller 25.1% 169.4
Gabrielle Jennings 25.1% 174.3
Grace Dwyer 25.1% 236.9
Riley Burr 25.1% 240.7
Jennifer Stephenson 25.1% 244.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Savannah Carnahan 7.1 5.0 5.7 7.4 8.1 7.7 7.7 7.9 7.3 6.8 6.3 5.1 3.9 4.0 3.8 3.9 2.0 1.8 1.4 1.4 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2
Emma Grace Hurley 30.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.1 3.3 2.5 4.6
Laura Miller 34.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.6 1.9 2.1 1.9 2.3 2.6
Gabrielle Jennings 34.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.6 2.0 1.5 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.6
Grace Dwyer 82.2
Riley Burr 92.3
Jennifer Stephenson 105.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 25.1% 100.0% 25.1 25.1 2
3 19.9% 19.9 3
4 14.7% 14.7 4
5 11.8% 11.8 5
6 9.2% 9.2 6
7 7.4% 7.4 7
8 4.9% 4.9 8
9 3.7% 3.7 9
10 1.7% 1.7 10
11 1.2% 1.2 11
12 0.4% 0.4 12
13 0.2% 0.2 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
50 50
Total 100% 25.1% 0.1 25.1 74.9 25.1 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Louisville 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Duke 3.2% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Wyoming 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0