Navy
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
616  Ali Valenti JR 21:01
757  Emily Craig FR 21:12
944  Grace West SO 21:25
1,148  Rachel Fairbanks JR 21:37
1,350  Allison Parks SR 21:51
1,439  Karla Mendoza SO 21:57
1,511  Josie Kornak FR 22:00
1,608  Nora Honrath FR 22:06
1,675  Caitlin Schmitt SO 22:11
1,730  Caroline Ascherl SO 22:15
2,067  Evie Jansen SR 22:37
2,201  Caroline Foley FR 22:47
National Rank #161 of 348
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #13 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 11th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.1%
Top 10 in Regional 13.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ali Valenti Emily Craig Grace West Rachel Fairbanks Allison Parks Karla Mendoza Josie Kornak Nora Honrath Caitlin Schmitt Caroline Ascherl Evie Jansen
Salty Dog Invitational 09/09 1140 21:14 21:02 21:32 21:38 21:53 22:12 22:11 22:29 22:38
William & Mary Invitational 09/15 1179 20:54 21:36 21:32 21:44 21:59 21:57 22:04 22:18 21:48 22:52
Paul Short Gold 09/29 1152 20:47 21:18 21:22 21:37 22:52 21:57 21:57 22:12
Patriot League Championship 10/28 1141 20:54 21:07 21:07 21:34 21:54 21:49 22:18 21:53 22:17 22:26 22:36
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/10 1156 20:54 21:04 21:17 21:58 21:54 22:15 22:13





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 12.5 376 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 3.7 9.1 20.1 19.7 18.4 11.0 8.0 4.9 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ali Valenti 48.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3
Emily Craig 60.1 0.1 0.1
Grace West 74.0
Rachel Fairbanks 89.9
Allison Parks 106.5
Karla Mendoza 113.2
Josie Kornak 118.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 0.1% 0.1 5
6 0.1% 0.1 6
7 0.3% 0.3 7
8 0.8% 0.8 8
9 3.7% 3.7 9
10 9.1% 9.1 10
11 20.1% 20.1 11
12 19.7% 19.7 12
13 18.4% 18.4 13
14 11.0% 11.0 14
15 8.0% 8.0 15
16 4.9% 4.9 16
17 2.7% 2.7 17
18 1.1% 1.1 18
19 0.3% 0.3 19
20 0.1% 0.1 20
21 0.1% 0.1 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0